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Thursday, April 12, 2018

2018 FANTASY BASEBALL WRAPUP: WEDNESDAY

Ozzie Albies:  3/6 with his 4th HR while hitting .278.  This kid is so talented and if Ender Inciarte keeps struggling, Albies may move to leadoff where he would be even more valuable.  A rare "sky is the limit" guy.

Kurt Suzuki:  3/6 with 2 home runs (2 for season) while hitting .273.  Suzuki has made a career out of being underrated and in two-catcher formats he still has value.

Arodys Vizcaino:  blown save with 1 ER in 1 IP with an ERA of 3.18.  The WHIP is horrendous at 1.76 as Vizcaino's ERA should be even worse.  A.J. Minter punched out the side in front of him and is now a strong person of interest in the saves picture.

Paul Goldschmidt:  2/4 with his second HR while hitting .190.  Listen we all know Goldy is going to start killing it soon and the humidor thing is just white noise to me.  The only issue I will be watching is to see if the steals erode given that he is now in his 30's.

Buster Posey:  2/4 with his second HR while hitting .389.  Outside of Joey Votto, no one is a better pure hitter in today's baseball.

Robbie Ray:  4.2 IP 5 H 3 ER 3 BB 6 K with an ERA of 5.74.  Damn.  Ray is really struggling with his control as his WHIP is up to 1.60 but I did expect a decent rise in ratios since he was not under-3.00 ERA pitcher like he posted a year ago.  Ray got a ton of BABIP help last season which was not going to repeat and so here we are.  I think Ray is more in the middle of the two extremes but he clearly is in a funk right now.

Eric Hosmer:  2/4 with his first HR while hitting .333.  Hosmer is still crazy ground ball heavy which doesn't seem like it will ever change and that is why it took two weeks for the first long ball.  20-25 homers are the MOST we can expect here but Hosmer is still going to be terrific in runs, RBI, and average.

Danny Duffy:  5.1 IP 4 H 1 ER 3 BB 7 K with an ERA of 5.40.  Still too many baserunners and thus, you can't try this.

James Paxton:  6 IP 6 H 2 ER 1 BB 10 K with an ERA of 5.74.  There he is.  Paxton was terrific and he can overpower any lineup when he is on.

Yoan Moncada:  0/4 while hitting .200.  Really worrying about the kid now.  Still can't hit offspeed stuff and Tim Anderson could move to leadoff any game now.

Nate Jones:  scoreless 9th for his first save and ERA of 2.08.  All through the winter I said Jones would lead the White Sox in saves this season as he is simply the better pitcher over Joakim Soria which he is showing already this season.  Soria has been hit start literally since the start of camp and so even though no official word has been given, Jones will be the guy before too long if he is not already.

Matt Davidson:  1/4 with his 5th HR while hitting .235.  The average fell as expected but the power is still very impressive.  Eventually all these guys see their numbers move back toward mean area codes.

Eric Thames:  2/4 with his 5th HR while hitting .263.  If the Brewers front office can hypnotize Thames in order to get him to believe every month is April, 60 home runs is possible.

Tommy Pham:  2/4 with his second HR while hitting .256.  The article Pham took part in with Sports Illustrated last week had so many F-bombs in it that Joe Pesci from Goodfellas would have blushed.

Alex Bregman:  4/6 with his first HR while hitting .245.  I actually got some tweets asking me what was wrong with Bregman prior to this game?  Well, nothing is wrong with him.  He is just a kid for goodness sakes with a ridiculous amount of talent.  He started slow a year ago as well before going nuclear in from June onward and while I don't think it will take that long this time around, I am 100 percent confident the kid will supply whatever you paid to get him at the draft table this past March.

Max Kepler:  2/4 with 2 home runs (3 for season) while hitting .281.  Perhaps we would have paid more attention to this kid if he wasn't coming up right in the middle of the home run renaissance but Kepler is not a major talking point in the fantasy baseball world given how his power is everywhere in the game.  Still, he is a young kid who may be able to post an average that won't kill you to go with 25 bombs. 

Lance McCullers:  8 ER in 3.2 IP with an ERA of 7.71.  Jon Gray=Lance McCullers.

Zack Wheeler:  7 IP 2 H 1 ER 1 BB 7 K with an ERA of 1.29.  There it is.  When Wheeler was sent down to the minors at the end of spring training, he overhauled his release to where he was not dragging his arm through the zone anymore.  He dominated in his one minor league outing and then dominated in this one too.  Obviously it was the Marlins but what was key here is that Wheeler pitched ahead in the count almost all night and this is what happened.  Always battling control, Wheeler's 100-mph fastball can eat up hitters if he stays ahead in the count.  Something to watch but I would make a speculative add here and bench Wheeler to see how he does next time out.

Jarlin Garcia:  6 IP 0 H 0 ER 2 BB 3 K with an ERA of 1.13.  Garcia did very well with six no-hit innings against a red-hot lineup in the New York Mets but he will win no games in Miami and he likely caught them off guard due to the unfamiliarity factor. 

Carlos Carrasco:  9 IP 3 H 1 ER 2 BB 6 K with an ERA of 3.48.  When Carrasco is on like this, few are better.

Aledmys Diaz:  1/4 with his third HR while hitting .206.  Diaz is hitting for power which is no shock moving to Rogers Center but he has still yet to show the .300 average from 2016.  Don't chase yet. 

Cesar Hernandez:  1/4 with his second HR while hitting .300.  Once again Hernandez is hitting .300 in front of a loaded lineup and adding some power/speed.  Why is he not universally owned then?  Some strange things happen in the fantasy baseball community.

Luis Castillo:  6 IP 5 H 3 ER 0 BB 4 K with an ERA of 7.31.  No one in all of baseball needed a good pitched game than this kid and he got it.  Castillo is still not generating the strikeout rate of a year ago as opposing hitters are laying off his fastball a bit but hopefully as the weather continues to warm up, so will he.

Nick Pivetta:  7 IP 5 H 2 ER 0 BB 7 K with an ERA of 2.70.  Something interesting is happening here. 

Gary Sanchez:  3/5 with 2 home runs (3 for season) while hitting .122.  Sanchez is set to launch 6 homers in 8 games as all is forgiven. 

Hanley Ramirez:  1/3 with his second HR while hitting .357.  Amazing what good health can do for an aging but still good hitter.

J.D. Martinez:  2/4 with his second HR while hitting .250.  You get the sense Martinez is still feeling his way around Boston but the bombs are on schedule to go crazy any moment now.

Masahiro Tanaka:  6 ER in 5 IP with an ERA of 5.19.  Two more home runs given up which is always the story,.  Tanaka's WHIP is an excellent 1.04 and that speaks volumes to how the home runs are completely overshadowing some very good pitching going on here. 

Jaime Barria:  5 IP 1 H 1 ER 3 BB 3 K with an ERA of 1.80.  Very good debut for the kid but I said in an earlier piece how he will have little margin for error operating in the AL with just mediocre K stuff.  The ball moves well for sure but once opposing hitters began to get their timing down against him, things could turn ugly for Barria real quick. 



2 comments:

  1. Bregman actually got dropped in my league. Crazy! I was saving my high waiver ranking for when Acuna comes up (he's not yet listed in my league), but I'm thinking I might use it to get Bregman now.

    ReplyDelete
  2. That is ludicrous and yes use top waiver add there.

    ReplyDelete