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Saturday, March 10, 2018

2018 FANTASY BASEBALL HOT STOVE SIGNINGS: LANCE LYNN FINALLY OFF MARKET AFTER INKING ONE-YEAR DEAL WITH TWINS

While the Minnesota Twins failed to reel in top pitching target Yu Darvish during free agency, they got a decent consolation prize Saturday in the form of veteran Lance Lynn who came aboard on for one year at $12 million.  This brings to an end the long winter wait for Lynn to find a suitor and he will help fill the void left by ace Ervin Santana who is out until May due after undergoing surgery on his finger.  In terms of Lynn and his fantasy baseball outlook, that is not looking as promising as before since he will leave the NL and the St. Louis Cardinals for the American League in Minnesota.  While Target Field is not a home run haven, Lynn will now have to deal with the DH and hope to hold off some numbers correction after he got a lucky to post a 3.43 ERA a year ago.  Coming off 2016 Tommy John surgery, Lynn's surface numbers were good a year ago but his advanced metrics are full of red flags.  The first problem centered on Lynn's lucky .244 BABIP which is as low as that number can almost go in the fortunate column.  Lynn's adjusted FIP (4.82) and XFIP (4.75) were both way above his actual 3.43 ERA and that shows he was not as good as he seemed last season.  In addition, Lynn's 7.39 K/9 was very mediocre and not being able to miss bats now in the AL is another potential issue.  Combined together, Lynn is looking like nothing but an SP 5 this season in all fantasy baseball formats.  Ideally, you may want to avoid him altogether this spring. 




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