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Wednesday, April 5, 2017

2017 FANTASY BASEBALL WRAPUP: TUESDAY

Ian Kinsler:  2/3 with his first HR.  Kinsler is aging like a fine wine and since the fantasy baseball community has a major age-phobia, he came at a nice price again in 2016 drafts.  Winner-winner.

Nick Castellanos:  1/4 with his first HR.  I admit I was not the biggest Castellanos fan even after his nice breakout in 2016 but he is still young and has remaining upside.  25 home runs is the ceiling but it could be a level Castellanos can reach.  Where the average goes given all the K's is the question.

Justin Verlander:  6.1 IP 6 H 2 ER 2 BB 10 K with an ERA of 2.84.  Verlander has put his ugly 2014 behind him when it looked like his arm was shot as the homers flew up and the K/9 rate dipped dramatically.  Well Verlander has found all those missing K's and is back to being a fantasy baseball ace again.  Keep in mind though all the BABIP luck Verlander received last season and he still gave up a bunch of home runs.  I am not buying an ERA under 3.25.

Jose Quintana:  6 ER in 5.1 IP with an ERA of 10.13.  First outing as the ace of a staff and so Quintana can't sneak up on hitters anymore.  I don't think that had anything to do with this clunker but there is no doubt the pressure on him is at an all-time high and distractions of trade rumors are also going to be an issue.

Chase Headley:  2/4 with his first HR and first HR while hitting .625.  What does Headley think it is 2012 again?  That ultimate outlier season was about the only time Headley was fantasy baseball-worthy and so if he did this kind of stuff for a week I still wouldn't add him.

C.C. Sabathia:  5 IP 3 H 0 ER 2 BB 2 K with an ERA of 0.00.  I really don't think I need to tell you not to bother with this guy do I?

Carlos Santana:  2/4 with his first HR.  It is so funny how the fantasy baseball community moves way or ignores a guy like this because he either lost position eligibility at a precious spot (in this case catcher) or they lost speed.  Yes we would give our right and maybe left arm to have Santana's monstrous power work behind the plate but 30 home runs out of the leadoff spot is about as good as you are going to get in your UTIL or CI spot.

Joey Gallo:  2/4 with his first HR.  The other non-home run hit might the only one Gallo has for the next two weeks in terms of that variety.

Carlos Carrasco:  5.2 IP 4 H 2 ER 1 BB 7 K with an ERA of 3.18.  Got some pushback on Twitter when I said Carrasco shouldn't be near a lineup in fantasy baseball but just wait.  The velocity remains down, his home run tendencies are about as bad as any pitcher in the game, and he CAN'T stay healthy.  That's a lot of negative check marks.  You have been warned.

Ryan Braun:  2/4 with his first HR while hitting .250.  His first day-to-day injury that lasts 10 days should be happening any day now.

Greg Holland:  scoreless ninth for second save.  We hardly knew ya' Adam Ottavino.

Brian McCann:  1/3 with his first HR.  As "old reliable" as it gets.

Lance McCullers:  6 IP 5 H 1 ER 2 BB 7 K with an ERA of 1.50.  If we can just get another 25 trips to the mound, all will be well.

Jake Arrieta:  6 IP 4 H 0 ER 2 BB 6 K with an ERA of 0.00.  I am watching Arrieta closely early on to see if the drop in velocity and total loss of control last season carries over.  Remember there has been a TON of work on his previously always injured body the last couple of seasons.

Ryon Healy:  2/3 with his first HR while hitting .286.  This kid is really growing on me.

Paul Goldschmidt:  1/3 with his first HR while hitting .429.  All right now let's get that first steal.

Jake Lamb:  1/3 with his first HR while hitting .143.  All the respect for Lamb stepping up the way he did last season to become one of the better power hitting third baseman in fantasy baseball but I can't get too excited here about a guy whose K/9 rate was truly hideous in 2016.

Kenta Maeda:  5 IP 6 H 3 ER 2 BB 4 K with an ERA of 5.40.  Not great but not awful either considering how bad many ace-like pitchers have been early on.  Just hoping Maeda doesn't continue the trend of Japanese pitchers coming down with injury or regressing dramatically in Year 2.




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