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Monday, April 30, 2018

2018 FANTASY BASEBALL WRAPUP: SUNDAY

Teoscar Hernandez:  2/3 with his 4th HR while hitting .316.  Hernandez looks here to stay but don't buy the average as his .351 BABIP is not sustainable.  The power is real though and Hernandez won't be a .250 slugger since he is drawing walks as shown by his 10.0 BB/9.  Solid beginning.

Yangervis Solarte:  2/4 with his 7th HR while hitting .231.  We have seen Solarte hit for average for too long to think he will be a .230 guy.  Look for incremental improvements there but the bigger story is the power uptick which makes sense going from San Diego to Toronto.  I would hold.

Kevin Pillar:  1/3 with his 4th HR while hitting .310.  Another home run from arguably the most underrated outfielder in fantasy baseball.

J.A. Happ:  7 IP 5 H 2 ER 0 BB 9 K with an ERA of 3.50.  Yeah I can't think of many pitchers who have had their best years after going to Rogers Center as a home base.

Ozzie Albies:  2/5 with his 9th HR and 3rd SB while hitting .293.  Surprised Albies didn't pitch in this one as well since he literally did everything.  Unbelievably, Albies is the top players in all of fantasy baseball so far in 2018.

Ronald Acuna:  2/3 with his first SB while hitting .421.  I said Acuna was probably bored in the minors which is why he struggled and that he would go nuts when promoted.  Which is pretty much exactly what has happened.

Vince Velasquez:  6 ER in 4 IP with an ERA of 5.70. Yeah he looked like a competent major league pitcher for like 5 minutes this season before reality caught up.  I still firmly think Velasquez can be a dominant reliever if just given the chance.

Luke Weaver:  5.1 IP 6 H 4 ER 2 BB 6 K with an ERA of 5.17.  Another dud from Weaver who is starting to do a good Luis Castillo impersonation.

Rick Porcello:  7.2 IP 7 H 3 ER 0 BB 6 K with an ERA of 2.23.  I know I have an unreasonable bias against this guy but I just can't see Porcello holding up these ratios in the AL East.  I would listen to all offers and also put him out there.

Caleb Smith:  7 IP 2 H 0 ER 1 BB 9 K with an ERA of 4.40.  The 1.26 WHIP is a positive and makes the high ERA more easy to digest.  Smith has always missed bats at a high rate in the minors so no quibble there but he also has some of the worst control imaginable so not going crazy here.

Michael Taylor:  1/4 with his third HR while hitting .221.  This is Kevin Pillar with a worse average.

Gio Gonzalez:  7 IP 6 H 1 ER 2 BB 8 K with an ERA of 2.67.  The 1.43 WHIP is hideous which means this bomb will go off very soon.  Get out now.

George Springer:  2/3 with his 4th HR while hitting .267. Springer has been known to go on insane home run binges so this is the start of the latest one.

Gerrit Cole:  6.2 IP 6 H 3 ER 0 BB 12 K with an ERA of 1.73.  The biggest competitor to Justin Verlander for the AL Cy Young Award will possibly come from his teammate.

Adam Duvall:  1/5 with his 4th HR and 2nd SB while hitting .177.  Duvall noticed that no one in the fantasy baseball community was talking about him so he made sure to do what he could to get noticed in this game.  We still don't care.

Tyler Chatwood:  7 IP 2 H 0 ER 3 BB 4 K with an ERA of 2.83.  Chatwood is lucky he has the ERA he currently is carrying around given his complete lack of control this season.  The fact you can't trust him in any one start makes him a no-go for me in fantasy baseball.

Ryon Healy:  3.4 with 2 home runs (3 for season) while hitting .211.  This is a quality 25-home run bat that is likely just sitting there in your league's waiver wire.  Go pick him up.

Robinson Cano:  2/5 with his third HR while hitting .313.  The home run per game rate is slowing down here which could be a concession to age but the swing is still there.

Mitch Haniger:  3/5 with his 10th HR while hitting .309.  Just to show you we all make HIDEOUS mistakes in fantasy baseball, I cut Haniger a few days into the season.  YUP!

Trey Mancini:  1/4 with his third HR while hitting .272.  Another underrated young hitter who is now putting back-to-back solid seasons together.

Pedro Alvarez:  2/4 with 2 home runs (6 for season) while hitting .237.  If you choose to ride it out, be my guest.

Gary Sanchez:  1/4 with his 7th HR while hitting .207.  Sanchez had a 10.5 BB/9 in 2016 and that mark is at 6.7 right now.  Add in a very unlucky .197 BABIP and that explains the average.  The power has already come around and the average will too.  Stay patient.

Nick Kingham:  7 IP 1 H 0 ER 0 BB 9 K with an ERA of 0.00.  Yeah I took a ton of abuse yesterday for saying last week to not bother with Kingham due to a mediocre K rate. Talk about oversimplification.  For one thing, I meant for Kingham's minor league career where 4 times out of 8 stops he was under 7.50 with his K/9 which is not good by any means.  Also, Kingham had a 4.13 ERA at Triple-A a year ago and debuted yesterday at 26 so this is not Clayton Kersahw coming up.  Great first start no doubt but Kingham took advantage of hitters who have no video or book on him so let's see a few more starts before we start drawing conclusions. 


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