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Sunday, May 21, 2017

2017 FANTASY BASEBALL WRAPUP: SATURDAY

Vince Velasquez:  5.1 IP 7 H 5 ER 2 BB 6 K with an ERA of 5.98.  When is someone in the Phillies organization going to read my site and take my advice that Velasquez is a closer masquerading as a starter?  Drop him.

Lonnie Chisenhall:  2/4 with his 6th HR while hitting .279.  You should have picked him up yesterday.

Mike Clevinger:  7 IP 2 H 0 ER 2 BB 8 K with an ERA of 1.56.  Clevinger is the 2016 version of Robert Gsellman.  A pitcher who is really not that good but who is pitching like he is due to unfamiliarity by the hitters.

Hanley Ramirez:  2/4 with his sixth HR while hitting .258.  This was another obvious bust case that anyone who has a clue in fantasy baseball should have seen coming.

Chad Pinder:  1/3 with his 4th HR while hitting .267.  Pinder is hot and so in AL-only formats he qualifies as an add.  Nothing in his pedigree suggests he will be a daily mixer but as always ride it out and see where he takes you.

Jed Lowrie:  3/5 with his 6th HR while hitting .278.  There may not be a single more boring hitter in all of fantasy baseball.  During the three weeks that Lowrie manages to ever stay healthy, he can help you with some pop but not much else.

Eugenio Suarez:  1/2 with his 9th HR while hitting .Man Suarez was very interesting last season with a power/speed game but the average was nasty.  The latter has not been a problem so far this season and the power/speed game is still there.  Commence increased heart rate.

Devin Mesoraco:  2/4 with his second HR while hitting .289.  Mesoraco is playing more on a daily basis and he is hitting.  That's pretty much all that is required to be an option as a catcher in fantasy baseball.

Scott Schebler:  2/4 with his 11th HR while hitting .248.  It is like watching Adam Duvall last season in terms of his emergence.

Matt Kemp:  1/4 with his 8th HR while hitting .346.  Life without Freddie Freeman has gone well so far for Kemp but he also has the added benefit of a new home run ballpark that his teammate didn't have when he was left on a lineup island the previous two seasons.

Zach Wheeler:  5 IP 4 H 2 ER 5 BB 5 K with an ERA of 3.74.  Again typical Wheeler in walking the ballpark and coming out of games early due to high pitch counts.  In between he throws power stuff that ties up opposing hitters.  We are soon reaching the sell point here as well though given the fact Wheeler is on just a 120-130 inning limit and fatigue will become an issue after he has missed the last two complete seasons.

Carlos Martinez:  9 IP 2 H 0 ER 1 BB 5 K with an ERA of 3.28.  Pure dominance here.  Martinez has total shutdown stuff when he is not pulling a Wheeler and walking the ballpark.  Not sure I like him getting up to toss nine innings with a history of shoulder trouble but that is a concern for his next outing.

Jeff Samardzjia:  8 IP 5 H 0 ER 0 BB 8 K with an ERA of 4.57.  Don't look now but Samardzjia has been pitching power games for the last two weeks now.  In fact Samardzjia is a major buy low as he is actually having an excellent season if you look past the ugly ERA.  For one thing, his 10.48 K/9 rate is currently a career-best and blows away the 7.39 mark of 2016.  In addition, Samardzjia's .331 BABIP is incredibly unlucky.  When adjusted, his ERA comes out to 2.90 (FIP) and 2.85 (XFIP).  Want more?  How about a top-level 1.48 BB/9 rate as Samarzjia is not beating himself.  Talk up that ERA and go get him.

Jonathan Lucroy:  1/4 with his third HR while hitting .272.  Things are finally beginning to turn around for Lucroy but that was a given since he is an excellent hitter and operates in a major power park.

J.D. Martinez:  1/2 with his sixth HR while hitting .478.  When we tell you about pure power hitting examples that are about to go on a 5-home runs in 6-game span given their skills, this is what we are talking about.

Miguel Cabrera:  1/4 with his 5th HR while hitting .248.  Escaped the oblique without a DL stint but Cabrera has a lot of work to do to show he is not in fact on a cliff season.

Nick Castellanos:  2/4 with his fourth HR while hitting .235.  So far Castellanos is going backwards instead of building on his nice 2016.  Dropped in the order, he also has been widely dropped in fantasy baseball leagues.  I never really liked him anyways outside of a bench guy.

Justin Smoak:  1/4 with his 10th HR while hitting .279.  Believe.  Just believe.

Jose Bautista:  3/4 with his 7th HR while hitting .235.  Don't believe.  Just don't believe.

Manny Machado:  2/4 with his 10th HR while hitting .225.  Machado honestly is the same player as he was in 2016 but the difference this time is that he is suffering from a .226 BABIP as opposed to last year's .309.  Guys with decent speed like Machado are at least usually near .300 and so that shows you how everything he hits is to an opposing defender right now.  Unfortunately these things happen from time-to-time but it should say nothing negative about the player.

Mark Trumbo:  3/4 with his 6th HR while hitting .265.  Trumbo has raised his average by a bunch the last 10 days and look out pitching fraternity as balls are going to be flying out with regularity.

Wellington Castillo:  1/3 with his 4th HR while hitting .364.  Why don't you all own this guy?  I can't understand it.

Robbie Ray:  7.2 IP 2 H 0 ER 3 BB 6 K with an ERA of 3.91.  If Ray ever curbs the BB/9 under 3,00, he is a fantasy baseball ace.  Simply as that.

Avisail Garcia:  4/5 with 2 home runs (8 for season) while hitting .357.  Wow this kid.  Surely working on a status report here.  Still just 25, Garcia's breakthrough has been keyed by a ridiculous .409 lucky BABIP but he also has cut his K/9 rate from 2016's 25.4 to this season's 18.8.


2 comments:

  1. Do you think Odor will turn it around? Crisis Point?

    ReplyDelete
  2. I did a Crisis Point on him weeks ago. Remember he is still just a kid and had very little time in the minors. Look at Michael Conforto now after he did an Odor 2017 last season?

    ReplyDelete