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Sunday, April 16, 2017

FANTASY BASEBALL WRAPUP: SATURDAY

Stephen Piscotty:  1/3 with his second HR while hitting .250.  I always trust St. Louis prospects more than most other organizations.  Piscotty can really swing the bat but now want to see if he is swinging for fences more at expense of average like in 2016 or if it is overall growth.

Jedd Gyorko:  1/3 with his second HR while hitting .240.  Right on schedule.

Carlos Martinez:  5.1 IP 4 H 2 ER 8 BB 11 K with an ERA of 3.57.  What the hell was that?  8 walks and 11 K's?  Wildly effective?  Now with a WHIP of 1.42, Martinez is one big headache.

C.C. Sabathia:  7.1 IP 3 H 1 ER 1 BB 6 K with an ERA of 1.47.  Sabathia finished with an ERA under 4.00 last year and is dealing right now.  Not all aging pitchers can make the adjustment from strikeout guy to pitching successfully to contact but it looks like Sabathia has figured it out.

Cesar Hernandez:  2/4 with his second HR while hitting .313.  Hernandez has really developed into a nice OF 3 for fantasy baseball purposes.  He can swipe 15-20 bags and also showing power now as well.  Guys like this seems to show up during the course of the year and often on bad teams like the Phillies.

Tanner Roark:  7 IP 4 H 2 ER 0 BB 3 K with an ERA of 3.50.  It is time Roark gets his due as a prime SP 2.  He is it.

Jeremy Hellickson:  7 IP 4 H 2 ER 1 BB 2 K with an ERA of 1.59.  In innings-capped leagues, Hellickson is not a good guy to own given the poor K/9 rate but can't argue with the ratios.

Kendrys Morales:  1/3 with his second HR while hitting .224.  It was a walk-off shot for Morales who has not exactly come flying out of the gate with the power.  With Rogers Center calling him, 40 home runs is in play.

Marco Estrada:  7 IP 4 H 0 ER 3 BB 8 K with an ERA of 3.50.  Before he turned to crap with vastly eroded stuff, Matt Cain was the rare pitcher who always pitched beyond his peripherals.  Now it is Marco Estrada as the poster boy for this.

Roberto Osuna:  blown save with 1 ER in 1 IP but gets the win.  All righty.

Eric Thames:  2/4 with 2 home runs (5 for season) while hitting .382.  It is like Thames is still in Korea the way he is destroying the baseball.  His 2017 fantasy baseball draft price was crazy cheap and I already am kicking myself for not giving this one a shot given the video game numbers out East.  While the Brewers have tried to keep him away from lefties, Thames hit one off lefty Tony Cingrani in this one.  It is about as good a start as one can get and shame on me for not seeing it.

Hernan Perez:  3/4 with his first HR while hitting .200.  Was not a buyer on Perez either this season as his 2016 output screamed out "fluke."  He was nothing special in the minors and likely will be exposed as we go along this season.

Jose Quintana:  5.2 IP 9 H 5 ER 5 BB 5 K with an ERA of 6.75.  Brutal.  The only thing I can think of here like I have said before is that Quintana is feeling the heat now that he is the staff ace and not having Chris Sale front the rotation.  Things will get better as they almost have to but boy what a terrible start.

Ervin Santana:  9 IP 1 H 0 ER 1 BB 8 K with an ERA of 0.41.  This guy is something else.  No one wanted to own him, his career is filled with nasty years followed by good ones, and now this when he is closing in on retirement.  I won't even try to figure this out and just say by all means go with it.

Kris Bryant:  Bryant really knows how to make his fantasy baseball owners happy.  Knowing it took so long for him to hit his first homer, he made sure to add a second.

Francisco Cervelli:  1/4 with his second HR while hitting .229.  Cervelli still carries some value in two catcher formats but ideally you can do better.

Starling Marte:  2/4 with his second HR while hitting .289.  Marte is the best outfielder on the Pirates and it is not even close.

Andrew McCutchen:  1/4 with his second HR while hitting .250.  I will take what I can get from a guy who is simply brutal in April.  Yes I own him in Experts but didn't plan on it . He fell so far in the draft that I almost had to do it.

Tyler Glasnow:  5 IP 6 H 4 ER 2 BB 7 K with an ERA of 12.15.  Shocked the Pirates gave him another look.  It is always look away and cross your fingers if you do ever start Glasnow.  I wouldn't recommend it.

Justin Verlander:  4 IP 11 H 7 ER 1 BB 4 K with an ERA of 4.67.  Wow that was nasty.  Verlander couldn't keep the ball in the park as he gave up three bombs.  Remember I said to avoid Verlander and has a BUST piece dedicated to him in spring training.  His ERA last season was helped immensely by a lucky BABIP and his HR/9 was a career-worst which is now revealing itself again.  Get out.

Nolan Arenado:  3/5 with his 4th HR while hitting .313.  Maybe Arenado should donate some hits to Trevor Story.

Tyler Chatwood:  9 IP 2 H 0 ER 1 BB 4 K with an ERA of 3.54.  This is why fantasy baseball can drive you to drink.  In one day we have two complete game shutouts from two guys who no one likely drafted.

Matt Moore:  5 ER in 5.2 IP with an ERA of 4.26.  It wouldn't be a fantasy baseball season without Matt Moore driving us all crazy with his volatile pitching.

Chris Sale:  7 IP 3 H 1 ER 3 BB 12 K with an ERA of 1.25.  Not even the AL East and Fenway Park can prevent Chris Sale from doing a very impressive Clayton Kershaw impression.

Sean Manaea:  5 IP 0 H 1 ER 5 BB 6 K with an ERA of 5.51.  Call it the Carlos Martinez Special.

Santiago Casilla/Sean Doolittle:  2 ER each in 1 and .2 IP respectively.  Wow what a mess the Oakland bullpen is.  It was set up for Doolittle to get the save chance before all turned to hell in the eighth inning.  The matchups will continue to dictate things here so both guys need to be owned; as tough as that might be to stomach.

Lance McCullers;  5 ER in 4.1 IP with an ERA of 4.67.  Just a bad day at the office for McCullers who was really racking up the K's heading into this outing.  Nothing to worry about.

Ken Giles:  1 ER in 1 IP with an ERA of 9.00.  Enough with this guy already.  Like a carbon copy of the first half of last season, none of it good.

George Springer:  1/4 with his sixth HR while hitting .231.  It doesn't look like Springer will ever improve his average now that he is into his prime years.  Throw in the Joc Pederson I stop running when I get to the majors and this is what you get.

Justin Upton:  3/3 with his second HR while hitting .276.  Said the other day when Upton got his first homer that more would come in bunches.  Here we go.

Carlos Santana:  3/6 with his second HR while hitting .224.  Really hoping Santana can sustain the nice average uptick he showed a year ago.  Jury still out.

Jose Ramirez:  4/4 with two HR's (3 for season) while hitting .341.  Had an offer out for Ramirez this morning.  After seeing what he did in this one I cancelled it instead of waiting for the rejection.

Corey Kluber:  6 ER in 6.1 IP with an ERA of 6.38.  It is now upon us to buy low on Kluber.  Always an April zero, there could be a swell buying opportunity.

Justin Bour:  1/4 with his first HR while hitting .154.  Listen Bour is a pure slugger prone to long hot and cold stretches so if you cut him already you have zero patience.  Then again I will say guys with this profile are all over the wire so I understand somewhat.

Marcell Ozuna:  1/3 with his fifth HR while hitting .372.  As much as we have lauded over the incredible power display put on this past week by Yoenis Cespedes, Ozuna has been just as good.

Christian Yelich:  1/4 with his second HR while hitting .229.  Still not sure how high the power ceiling goes but Yelich should be around .300 by the middle of May at the latest.

Asdrubal Cabrera:  1/4 with his second HR while hitting .273.  Yeah it always seems as though Cabrera hits between .265 and .275.  We'll take it.

Jacob DeGrom:  7 IP 4 H 2 ER 1 BB 13 K with an ERA of 1.89.  Cue up the highlights of this one and check out the movement of DeGrom's stuff.  It defies all sense of science and reinforces how from the beginning of spring when he was firing 97-mph fastballs that he is back to ace form.

Hunter Renfroe:  2/4 with his third HR while hitting .250.  The Padres really have some nice outfield pieces going forward with the powerful Renfroe and speedy Manuel Margot.  Renfroe is Justin Bour with the ugly average and good power if that does it for you.

Mike Moustakas:  1/4 with his fifth HR while hitting .293.  Man Mr, Mike.  Right now we have Moustakas with Marcell Ozuna near the top of the major league home run list.  All it took was a last round pick in some leagues.......or a waiver add.......damn.

Yasiel Puig:  3/3 with his 4th HR while hitting .333.  He began to slide back to non-story status after his big first three days but Puig is back in the news.  It would be a great sign if Puig can continue fighting his way through slumps to post games like this which would indicate maturity.  Can he do it?

James Paxton:  8 IP 2 H 0 ER 1 BB 9 K with an ERA of 0.00.  Three straight scoreless outings to begin the season for Paxton who has made good on all the glowing predictions I had on him in the spring.  Consider that his XFIP ERA last season was 2.80 and Paxton is legit.


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