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Saturday, July 29, 2017

2017 FANTASY FOOTBALL DRAFT BUST: MATT RYAN QB ATLANTA FALCONS

Say it ain't so.  How could a guy who I have been nothing short of the biggest fan in the industry over the last six years or so now become someone I personally label a bust?  Believe me I can't even believe I am typing this out but I can't say it is not true.  But first let's do some history here.  As I already stated, Atlanta Falcons QB Matt Ryan has been a personal favorite of mine for years now and it always had to do with the fact he annually came with a very affordable price at the draft table for someone who routinely tossed 25-plus scores and over 4,000 yards a season.  While everyone else chased Drew Brees or Aaron Rodgers, I waited until the middle rounds to snag Ryan in the Experts League and did very well with that plan.  Well unfortunately I won't be able to go back to that well again this season as Ryan comes into the 2017 fantasy football season off an insane career-year in 2016 when he passes for 4,944 yards and 38 scores for the Super Bowl runners-up.  It was a spectacular season from Ryan all the way around and the numbers clearly jumped off the page.  Having an offensive line that finally was cohesive, a dominant run game to take off the heat, and an All-Pro wideout in Julio Jones being joined by capable secondary receivers; Ryan was a monster.  What that did though was sent Ryan's 2017 fantasy football draft price soaring to where he is now being drafted in the top four at the position with Brees, Rodgers, and Tom Brady.  One of the more tried-and-true strategies I employ in fantasy sports is to NEVER pay for a career season and so that alone has me avoiding Ryan in 2017.  There is almost no way Ryan will have the offensive planets aligning as well this year as they did in 2016 and so expect a dip in numbers on that front.  Also Ryan's allure over the years was being an affordable and very good fantasy football quarterback and that is no longer in play given the current sticker price.  Finally, there are big questions about how the offense will look with 2016 OC Kyle Shanahan now the head coach in San Francisco and the untested Steve Sarkisian at the controls.  OC changes are usually tough initially on a passer and so that is another decent worry we have to be aware of here.  Combine everything together and there are simply too many things to concern yourself here with the veteran.  While I would not make it a point to avoid Ryan at all costs, I will be looking elsewhere for value this season.

2017 PROJECTION:  4,361 yards 29 TD 14 INT


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