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Thursday, May 24, 2018

2018 FANTASY BASEBALL WRAPUP: WEDNESDAY

Paul Goldschmidt:  1/3 with his 6th HR while hitting .209.  The are signs now that Goldschmidt is starting to emerge from the fog and so the buy low window will begin to close quickly.

Travis Shaw:  1/4 with his 12th HR while hitting .243.  Have said numerous times to ignore the BABIP-depressed average and instead embrace the big season Shaw is having once again.  Average remains the most overrated hitting category by far given the impact team defense and luck on the batted ball has on its number.

Zack Godley:  6 ER in 3.1 IP with an ERA of 4.53.  Trouble all over the place here as it looks like Godley is your latest one-year wonder.  I will delve more into this in a separate Crisis Point later in the day.

Michael Fulmer:  5.2 IP 4 H 1 ER 3 BB 5 K with an ERA of 4.03.  Everyone else likes Fulmer much more than me as I see through his mediocre K/9 rate and lucky BABIP's on an annual basis.

Salvador Perez:  1/5 with his 8th HR while hitting .245.  Perez got the start at first base to keep his bat in the lineup which is always a plus.  If that keeps up, Perez becomes even more potent as an everyday catcher-eligible player.

George Springer:  2/4 with his 10th HR while hitting .294.  Really digging the average uptick which is has enabled Springer to reach another level in his value.  Forget the steals though as they are gone for good and never really were there in terms of the majors.

Justin Verlander:  6 IP 3 H 1 ER 1 BB 9 K with an ERA of 1.08.  That 1.08 ERA in the American League is just beyond insane.

Matt Adams:  3/3 with his 11th HR while hitting .273. They don't mess up much but the St. Louis Cardinals screwed up by throwing in the towel too early on this guy.  Guaranteed they would prefer him over Matt Carpenter in a second. 

Tyson Ross:  6.2 IP 5 H 1 ER 1 BB 9 K with an ERA of 3.13.  Ross has not just been a Petco Park Special as this came against the potent Nationals lineup in their ballpark.  Major comeback story in progress. 

Luiz Gohara:  4 IP 4 H 2 ER 4 BB 6 K with an ERA of 2.45.  A bit messy due to the lack of control but watch this situation closely as Gohara has big strikeout potential and was one my sleeper lost back in January before he got hurt and lost a chance at a rotation spot to begin the season. 

Jake Arrieta:  6.2 IP 7 H 0 ER 1 BB 7 K with an ERA of 2.45.  Arrieta doesn't have the fastball he did even just two seasons ago which is old news but he has enough movement to continue to post good results.  Perhaps the bigger surprise is the health has cooperated. 

Dan Straily:  6 IP 4 H 1 ER 3 BB 5 K with an ERA of 3.12.  I tweeted the other day that Straily and pretty much any pitcher that goes against the New York Mets is a streaming option.  Beyond that, Straily is still a very good and quite underrated SP 5 as he seems to find his way to decent numbers each season. 

Jacob DeGrom:  7 IP 4 H 0 ER 2 BB 8 K with an ERA of 1.54. Among the MLB leaders in ERA, DeGrom has been on some insane run so far this season.  250 strikeouts is very much in play which is yet another level reached in excellent for the guy. 

Aaron Judge:  2/5 with his 13th HR while hitting .284.  It was Home Run Derby in Texas between the Rangers and New York Yankees and so Judge was going to be a part of the fun.

Gleyber Torres:  1/5 with his 8th HR and 4th in last 3 games with average of 323.  I mean you got to be kidding.  Get this kid at least up to the fifth spot in the order. 

Didi Gregorious:  1/5 with his 11th HR while hitting .246.  It is amazing how the whole narrative has changed here from just the first week of May. This is almost literally Gregorious' first hit of the month as well.

Nomar Mazara:  2/5 with his 11th HR while hitting .274.  Will absolutely accept .270 as long as 30 homers go along with it. 

Yangervis Solarte:  2/4 with his 11th HR while hitting .265.  All Solarte owners are praying to the fantasy baseball gods that somehow he survives the trade deadline. 

Devon Travis:  1/3 with his second HR while hitting .149.  Travis is so far off the fantasy baseball radar now that it was easy to miss the Blue Jays brought him back up.  Don't waste your time with this guy for even one second. 

Francisco Cervelli:  2/6 with his 7th HR while hitting .282.  I believe in the power growth here and already Cervelli was an underrated hitter for a catcher. 

Scooter Gennett:  2/4 with his 9th HR while hitting .328.  This is Scooter Gennett giving the finger to all of us who said "no way he does it again" this season.

David Price:  6 IP 3 H 1 ER 3 BB 9 K with an ERA of 4.08.  Of course I cut Price loose prior to his last two starts so I hate him even more than I already did. 

Chris Archer:  6 IP 4 H 1 ER 3 BB 6 K with an ERA of 4.68.  The way he has been pitching this season, it is a miracle Archer made it out of this one with just one run given up. 

Jon Lester:  7 IP 6 H 1 ER 1 BB 4 K with an ERA of 2.37.  Lester is a major "Sell" as the arm can't withstand the rigors of a long season at his age anymore.  Considering the name brand, you should get a decent return given the present ratios. 

Yoan Moncada:  1/4 with his 7th HR while hitting .262.  Moncada has been very solid since the end of April and that works fine for 2018 before we expect some more growth in 2019.  Never a question of talent here but instead how many strikeouts pile up. 

Dylan Covey:  7 IP 6 H 1 ER 1 BB 8 K with an ERA of 3.46.  Spot start made good for Covey who was not much of a prospect due to some mediocre K/9 rates in the minors but this looked tidy.  The old theme of catching opposing hitters off guard though applies and so this is not a recommended add considering the average quality of overall stuff. 

Kenta Maeda:  6.2 IP 2 H 0 ER 4 BB 12 K with an ERA of 3.38.  Well there you go.  I think it was just YESTERDAY I summed up a glowing piece on Maeda with this:  "So when you add everything up, Maeda has pitched like an ace whose ratios don't show it only due to some poor luck.  He has been a great buy no matter how you look at him and there should be a whole bunch more of this level of performance the rest of the season." YES SIR!  Guy can be a legit ace the rest of the way as I said as the strikeout rate is insane and everything else checks out.  





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