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Saturday, April 21, 2018

2018 FANTASY BASEBALL WRAPUP: FRIDAY

Mike Moustakas:  1/5 with his 5th HR while hitting .338.  Moustakas has just a 14.7 K/9 which is Jose Ramirez territory but he is not walking to make things even more sweeter with a BB/9 of just 2.9.  The latter will make it impossible for Moustakas to hit over .300 but this is a guy who is looking very motivated to get paid next winter.

Jason Hammel:  9 IP 5 H 2 ER 2 BB 4 K with an ERA of 3.20.  Hammel has always done his best work from April through June so in deeper formats he can work as an SP until the end of that stretch.

Teoscar Hernandez:  1/3 with his second HR while hitting .370. I said to pick up Hernandez when he was promoted given his minor league power track record and Rogers Center will certainly help bring that skill to the forefront.  Not sure how long the good times will last since he has always carried average risk but see it through as always with hot sluggers.

Yangervis Solarte:  1/4 with his 5th HR while hitting .283.  Petco Park curbed any power potential Solarte had and he is the classic example of a guy whose move to a more favorable hitting environment helped unleashed burgeoning numbers. 

Giancarlo Stanton:  1/4 with his 4th HR while hitting .205.  Listen Stanton will hit home run by accident so don't think for a second all is well now here since he went yard.  Among the bigger disappointments so far this season as I think Stanton just struck out again. 

Miguel Andujar:  1/4 with his second HR while hitting .227.  Andujar is really going on a game-to-game scenario with the Yanks as the team is struggling and they won't hesitate to send him back to the minors if he is still hitting .220 in a week or two. 

Sonny Gray:  5 ER in 3.1 IP with an ERA of 8.27.  I am not surprised in the least what is happening here as I had it down in print in my annual draft guide that Gray was a bust waiting to happen and his "comeback" campaign a year ago was Oakland-heavy since his ERA and advanced rates all went the wrong way once he arrived in NY.  Wish you would have listened. 

Marco Estrada:  5 ER in 5 IP with an ERA of 5.32.  It was all right to look past Estrada's annually high home run rates (3 given up last night) when he was beating the BABIP curve on a yearly basis. No more of that as Estrada is now waiver junk. 

Manny Machado:  1/3 with his 6th HR while hitting .388.  Remember Machado was compared to Miguel Cabrera when he was first coming up and that came from this peanut stand. 

Dylan Bundy:  6 IP 5 H 1 ER 2 BB 9 K with an ERA of 1.42.  Hot starts are becoming part of the DNA for Bundy and I have been wrong about him to this point.  Still, Bundy got a ton of strand rate and BABIP love a year ago and finished in ugly fashion.  I will allow for improvement here but I am still wary. 

Ivan Nova:  6 IP 5 H 1 ER 0 BB 3 K with an ERA of 4.20.  Nova has pitched better than his ERA indicates which is just a continuation on his strong SP 5 status since arriving in Pittsburgh. 

Whit Merrifield:  1/5 with his second HR while hitting .271. Merrifield was looking like a huge one-year wonder prior to the homers the last week so we will take whatever we can get here. 

Jake Junis:  8 IP 4 H 2 ER 1 BB 4 K with an ERA of 2.03. Incredible stuff here from Junis which has carried over since the start of spring training which adds some validity to it.  The problems are apparent though when you look at the .169 BAHIP which if even at .269 would still be quite lucky.  In addition, Junis will have a tough time making it through the season with a below-average 6.75 K/9.  This is a MAJOR sell high. 

Max Kepler:  2/4 with his 4th HR while hititng .289.  With so many young sluggers in today's game unable to hit for average, this is a nice feather in the cap for Kepler. 

Logan Morrison:  1/4 with his first HR while hitting .083.  Now Morrison can tweet that he does in fact have proof he is in fact still an active player. 

Chris Archer:  6.2 IP 4 H 2 ER 1 BB 5 K with an ERA of 6.59.  It is a start but Archer still gave up another home run.  Make a note to yourself to avoid the Archers, Tanakas, and Estradas of the world next spring when it comes to the draft. 

Ozzie Albies:  1/4 with his 6th HR while hitting .352.  And to think we were expecting mucho steals and just a few home runs.  Completely overshadowed by Ronald Acuna, I got Albies in the 14th round of the Experts Draft which at this point netted me a first-round talent. 

Mitch Haniger:  3/4 with his 5th HR while hitting .290.  What's funny is that for all the hype Haniger got a year ago when he busted due to injury, no one is talking about him this time around when he is healthy and hitting as a post-hype sleeper. 

Carlos Correa:  3/5 with 2 home runs (4 for season) while hitting .319.  Nothing but standard excellence here. 

Justin Verlander:  6 IP 2 H 0 ER 3 BB 5 K with an ERA of 1.10.  Could be another Cy Young campaign underway here. 

Ryan Braun:  3/5 with his 5th HR while hitting .230.  Another 1.5 games until Braun pulls up lame and is day-to-day for 8-10 days. 

Travis Shaw:  3/4 with his third HR while hitting .291.  Shaw is reaching that hallowed ground as the dependable fantasy baseball bat who you don't think about much since you think the numbers will just be there. 

Javier Baez:  4/6 with his 6th HR while hitting .290.  Nice steps forward.from Baez this season so those who bought him at the affordable price he presented at the draft have done well. 

Kyle Schwarber:  3/4 with his 4th HR while hitting .283.  Schwarber's walk rate is up and his K/9 is down slightly so there are some legs to the improvement here. 

Tyson Ross:  7.2 IP 1 H 1 ER 3 BB 10 K with an ERA of 2.81.  I said Ross was a person of interest given his return to San Diego and the advantages of pitching in Petco Park.  The K rate is coming all the way back from the endless injuries the last few seasons and so there is some clear reason for optimism here. 

Max Scherzer:  6 IP 4 H 1 ER 3 BB 9 K with an ERA of 1.36.  Scherzer beating Clayton Kershaw is just confirmation of what I have been saying since 2016 regarding how he is the better fantasy baseball bet now. 

Clayton Kershaw:  7 IP 9 H 4 ER 0 BB 4 K with an ERA of 2.45.  Sorry Clayton but you are not the top guy anymore. 


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