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Sunday, June 10, 2018

2018 FANTASY BASEBALL WRAPUP: SATURDAY

Nick Hundley:  2/5 with his 7th HR while hitting .273.  Like Kurt Suzuki in Atlanta, Hundley has become a very solid and quite underrated backstop you can sign off waivers every season and receiver useful numbers.  

Bryce Harper:  2/5 with his 19th HR while hitting .232.  Man that average continues to get dragged down by an unlucky BABIP of .222 which is just insane.  Taking that massive bit of bad luck out of the equation and Harper has been terrific as always.  

Nelson Cruz:  1/3 with his 12th HR while hitting .253.  He refuses to get old.  

Felix Hernandez:  5 ER in 3 IP with an ERA of 5.70.  The end is simply looking ghastly here.  

Blake Snell:  6 IP 7 H 2 ER 2 BB 1 K with an ERA of 2.30.  Wow just one K but if this is Snell struggling, then wow again.  

Danny Duffy:  7 IP 3 H 0 ER 3 BB 10 K with an ERA of 5.28.  Everyone has a big day at least once a season.  

Nick Kingham:  6.1 IP 4 H 2 ER 2 BB 5 K with an ERA of 3.82.  The Pirates need to just let Kingham loose and leave him in the rotation.  He remains quite intriguing given the results we have seen thus far.  

Jon Lester:  7 IP 1 H 0 ER 2 BB 5 K with an ERA of 2.22.  Damn Lester has been tremendous and unexpectedly so as I thought he was headed for a rough season given his age and mileage.  With that said, continue entertaining sell high offers for those same reasons.  

Randal Grichuk:  1/4 with his 5th HR while hitting .157.  Only hit the of the game as is typical here.  Ignore. 
 
J.D. Martinez:  2/4 with his 21st HR while hitting .318.  It is like watching Manny Ramirez again without the juice.

Jackie Bradley Jr.:  1/3 with his third HR while hitting .197.  I said the last few years that Bradley Jr. was not that good despite what on the surface looked like breakout potential.  So now we see why.  

David Price:  6 IP 5 H 2 ER 3 BB 6 K with an ERA of 4.00.  Price still pissing me off as he threw like garbage when I owned him and is throwing well not that I got rid of him.  

Carlos Rodon:  5 IP 6 H 2 ER 2 BB 7 K with an ERA of 3.60.  Rodon still has the massive K potential but the control is where this will go in terms of impact.  Like we saw out of Blake Snell however, any change for the better there can result in a massive value add.  

Derek Dietrich:  2/4 with his 8th HR while hitting .288.  The versatility is very valuable in all fantasy baseball leagues and Dietrich has hit well this season to boost things even more so.  

Jose Martinez:  Other then Mr. Paul Goldshcmidt, no one has the home run swing going better now than this guy.

Matt Carpenter:  2/5 with his 8th HR while hitting.232.  Carpenter has been hitting the ball very hard for the last three weeks or so and on that alone he should have been back in lineups.  He is selling out so much for the homer these days though and it really speaks to how drastic a drop-off he has been overall as a pure hitter.

Marcell Ozuna:  1/4 with his sixth HR while hitting .274.  Just six home run at this stage of the season is not going to cut it for Ozuna who is capable of so much more.  With that said, he remains a buy low for me as Ozuna's 18.0 K/9 is a vast improvement from the 21.2 a year ago when he slugged 37 homers.  However the reason the homers are down has more to do with the fact Ozuna's ground ball rate is up (47.1 to 50.3) and that is moving dangerously close to Eric Hosmer territory.  

Eugenio Suarez:  1/4 with his 12th HR while hitting .298.  Folks this is a top ten fantasy baseball third baseman now.  

Michael Wacha:  5.2 IP 4 H 2 ER 3 BB 6 K with an ERA of 2.47.  I have to admit that I can't believe Wacha is still just 26 as he literally has been around forever it seems.  Having successfully dealt with serious shoulder trouble a few years ago, Wacha on the surface is putting forth a big season.  I have sounded the alarm on it throughout though as there are some potent red flags beginning with his insanely lucky .240 BABIP which is not going to hold up.  With FIP (3.41) and XFIP (3.82) ERA's that are much higher, Wacha should be actively shopped.  

Luis Castillo:  6 IP 4 H 5 ER 3 BB 10 K with an ERA of 5.79.  While the K's were nice, Castillo and Luke Weaver are reminders not to overindulge in sophomore pitchers as the hitters always seem to gain the upper hand in the battle between the two sides at that juncture.  

Jesus Aguilar:  2/5 with his 11th HR while hitting .297.  Brewers really stumbled onto something here as did Aguilar's fantasy baseball owners.

Jonathan Villar:  1/4 with his 5th HR while hitting .275.  Just like with Mark Trumbo a few years ago when he cracked 40-plus homers in Baltimore, Villar became a major value play on a vastly sinking ADP alone.  

Rhys Hoskins:  2/4 with his 7th HR while hitting .239.  Hoskins looked refreshed off the DL and hopefully ready to look more like the stud from a year ago than the complete non-factor of early 2018.  

Jake Arrieta:  4 ER in 5.1 IP with an ERA of 2.97.  Still on record saying Arrieta will have an ERA north of 3.75 when all is said and done.  Getting closer by the start.  

Ian Kinsler:  1/4 with his 8th HR while hitting .219.  Smells like a last hurrah to me but in AL-only leagues you don't ask questions.  

Albert Pujols:  2/4 with his 9th HR while hitting .252.  I remember how awesome a player Pujols was in fantasy baseball with numbers literally overflowing everywhere.  

Tyler Skaggs:  7 IP 5 H 1 ER 1 BB 8 K with an ERA of 3.08.  This former top prospect is really beginning to take off and being another year away from his past Tommy John surgery is just as big a reason why as the potent stuff.  

Ozzie Albies:  0/5 while hitting .253.  Damn!  

Max Muncy:  1/1 with his 13th HR while hitting .268.  The Twitter universe has been hitting me up on this guy for a few weeks now so I will dig in deeper later in a separate piece.  

Jeimer Candelario:  1/6 with his 10th HR while hitting .263.  Really impressed with this kid so far this season but he needs to rally the average or else that sentiment will change.  

Yan Gomes:  1/5 with his 7th HR while hitting .234.  Gomes is annoying the crap out of me in that he is hitting just enough to keep Francisco Mejia a story for 2019.  

Rajai Davis:  1/5 with his first HR while hitting .230.  One of the more underrated careers that no one talks about.  

Charlie Morton:  3.2 IP 1 H 1 ER 6 BB 4 K with an ERA of 2.82.  Morton channeled his inner Tyler Chatwood for this start.  

Paul Goldschmidt:  3/4 with 2 home runs (12 for season) while hitting .250.  Well I would say things have turned around for the better as Goldy has had back-to-back double homer games.  The average is improving by the day as well.  Honestly there was almost no way Goldschmidt was toast at the age of 31 and so this comeback was completely expected.  About the only thing that I noted was up for grabs in terms of numbers not being repeated were the steals.  

Trevor Story:  3/4 with 2 home runs (12 for season) while hitting .255.  Decent outburst from Story this week so as always ride it out but the volatilty will remain.  



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