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Saturday, October 7, 2017

2017 FANTASY BASEBALL POSTSCRIPT: WIL MYERS 1B SAN DIEGO PADRES

Everyone’s draft day darling after hitting 28 home runs and stealing 28 bases in a crazy good 2016 campaign, San Diego Padres first baseman Wil Myers pretty much paid back whatever the high draft cost was the previous spring.  What is very stable here is the power which became Myers’ calling card when making his way up the minor league ladder with the Tampa Bay Rays and he re-affirmed that skill last season by swatting a career-best 30 home runs.  While we did have concerns about the 28 steals the previous season due to the outlier odor they gave off, Myers kept on running (but at a lesser frequency) by picking up 20 more in 2017.  So while the power/speed game remained immense and very rare for a first baseman, Myers did have problems elsewhere.  First of all, Myers’ average was a big problem as it sank all the way down to .243 from 2016’s .259.  Myers’s old high strikeout ways came back to bite him as his 27.7 K/9 was a career-worst mark; while he also eroded both in runs/RBI compared to the previous season.  The reason being for the negatives was likely due to the fact the Padres front office stripped down the roster/batting order which left Myers will very little in the way of protection.  Anyone who owned Atlanta Braves first baseman Freddie Freeman from 2014-15 know all too well about the issues this can bring to a slugger’s numbers and so at least some of Myers’ slippage can be blamed on that aspect of things.  Be that as it may, we are still talking about a 30/20 first baseman which is incredibly value given the lack of speed at the position and we can’t imagine Myers being as bad with the strikeouts again in 2018.  The draft price may drop a tad based almost solely on the .243 average and so in that scenario, Myers looks like a smart play.  Just keep in mind Myers no longer carries outfield eligibility. 

2018 PROJECTION:  .255 29 HR 92 RBI 94 R 19 SB  

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