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Thursday, February 18, 2021

2021 FANTASY BASEBALL ISSUES: DEAD BALL ERA TO BEGIN

 In finally admitting the obvious, MLB pretty much came out and copped to the fact the baseball has been royally juiced the last few seasons and have taken firm steps for 2021 to make sure the home run derby that was taking place on a nightly basis will be lessened.  This is obviously a big piece of news for the upcoming fantasy baseball season on a number of fronts, with the first being that most or all of the home run totals will dip for hitters in 2021.  While pure power guys like Cody Bellinger or Anthony Rizzo may not be impacted as much, guys like Paul DeJong or Marcus Semien will likely become shaky investments overnight given how much they benefitted from the juiced ball of late.  Hence, it is imperative that you pay some extra attention to the overall game of any hitter you want to draft this season and in particular focus on positive batting averages.  Given that DeJong and Semien don't help in the average department, the dip in steals is a big hit to their value and this is especially true since they don't also steal bases.  So in essence, you can only accept shaky average hitters as either backups or if they steal basis like a Cavan Biggio.  So again with the power numbers dipping all across the game, the difference between players will come in the average and steals departments which will help if you pick up guys who help there.  For example someone like Andres Gimenez who may not hit for a high average but who can offset that with stolen bases.  Or an Alec Bohm who can hit for average and decent pop but not swipe many bases.  This is the trend you should be looking at for your teams this season and this is likely going to determine more than anything who will be the contenders in your leagues.  


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