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Saturday, June 3, 2017

2017 FANTASY BASEBALL TREND/MIRAGE: TY BLACH SP SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS



In this season of unmatched injury among the starting pitching community, most fantasy baseball players have had to dig deep to find serviceable arms and stopgaps hurlers to help make up the lost innings when their top guys went down.  Uncovering some hidden gems is the ultimate goal here and one such gem two months into the 2017 season appears to be the San Francisco Giants' Ty Blach who just got done engineering a a complete game shutout Friday night which included only 7 hits given up and 4 K's.  That outing lowered Blach's ERA to 3.24 and his WHIP to 1.11 in 58.1 innings on the year.  So with that said how legit is Blach right now and can be continue to be a help moving forward?

As we always go, going under the advanced statistics window is the way to find out and when doing so, it is easy to discover more than a few reasons to doubt Blach's chances.  While he does operate in a spacious ballpark in San Francisco which no doubt is a plus, Blach is your classic definition of a soft-tosser as we can see in his pathetic 3.55 K/9 rate.  Even in the minors, the highest K/9 rate Blach has achieved above A-Ball was the 6.25 he had this past April in Triple-A.  Those are very ugly K/9 rates to say the least and if he were in the AL, Blach would have been destroyed by now in a Josh Tomlin kind of way.  He can get away with it more in the NL of course if he protects himself from walks and home runs and so far Blach has done that.  His control has been very good actually (2.01 BB/9) and he is keeping the ball in the park (0.62 HR/9) which are both big pluses and help make up for the lack of whiffs.  However Blach's .250 BABIP is unsustainable and when you adjust that to the ERA, his XFIP comes out to a horrible 4.64.  That 4.64 ERA is much more indicative of the type of pitcher Blach is and using him going forward (especially on the road) is likely going to be dicey.  So to answer the question on Blach:

TREND OR MIRAGE:  MIRAGE

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