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Monday, April 15, 2019

2019 FANTASY BASEBALL CRISIS POINT: JACOB DeGROM SP NEW YORK METS

Did Jacob DeGrom just give up another home run?  With 5 homers surrendered in his last two starts, DeGrom has undoubtedly hit a rut his last two starts where he got blasted by the Minnesota Twins and Atlanta Braves to the tune of 9 earned runs in 9 innings which raised his ERA to 3.68 but some perspective is needed overall here.  For one thing, it was going to be virtually impossible for DeGrom to replicate his insane 1.70 ERA and 0.91 WHIP like he had during his Cy Young season of 2018 and so that alone should have been cause for expecting the ratios to rise.  So while the last two starts have been a bit disturbing, the underlying metrics still point to DeGrom as being a slam-dunk ace for 2019 fantasy baseball in every sense. 

In digging into the numbers a bit more, DeGrom's stuff remains as overpowering as ever as he already has 36 strikeouts in just 22 innings which is good for a ridiculous 14.73 K/9.  In addition, DeGrom's average fastball velocity of 96.8 would be a career high if the season were to end today.  Add in a walk rate that is just slightly elevated and DeGrom is pretty much doing what he was for almost all of 2018.  That being said, the home runs are clearly a bit of an issue right now but considering that DeGrom is still missing so many bats, the thought that he may be tipping pitches is not out of the realm of possibility.  If DeGrom were to start losing velocity with all the home runs, then there would be cause for some major concern but that is clearly not the case here.  As a result, those who own stock in DeGrom need not worry about any drop in productivity and instead should trust the talent will eventually do its thing with regards to more dominance.  For the DeGrom owner in your league is becoming a bit jittery then by all means try to buy low but overall this is a whole bit about nothing. 


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