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Saturday, October 14, 2017

2017 FANTASY BASEBALL POSTSCRIPT: JOSE ABREU 1B CHICAGO WHITE SOX

One of the stranger developments in the fantasy baseball community during the last year or so has been the growing indifferent attitude many have when it comes to Chicago White Sox first baseman Jose Abreu.  It wasn't always this way of course as Abreu was a highly targeted sleeper when he first arrived from Cuba prior to 2014 and the hype went crazy when the guy went out and swatted 36 homers with a .317 average as a rookie.  Since that time however, Abreu has seen his name fade from discussions regarding the top first baseman in today’s game as he seemingly entered into the "old news" section. This tends to happen to players who don't steal bases like Abreu and who also don't exactly blow up any one category.  What we have with Abreu is a guy who is very good in four categories (runs, RBI, average, HR) but who for some reason saw his ADP slip into the second and even third round for 2017 drafts.  Those who took advantage of the discount got another vintage Abreu season as he hit 33 home runs, drove in 93, and batted .304.  Add in 95 runs scored and once again Abreu was tremendous in four categories like always.  Also while we always talk about the insane stability/dependability of Chicago Cubs first baseman Anthony Rizzo, Abreu is pretty close when it comes to writing down in ink his expected yearly numbers.  Consider that Abreu has hit 30 or more homers in three out of his four MLB seasons; while at the same time never hitting less than .290.  We always love our sluggers to hit for average and power when it comes to fantasy baseball and you can argue Abreu does this better than Rizzo (higher lifetime batting average) for a cheaper draft price.  Ultimately Rizzo wins out due to the fact he steals a few bases each year (just six for Abreu in four MLB seasons) but the two sluggers are very similar.  So while Rizzo will go in Round 1 in most drafts this spring, the better value may very well be Abreu in Round 2. 

2018 PROJECTION:  .295 32 HR 101 RBI 93 R 1 SB  

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