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Saturday, April 13, 2019

2019 FANTASY BASEBALL CRISIS POINT: CARLOS CARRASCO SP CLEVELAND INDIANS

It was ugly and it was quick when it came to the utter beating Cleveland Indians ace-level starter Carlos Carrasco underwent Friday night versus the Kansas City Royals.  Generating just two outs and surrendering a massive 6 earned runs, Carrasco was a complete abomination all the way around as his season ERA through three starts rose to an unsightly 12.60 and the WHIP at 2.50.  A pitcher who has long been known for suffering yearly injuries (not to mention a past Tommy John surgery), Carrasco is also aging a bit as he turned 32 this past March.  Be that as it may, Carrasco was widely viewed as an ace pitchers in fantasy baseball given the fact he had struck out 200 batters or more in three of the previous four seasons to go with attractive ERA and WHIP rates and so his draft price did not come cheap.  Unfortunately, there have been nothing but bad signs here so far and the most glaring is the fact Carrasco's already sliding fastball velocity is down yet again this season.  Starting in 2014 when Carrasco's average fastball velocity was a very potent 96.4, he has slid each and every season since including 2018 when it dropped to 94.1.  This season so far that number has dropped even more to 93.5.  Going along with that decline is an increase in home runs given up and that is par for the course for a pitcher who is leaking fastball potency.  So that has led us to the current predicament for Carrasco's owners and needless to say the inbox filled up last night after his early exit.  Obviously, the only thing to do now is hold since you can't trade Carrasco low for pennies on the dollar but sitting him the next time out is also not out of the discussion.  While I still believe in the talent, the leaking velocity, injury history, and increase in homers is a bad omen that needs more time for us to digest in terms of whether or not this is an overall decrease in level of performance.  Yes the season is very much in its early phases but Carrasco is right there at the top of pitching concerns. 


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