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Sunday, April 9, 2017

FANTASY BASEBALL WRAPUP: SATURDAY

Masahiro Tanaka:  5 IP 6 H 3 ER 4 BB 5 K with an ERA of 11.74.  You can make the case that Tanaka has been the worst pitcher relative to ADP in fantasy baseball already.  My goodness has he been putrid and the walks were very disturbing here since Tanaka has always been top rate there.  With a damaged UCL like Tanaka has, loss of control is a huge red flag and while there is no evidence that issue is getting worse, we can't discount it either.

Kevin Gausman:  4.2 IP 8 H 4 ER 3 BB 4 K with an ERA of 5.40.  I never regretted not owning Gausman as I don't think he is that good.  Maybe in the NL Gausman would have better upside but in the AL East I wanted no part of him.

Geovany Soto:  1/4 with his third HR while hitting .300.  Who knew that instead of drafting Buster Posey, you instead should have targeted Geovany Soto.

James McCann:  1/2 with his second HR while hitting .273.  Or should have targeted James (not Brian) McCann.

Jose Iglesias:  2/3 with his first HR while hitting .133.  This might be the only home run Iglesias hits this season.  Or might be the only hit period.

Eduardo Rodriguez:  5 IP 5 H 4 ER 3 BB 5 K with an ERA of 7.20.  I lump Rodriguez right in with Kevin Gausman.  Same decent stuff but overall is stunted in the AL East.

Jordan Zimmerman:  6 IP 4 H 1 ER 1 BB 3 K with an ERA of 1.50.  You know better than to fall for this trap.

Justin Wilson:  scoreless ninth with 2 K for the save while Francisco Rodriguez got the day off.  At least we know who the backup closer is which is very important considering how much in decline K-Rod is.

Eugenio Suarez:  2/4 with his first HR while hitting .286.  Suarez is somewhat interesting considering he can run and hit for power in a nice park but his poor plate discipline makes him a batting average liability.

Aledmys Diaz:  3/5 with 2 home runs (2 for season) while hitting .302.  Diaz is running, hitting for power, and hitting for average already this season.  Starting to wish I owned him.  Great hitting approach here with little in the way of K's which points to some big numbers ahead.

Michael Wacha:  6 IP 3 H 1 ER 1 BB 6 K with an ERA of 1.50.  Wacha had a nice spring which he has carried over into the season.  I am always leery of the guy due to his past shoulder woes but he does tend to start strong before fading as the weather warms up.

Chris Archer:  7.2 IP 5 H 2 ER 3 BB 8 K with an ERA of 2.45.  Archer is pitching like he wants to win a Cy Young.  I think he can do it.  I mean I do own him in Experts after saying all spring he was poised for a monster year.

Anibal Sanchez:  7 IP 4 H 1 ER 3 BB 6 K with an ERA of 1.29.  Remember that I panned Sanchez for the HUGE innings jump last season, his middling mid-7.0 /9 rate, and very lucky BABIP.  Over the course of the season these THREE things will combine to cause trouble.  Bank on it.

Gregory Polanco:  4/4 with his first SB while hitting .278.  It is obvious to anyone who plays fantasy baseball that Polanco is set to become a top tier outfielder like his outfield mates Andrew McCutchen and Starling Marte once did.  In fact all three were/are the same player when in their mid-20's.

Aaron Nola:  6 IP 7 IP 3 H 2 ER 7 K with an ERA of 4.50.  All Nola had to do was show up since the Phils scored like 1695712863 runs in the first inning.  It wasn't a very crisp outing for Nola but again he was big with the strikeouts which has been a common theme in his young career.  I am still a believer.

Jonathan Villar:  2/5 with his second HR and first SB while hitting .192.  Listen Villar is never going to challenge for a batting title but his "juice" numbers in home runs and steals at the top of the lineup are tremendous.

Kyle Hendricks:  6 IP 5 H 4 ER 1 BB 6 K with an ERA of 6.00.  The BABIP gods are getting ready to do their best regression work here.

Salvador Perez:  1/4 with his third HR while hitting .316.  Imagine if Perez can figure out how to sustain this .300 average with all this power.  Gary Sanchez who?

Eris Hosmer:  1/4 with is first HR while hitting ,200.  There may not be a more annoying player in fantasy baseball, what with Hosmer annually underwhelming in power despite being a first baseman and now seeing his average sinks in 2016 and off to a rough start in 2017.

Brian McCann:  2/4 with his second HR while hitting .286.  Why reach for the new and shiny catchers each season when you can have this agent of ultimate consistency?

Dallas Keuchel:  7 IP 2 H 1 ER 1 BB 4 K with an ERA of 0.64.  Again as long as you put out of your mind forever the 200-plus K's from 2015, Keuchel can do a nice bounce back job this season with better health and more strength in his sapped arm from last season.

J.T. Realmuto:  3/6 while hitting .556.  So over the last three years my big money value plays of the YEAR have been A.J, Pollock (2015), Mark Trumbo (2016), and this guy (2016).  Why read anyone else?

Marcell Ozuna:  2/4 with his first HR while hitting .429.  I am a sucker for power hitters who won't kill you in average and yet come cheap in annual drafts like Ozuna does?  Why does that happen?  Many in the fantasy baseball community use a lack of speed as a reason to avoid.  That's where you strike to claim value.

Lucas Duda:  1/4 with his first HR while hitting .167.  Has sat twice already this week versus a lefty and so if you own Duda, your not getting daily statistics.

Adam Conley:  5 IP 1 H 1 ER 3 BB 6 K with an ERA of 1.80.  If you want a guy that is off the radar and has a very low ownership percentage that could take off this season, check out this power lefty.  Conley flashed last year but was still a bit rough around he edges.  If he curbs the wildness, look out.  
Robert Gsellman:  5 IP 6 H 3 ER 2 BB 7 K with an ERA of 4.50.  Gsellman gave up all his runs in the first two innings and then settled down to pitch well.  He was tremendous last season in a pinch for the Mets and his power sinker gets a ton of swings and misses.

Yu Darvish:  6 IP 4 H 1 ER 3 BB 5 K with an ERA of 3.65.  Much better for Darvish this time around but his control is still wonky.  He needs to try and pitch deeper into games though to claim wins.

Kendall Graveman:  7 IP 2 H 1 ER 1 BB 5 K with an ERA of 2.08.  Yeah ok I guess so with it.  Graveman never has made me want to go out and pick him up but numbers are numbers and these are saying to do so.  Tread carefully though.

Santiago Casilla:  scoreless inning while pitching the eighth for second time in a row.  I guess Bob Melvin ready my site and finally listened to me about using Sean Doolittle as the closer.  Either that or he read the site and wants me to continue smashing my head into the wall since I got Doolittle back off waivers after I cut him when Casilla got the first save.

David Peralta:  1/4 with his second HR while hitting .227.  Maybe Peralta will be my value play of the year.  I mean he is in a glory spot batting in front of Paul Goldschmidt so the opportunity will be there.

Zack Greinke:  6.2 IP 5 H 1 ER 0 BB 6 K with an ERA of 2.31.  Greinke's velocity was up a bit and so far he is getting results,  My advice though is if you are an owner, talk up the early good numbers and get out.

Andrew Toles:  1/3 with his first HR while hitting .200.  Toles has a live bat and leading off for the Dodgers makes him doubly intriguing.

Nolan Arenado:  2/4 with his second HR while hitting .364.  Let's just put down 45 home runs and be done with it.

Mark Reynolds:  2/4 with his third HR while hitting .409.  Amazing we are still talking about this guy all these years later.  And his usage strategy has remained the same as well.  Use when hot but cut when cold.

Clayton Kershaw:  6 IP 8 H 4 ER 0 BB 6 K with an ERA of 3.46.  It is like a gift from the heavens when you play the Kershaw owner in head-to-head and he was a start where he "struggles" by his standards.

Gerardo Parra:  2/4 with his first HR while hitting .400,  We don't need no David Dahl.  We got this dude raking.

Mitch Haniger:  1/4 with his second HR while hitting .208.  I mean he did have a big spring hinting at this type of power.

Mike Trout:  1/4 with his second HR while hitting .318.  Now let's get some steals pal.



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