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Sunday, June 18, 2017

2017 FANTASY BASEBALL STATUS REPORT: RYON HEALY 3B OAKLAND A'S

As of this writing, Oakland A's third baseman Ryon Healy has just cracked his second HR of the day Saturday of New York Yankees ace Masahiro Tanaka to bring his season total to 17 in just 67 games.  Or one short of the projection I gave to him prior to the season.  While I do make it a very big habit to point out all the players I was right on in calling them sleepers or busts, I was completely wrong on the outlook of Healy as I did a BUST piece on him back in March in saying he would hit 18 home runs with just a .262 average.  The issues I had with Healy were the fact he drew few walks last season (just 6.2 BB/9) to go with a BABIP that was very lucky and due to regress at .352.  Well Healy has been anything but a bust as he was hitting .281 going into Saturday's games and has picked up 40 RBI as well before teeing off on Tanaka.  Then there is the power which is on pace for 35 which would blow past even the most optimistic projections anyone had for him.

Digging into the numbers a bit, a few things do stand out.  For one, Healy absolutely destroys lefties to the tune of a scorching .389 average.  However 10 of Healy's 15 home run have come versus righties but with a much lower .252 average.  So there is a clear split here for sure when it comes to average and it is not the one you want.  However there are still some concerns, such as a still very lucky .331 BABIP and Healy is walking even less at a pathetic 3.4 BB/9.  Throw in a 25.8 K/9 which is much worse then the 21.2 he put up a year ago and Healy could be headed for a long cold spell coming up.  The advanced numbers are all speaking in very negative tones outside of the pure power and so selling high on Healy is really a swell idea.  Of course if you are using Healy as a backup, feel free to hold onto him and stream versus lefties.  There is still good value to be had here and Healy is headed for a big power output no matter what takes place with the average.


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