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Friday, December 7, 2018

2019 FANTASY BASEBALL TRADE FALLOUT: PAUL GOLDSCHMIDT MAY SEE SLIGHT DIP IN NUMBERS MOVING TO ST. LOUIS

With just one more year left on his contract and the team showing no interest in re-signing him, the Arizona Diamondbacks traded All-Star first baseman Paul Goldschmidt to the St. Louis Cardinals earlier in the week as the rebuild is now fully underway.  It certainly was a roller coaster ride season for Goldy in 2018 as a truly horrific first two months brought forth questions regarding where he was possible declining at an early stage.  This was then followed by vintage Goldschmidt for the final four months as he looked like his annual first-round self.  Now at the age of 31, Goldschmidt has to start over on a Cardinals team that is looking to shake things up in order to get back into contention in 2019.

Now in terms of Goldschmidt, he finished 2018 with the following numbers:

.290
33 HR
83 RBI
95 R
7 SB

Considering how bad Goldschmidt was the first two months of the season, it was double impressive how good he was the last four months.  The 33 homers were also the third time in four years he reached such a level and he has hit .290 or better each of the last six seasons.  Still in his prime years, Goldschmidt looks safe to trust again as a top-five fantasy baseball first baseman for 2019 but there are some small caveats to discuss.

The first is that Goldschmidt is not running as much anymore as the 7 steals he had a year ago were down from 18 the season prior and at the age of 31, his contributions there may not be very potent from here on out.  In addition, Goldschmidt moving to St. Louis puts him into a much better pitcher's park from the launching pad he previously operated in while with Arizona.  So it stands to reason Goldschmidt will lose some homers, RBI, and runs with the Cards this season but mostly in the small range. 

So in the end, Paul Goldschmidt remains a top fantasy baseball first baseman who can be take in the late first round or sometime in Round 2 range.  The move to St. Louis was not great for his numbers but also not a disaster either. 


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