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Thursday, September 6, 2018

2018 FANTASY BASEBALL POSTSCRIPT: BUSTER POSEY C SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS

In one of our more pointed and accurate critiques heading into the 2018 fantasy baseball season, we labeled annually overrated San Francisco Giants catcher Buster Posey as the latest Joe Mauer in terms of the former MVP continually losing almost all of his power and also succumbing to increasing injuries as he continued to move into his 30's.  While no one can take away how great a hitter Posey has been in his career, the fact of the matter is the guy has been trending the wrong way statistically since 2014; with the ravages of catching having a lot to do with that.  It was during the 2014 season when Posey reached the 20-home run mark for the second time in his career with 22 but since then his totals in that category have slipped from 19 to 14 to 12 and then all the way down to just 5 in 448 at-bats a year ago.  That is as clear a trend as you can get and it doesn't even touch on how Posey's health has increasingly gone into the toilet.  When it comes to the latter, Posey was forced to undergo hip surgery last September and given the six-month recovery timetable, there is no guarantee he will be ready to go for Opening Day 2019.  So like we noted in our original point, Posey is the new Joe Mauer (but still carrying catcher eligibility unlike his former backstop counterpart) with regards to being capable of posting a useful but ultimately empty batting average; while also spending more and more time in the trainer's room.  Again, we are not taking away from the fact that Posey can still hit (BB/9 and K/9 rates remain in line with the career trends) but you will be lucky to get more than 8-10 home runs here at this stage of the game and that is only if the guy can stay healthy which is becoming quite the challenge as shown by the hip surgery.  Eventually, even the biggest name brand players need to be passed over for good and Posey has reached that point in our opinion.
2019 PROJECTION:  .286 9 HR 73 RBI 74 R 1 SB  

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