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Friday, July 13, 2018

2018 FANTASY FOOTBALL PLAYER ANALYZER: A.J. GREEN WR CINCINNATI BENGALS

Should Cincinnati Bengals ace wide receiver A.J. Green still be graded as a WR 1 or he is more of a WR 2 as we look towards 2018 fantasy football?  While this is certainly not a primary question to worry about when it comes to drafts, the projections on Green are already all over the map from the various pundits this season as the 29-year-old comes off a disappointing 2017 campaign which followed an injury-marred 2016.  Before delving further, let's take a look at Green's numbers from last season:

75 receptions
1,078 yards
8 TD
16 games played

While Green did play a full slate of games, the fact he failed to reach at least 80 receptions as the main target of QB Andy Dalton was a letdown and there are also some overall trends to be aware of here.  The first is that Green has now failed to reach double-digits in TD receptions in three of the last four seasons and he also has gone for over 80 catches once in that same span.  This is to be noted for those who take part in PPR formats as Green is more of a low WR 1 or even a top WR 2 then the mid-WR 1 he would be in standards.  While still capable of making plays all over the field, Green has dealt with more injuries of late as he missed games in two of the last four seasons.

Another factor hurting Green going into the season and also hampered his production a year ago is a lack of supporting cast.  Opposing defenses constantly rolled double coverage Green's way as the Bengals had little else to offer in terms of impact receivers.  This season looks to be more of the same as mediocre Brandon LaFell remains on the opposite side and oft-injured tight end Tyler Eifert can't be depended on.  So that will also help keep Green's numbers somewhat in check.

When you combine that worry with the issues we spoke about above, you can see that Green is no longer worthy of first-round status and that upstarts like Adam Thielen or Davante Adams are looking like more appealing options.  While still a very good player, Green could be set to offer more volatility this season.

2018 PROJECTION:  79 receptions 1,104 yards 8 TD  


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