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Sunday, April 23, 2017

FANTASY BASEBALL WRAPUP: SATURDAY

Anthony Rizzo:  2/4 with his third HR while hitting .299.  30 home runs and 100 RBI are about as safe a "put down in ink" projection as you can get on any player in fantasy baseball here.

Wilson Contreras:  3/4 with his second HR while hitting .275.  Catcher is downright pathetic this season and that is saying a lot.  Conteras is like the oasis in the desert that is this hideous offensive group.

Jason Heyward:  2/4 with his second HR while hitting .300.  Maybe those tweaks to Heyward's spring did unlock something.

Joey Votto:  3/5 with his 6th HR while hitting .239.  No Votto is not swinging for the fences at the expense of his average.  That will never happen with this hitting machine.

Eugenio Suarez:  3/5 with 2 home runs (5 for season) while hitting .367.  Suarez is better then he is being given credit for as no one talks about him.  This is a guy who can go 20/15 but the wild card is the average.  If Suarez were to get to .280 he would be a top 12 guy.

Jake Arrieta:  6 IP 8 H 4 ER 0 BB 8 K with an ERA of 3.65.  Arrieta is not flat out dominating like he did in 2015 and the first half of 2016 but he is generating a high amount of strikeouts again after the second half dip last season.  I personally think Arrieta is going to get worse as the season goes on given the usage on his arm and so come July I would be selling.

Francisco Rodriguez:  1 ER in 1 IP with ERA of 5.87 for sixth save.  Rodriguez has been as bad as I thought he would be and this one was obvious given the lack of velocity and age.  The heat is rising on this situation so grab Justin Wilson quick.

Nick Castellanos:  2/5 with his 5th HR while hitting .254.  Yeah Castellanos is still boring and is still squarely in the AL-only territory in terms of being an every day starter.

Justin Upton:  2/4 with his third HR while hitting .273.  Upton is now like Evan Longoria in terms of going from a guy everyone wanted who would be picked in the first two rounds to now a boring veteran who you yawn when you draft him.

Robinson Cano:  3/4 with his third HR while hitting .257.  When you blink Cano will be hitting .300 with a boatload of HR and RBI.

Ryon Healy;  2/4 with his third HR while hitting .266.  Healy is holding down the fort for Adrian Beltre owners out there and doing a fine job.  In fact Kyle Seager owners are jealous.

Starlin Castro:  1/4 with his 4th HR while hitting .364.  Castro is silly hot right now and he tends to do this in April-May.  His value has become quite good over the years after losing speed and that makes what he is doing now so much more potent.

Chris Carter:  1/1 with his first HR while hitting .179.  He has zero fantasy baseball value given his lack of playing time but nice to see a good guy like Carter get rewarded when the Yankee fan community wanted him cut.

Aaron Judge:  2/5 with his sixth HR while hitting .281.  And to think we all were drooling over Greg (.111 average) Bird this spring.  Wow is Judge killing it.....literally.

Andrew McCutchen:  1/2 with his third HR while hitting .262.  Considering how bad McCutchen has been in April's past, this is like MVP work by his low standards in that month.

Jacob DeGrom:  5.2 IP 8 H 3 ER 6 BB 10 K with an ERA of 2.55.  Call this the Carlos Martinez special with the K's and walks.  The rain was falling and DeGrom was battling a sore neck so he fought his mechanics.  The strikeouts have been insane here though so no overall worries.

Gio Gonzalez:  6.1 IP 2 H 1 ER 3 BB 6 K with an ERA of 1.35.  If Gonzalez only faced the Mets, he would gave a 0.00 ERA all season.  Be that as it may, he has been very good so far for a guy who is always inconsistent with his numbers.

Evan Gattis:  1/3 with his first HR while hitting .294.  It took longer than expected for the first home run but Gattis has hit well but only has played in about 2/3 of the team's games.  While you would like to see Gattis play more, he is doing the job when in there.

Brandon Phillips:  2/4 with his second HR while hitting .333.  Phillips is still shocking running and everything else looks smooth for a guy who refused to get old.

Jerad Eickhoff:  5 IP 2 H 1 ER 2 BB 7 K with an ERA of 2.55 I told you all to stay patient here as Eickhoff has very good stuff that is highlighted by a four-pitch arsenal.  While he won't blow anyone away with high K rates, Eickhoff is set to be a top SP 4.

Jim Johnson:  second blown save with 2 ER in .2 IP with ERA of 3.52.  Given his age and some nasty recent seasons, Johnson is a prime candidate to lose his closing gig at any moment.  Arodys Vizcaino has a 2.00 ERA in front of him which needs mentioning as well.

Jackie Bradley Jr.:  2/3 with his first HR while hitting .333.  Back from the DL, Bradley is hitting for power again like he did in his 2016 breakout.  As long as he keeps the K's in check, Bradley should firmly cement his OF 2 status this season.

Trey Mancini:  1/4 with his 5th HR while hitting .286.  Almost everywhere you look in Mancini's minor league career, he is hitting at or above .300.  The guy can flat out hit but the power has been better then expected.  He should already be picked up.

Jonathan Schoop:  2/3 with his 4th HR while hitting .291.  I see some Bret Boone here.  Agreed?

Edwin Encarnacion:  2/5 with his third HR while hitting .222.  So May is almost here and that is when Encarnacion turns into the best home run hitter in fantasy baseball for 31 days.

Michael Brantley:  2/5 with his third HR while hitting .310.  It is like Brantley has not missed a single beat as he is back to his .300 ways.  Better yet, he is hitting home runs and stealing bases.  If this keeps up, he goes right back to top-end OF 2 status.

Jose Ramirez:  1/5 with his 5th HR while hitting .313.  Got to say I doubted the power from Ramirez last season (not the average) and so he is starting to move himself up towards the top guys at the position which as you know is a hallowed level.

Carlos Carrasco:  8 IP 3 H 0 ER 1 BB 8 K with an ERA of 1.65.  Of course Carrasco is doing this a year after I owned him.  Then he has a horrible spring training for the ages and then turns into the ace I always envisioned once the games began to count.  Pass the booze.

Aledmys Diaz:  1/1 with his 4th HR while hitting .250.  Diaz was a in a big slump which is why he was on the bench initially for this one.  Those who forgot to remove him from their lineups got a nice end game return.

Lance Lynn:  6 IP 3 H 1 ER 2 BB 7 K with an ERA of 2.70.  Bam!  One of my biggest pitching sleepers of the spring was this guy and after working off the rust, Lynn is right back to the guy who was in the Cy Young running prior to his Tommy John surgery.  What is crazy is that Lynn was virtually ignored in drafts which is ridiculous and a major miss by the majority of the fantasy baseball community.

Seung-Hwan Oh:  scoreless ninth for his fourth save with ERA of 6.23.  Oh looks to be past the early rut that caused concern to his fantasy baseball owners.

Jake Lamb:  1/5 with his 4th HR while hitting .290.  Lamb has big power no doubt and now 2017 is all about whether he can make gains with the average.  On that front things not looking good as Lamb's K/9 rate is UP to 30.4 and a .381 BABIP is not sustainable.  In other words, sell high on Lamb now.

Yasmani Tomas:  2/3 with 2 home runs (4 for season) while hitting .295.  Why didn't Tomas get any love in drafts?  I loved him and tried my best to get him in Experts but missed out.  This is a 30 home run bat who went in the late rounds.  With remaining upside also.

Kenta Maeda:  5 IP 9 H 6 ER 1 BB 5 K with an ERA of 8.05.  4 home runs given up and Maeda is a HUGE mess.  I have said many times before that many Japanese pitchers struggle their second year in the league for some strange reason.  Nothing Maeda is doing is working right now and he has to be sat down for the time being.  Still Maeda's 9.00 K/9 and 2.37 BB/9 are right in line with what he did as a rookie and only the home runs are the changed factor.  Once Maeda gets that under control, he should be good to go.

Charlie Blackmon:  2/4 with his 5th HR while hitting .254.  Same theme since start of season:  love the power but not the slipping average and lack of steals.

Trevor Story:  1/5 with his 5th HR while hitting .148.  Story is now Joey Gallo.

Antonio Senzatela:  7 IP 4 H 1 ER 0 BB 3 K with an ERA of 2.08.  Guess we need to dig in more on this one.  Status Report on the way.

Bud Norris:  scoreless ninth for first save with ERA of 3.72.  With the Los Angeles Angels now down THREE of their closer relievers, they are down to Norris who go the job done Saturday night.  In situations like this though, a manager will go with who can simply get the save and Norris did that.  That means he is the guy to own for now.  While Norris was a failed starter, he has a big fastball that could work in short spans like the ninth inning.


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