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Friday, February 19, 2021

2021 FANTASY BASEBALL ISSUES: STARTING PITCHING DANGER

Boy is this going to get ugly.  Already it is well-established that this site has continually advised AGAINST drafting pitchers early in yearly fantasy baseball drafts given the high volatility that centers on an injury rate that is unmatched at any other position.  Add in that a starter only impacts four standard ROTO categories while a five tool hitter you can get in the first three rounds impacts five and it is foolish to use such precious draft commodity on a pitcher.  This mantra will only be reinforced tenfold for 2021 as   starters will now be expected to ramp up from pitching on average 60-70 innings from a year ago in the shortened campaign to now 150-200 in this expected full season.  That has disaster written all over it from a health standpoint as injuries will be more pronounced than ever before.  So while there are still some who think drafting a Gerrit Cole or Jacob DeGrom in the first or second round is a smart ploy with the belief that having a rock solid stud makes sense, these guys are just as prone to getting hurt as any other hurler.  

So in terms of 2021, we continue to espouse using the first three rounds to go for hitters (ideally a five tool outfielder, first baseman, and a shortstop) and then you can take your first look at a pitcher in Round 4.  We are going to go all in on number 2 or 3 starters this season and you can make a fantastic rotation out of guys such as the following who will all make our lists:

Sonny Gray

Zac Gallen

Jack Flaherty 

Lance Lynn

Kenta Maeda

Carlos Carrasco 

Dinelson Lamet 

Tyler Glasnow

Corbin Burnes

Zack Wheeler

Jose Berrios

Chris Paddack

Patrick Corbin

David Price

Eduardo Rodriguez

Frankie Montas

Julio Urias

These are all terrific starters and four of these would make a tremendous rotation and then you can add a bunch of high upside fliers.  So where in the past we would go into the season with 5 starters, we will now go up to 7 given they injury issues that will be a major part of the season.  This is the correct way to go here so go all in on this strategy.  


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