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Sunday, April 29, 2018

2018 FANTASY BASEBALL WRAPUP: SATURDAY

Scott Schebler:  1/3 with his third HR while hitting .317.  I said all last season that Schebler was a much more capable average hitter to go with the power since he dealt with some brutal BAPIP luck.  He is putting both skills together this time around.

Carson Fulmer:  7 IP 4 H 0 ER 3 BB 3 K with an ERA of 4.32.  The WHIP is 1.48, he pitches in the AL, and his rates are all screaming "Avoid!"

Junior Guerra:  6 IP 3 H 1 ER 2 BB 6 K with an ERA of 0.82.  There is no new magic formula here.  Guerre still sucks as his BABIP is incredibly lucky at .244 and his strand rate is quite fortunate as well.  Add it up and Guerra's XFIP ERA is 4.06.  In other words, the usual mediocre Guerra.  Also his 3.38 BB/9 is a joke as well.

Jose Quintana:  7 IP 2 H 0 ER 1 BB 7 K with an ERA of 5.74.  Things couldn't have been any worse leading into this one and so this was greatly needed.  An unlucky.339 BABIP is part of the problem but Quintana has also dropped off a cliff in strikeouts (from 9.87 a year ago to 7.32 now).  The control remains hideous (5.03 BB/9) and overall I am not liking what I am seeing here at all.

David Peralta:  3/4 with 2 home runs (5 for season) while hitting .322.  15-20 home runs is the absolute ceiling here but Peralta is a more than proven .300 stick whose operation in the leadoff spot has all A.J. Pollock owners jealous.

Ryan Zimmerman:  2/5 with his 4th HR while hitting .200. I don't think there is a fantasy baseball veteran out there who thought 2017 was repeatable.

Patrick Corbin:  6.2 IP 7 H 3 ER 1 BB 7 K with an ERA of 2.25.  This qualifies as Corbin getting shelled this season.

Robinson Chirinos:  2/4 with 2 home runs (5 for season) while hitting .186.  The Mike Zunino Special.

Jurickson Profar:  1/3 with his first HR while hitting .227.  This would have been so much more exciting in 2012. 

Kevin Pillar:  2/4 with 2 home runs (3 for season) while hitting .309.  Why doesn't anyone ever include Pillar in the power/speed outfielder discussion? 

Yonder Alonso:  2/3 with his 8th HR while hitting .236.  This is some power binge that Alonso is on right now and obviously, you ride it all the way out.

Jean Segura:  3/5 with his second HR and 5th SB while hitting .300.  The HR/SB Special here and Segura once again is having a fine season.  He feels like old news in today's fantasy baseball but Segura is still quite young despite it feeling like he has been around forever. 

Carlos Carrasco:  4 ER in 3 IP with an ERA of 3.08.  With a 0.95 WHIP, Carrasco overall has been tremendous and every bit a fantasy baseball ace.  Nothing to worry about yet. 

Nelson Cruz:  4/5 with his 5th HR while hitting .290.  The guy has had one of the best ever careers after the age of 30 I have seen in a long while. 

David Price:  5 ER in 5.2 IP with an ERA of 3.78.  This guy drives me insane. 

Rafael Devers:  3/5 with his 4th HR while hitting .278. Devers has done just enough to keep himself about the "Crisis Point" level but his fantasy baseball owners would admit to being a bit disappointed thus far. 

Wilson Ramos:  3/3 with his 4th HR while hitting .292.  Almost as hot as Yonder Alonso. 

Chris Taylor:  3/6 with his 4th HR while hitting .232.  Signs of life finally.  Was not a fan of Taylor heading into the season as there was a lot of fluke tendencies to his season a year ago but he is certainly better than what he has shown. 

Walker Buehler:  5 IP 6 H 2 ER 1 BB 6 K with an ERA of 1.80.  The Dodgers are babying Buehler a but in not allowing to go past five innings but he has been very good.  The future is bright here and could include an eventual challenge to ace status. 

Chris Stratton:  6 ER in 1.1 IP with an ERA of 3.90.  So I did a piece a week ago on Stratton where I said he was a "Mirage" and now this.  There we go. 

Charlie Blackmon:  1/4 with his 9th HR while hitting .281. Blackmon was back at leadoff which is good or bad depending on how you view this. Whether it is more runs and less RBI or the opposite, Blackmon continues to pound the baseball which is all that matters. 

Yoenis Cespedes:  1/3 with his 6th HR while hitting .218.  Cespedes has been an average drain to all of his fantasy baseball owners (including me) so any power contribution is fully appreciated.  He is getting a bit up there but not to where he should be dropping off this sharply.  A mystery. 

Christian Villanueva:  1/3 with his 8th HR while hitting .348. I admit I dismissed this guy when this home runs began to go out but maybe he is in fact just a late bloomer. 

Francy Cordero:  1/5 with his 6th HR while hitting .237.  Lots of surprising offensive contributions on the San Diego Padres this season but through it all, Eric Hosmer still sucks.

Joey Luchessi:  5/2 IP 4 H 2 ER 2 BB 6 K with an ERA of 2.78. I watched every pitch on Luchessi last night in doing deep homework here and a few things stood out:  1.  His delivery is beyond funky and very tough for opposing hitters to pick up the pitch which boosts the K's  2.  The kid has a rising fastball that also generates a ton of whiffs.  3.  I am fully on board here as a truly emerging power arm.

Jason Vargas:  9 ER in 3.2 IP with an ERA of 22.09.  I hope after the game Mickey Callaway didn't guarantee Vargas' next start like he once did with Matt Harvey and Steven Matz. 

Nick Markakis:  1/2 with his 4th HR while hitting .307.  No speed anymore like the early Baltimore days but Markakis is still hitting ropes all over as he fully entered into the underrated portion of his career beginning in 2010.  I mocked the four-year deal the Atlanta Braves handed to him four years ago but Markakis has been a decent buy. 

Mike Foltynewicz:  6 IP 3 H 1 ER 2 BB 6 K with an ERA of 2.53.  While Blake Snell gets most of the love, don't miss the fact that this guy is also stepping up into the big-time now that he has made inroads with his control. 

Miguel Cabrera:  3/4 with his 4th HR while hitting .333.  A big talking point in the preseason was whether or not Miguel Cabrera was done as an early round slugger in fantasy baseball and through a month of the season, the answer is an obvious no.  He looks like he wants to challenge for a batting title again and the exit velocities are still on par with his prime.  The one thing I will say though is that the back problems could be showing up in his decreased home run per game rate compared to the heyday. 

Victor Martinez:  1/5 with his second HR while hitting .237.  Martinez can still be a help as a backup bat in deeper leagues but not much at this stage. 

Francisco Cervelli:  1/3 with his 4th HR while hitting .307.  The guy can still hit and in today's catcher pathetic fantasy baseball, Cervelli is a near top-five guy which is comical. 

Jake Flaherty:  5 IP 4 H 3 ER 4 BB 2 K with an ERA of 3.60.  It was a visually impressive outing by Flaherty but the Cards should do themselves a favor and give the talented kid some leash.

George Springer:  2/4 with his 5th HR while hitting .257.  Nothing happening here to be concerned about as Springer's average dip is just solely to an unlucky BABIP.

Jose Altuve:  4/5 with his second HR while hitting .351.  Joey Votto is calling Altuve for hitting tips. My goodness the batting averages the last few seasons have been simply insane.  Altuve's fly ball rate is up slightly but the home run rate is off from the last two years.  Either way, this is nitpicking at the highest order.

Lance McCullers:  7 IP 2 H 0 ER 0 BB 7 K with an ERA of 3.71.  The WHIP is down to 1.21 as McCullers is really dealing now.  Kerry Wood comparison right down to the injury right? 

Tim Anderson:  1/4 with his 4th HR while hitting .278.  So overblown the concerns about Anderson's average since he has beaten that curve since coming up.  He gets part-time leadoff duty with Yoan Moncada and has been well worth daily usage. 

Masahiro Tanaka:  6 IP 2 H 1 ER 2 BB 9 K with an ERA of 4.37. The 1.03 WHIP shows you hoiw good Tanaka is actually pitching but the home runs skew everything. 



2 comments:

  1. I like your blog but think you're dead wrong about Junior Guerra. He just dominated the Cubs in Wrigley with Bryant. Look up his 2016 season and reassess his current 0.82 ERA and 0.95 WHIP. He was playing hurt last year. This is vintage Guerra

    ReplyDelete
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