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Friday, April 21, 2017

2017 FANTASY BASEBALL WRAPUP: THURSDAY

Ian Kinsler:  1/3 with his third HR while hitting .217.  The slow start and Kinsler's advanced age are always a bad combination.  It could be nothing.  Or it could be erosion as Kinsler moves to his mid-30's.

Kevin Kiermaier:  2/3 with his first HR while hitting .292.  I said in spring training that Kiermaier's average was going to go up this season as he dealt with some rough BABIP luck a year ago.  Combine that with his 15/15 ability and this was quietly one of the better OF 3 values in fantasy baseball.

Steven Souza Jr.:  3/5 with his third HR while hitting .349.  Yes Souza is still young enough to get better and make inroads on his previously horrendous average.  Always have bee intrigued with his power/speed ability as well.  It cost literally nothing to own Souza Jr. this season so it is a win-win all the way around if he keeps it up.  I think he has a good chance to do so.

Kendrys Morales:  2/4 with his third HR while hitting .232.  Still waiting on that big Morales power run which has been absent so far.  The average is a drag which is disappointing as well.  I am still a faithful Morales fan though and a buy low would be a great idea before he does inevitably explode with his power.

Chris Sale:  8 IP 4 H 0 ER 1 BB 13 K with an ERA of 0.91.  So much for Sale losing velocity and seeing his K/9 slip a year ago.  You are a special pitcher when you get BETTER when you move to the AL East.

Craig Kimbrel:  first blown save with 1 ER in 2 IP but got the win.  Kimbrel struck out five and his ERA of 2.00 is tremendous.  His stuff is extremely potent right now and one bad pitch led to the blown save as he was not hit around.

Marco Estrada:  6 IP 3 H 0 ER 2 BB 7 K with an ERA of 2.63.  I give up with this guy.

Mike Trout:  1/4 with his 4th HR while hitting .333.  Nothing else to say here that hasn't already been mentioned in terms of glowing praise.

Carlos Beltran:  1/4 with his first HR while hitting .259.  Shocked it took this long for Beltran's first homer but at his age nothing is a surprise really in terms of numbers having a tough time coming around.

Lance McCullers:  6.2 IP 3 H 0 ER 3 BB 8 K with an ERA of 3.38.  McCullers was the first bust/sleeper player EVER in our history, so wide range were the possible outcomes.  So far the sleeper side is winning.

Jose Peraza:  0/3 while hitting .217.  Not the start we wanted here.  You always worry about young hitters coming out of the gate cold in terms of snowballing.  Something to watch.

Wade Miley:  8 IP 2 H 1 ER 1 BB 11 K with an ERA of 1.89.  Since when does Miley strike batters out? The answer is never.....at least not past a mediocre level.  There is major outlier going on here so don't trip over yourself running to the wire.  Career ERA over 4.00 for a reason.

Jonathan Schoop:  1/4 with his third HR while hitting .280.  Basically this guy is the clone of infield mate J.J. Hardy but with a slightly better average.

Joey Votto:  1/4 with his 5th HR while hitting .224.  I snagged Votto in the Experts League for Andrew McCutchen and Chase Headley.  Steal!

Maikel Franco:  2/4 with his third HR while hitting .172.  Snapped an 0-for-22 stretch with the home run, I am not liking the way Franco has swung the bat since the first week of spring training and he looks like he is swinging for the fences every time up which is always a bad thing.

Neil Walker:  1/3 with his first HR while hitting .228.  Neil Walker is that guy you own when something goes very bad with your starting second baseman.

Noah Syndegaard:  7 IP 7 H 3 ER 0 BB 10 K with an ERA of 1.73.  The three earned runs is what qualifies as Thor getting shelled.  He dealt with shoddy defense behind him all night and pitched well overall once again.  I just don't like the Mets pushing him to 114 pitches in the cold and this early in the season.  Could hurt his next start.

Hector Neris:  scoreless ninth for first save with an ERA of 0.00.  Joaquin Benoit pitched the eighth with no issues and afterward Pete Mackanin said nothing about it which is telling.  In fact my interpretation is that Mackanin second-guessed his decision to go with Benoit in the first place in place of the awful Jeanmar Gomez and when he saw Bryce Harper torch the former last Sunday, he realized Neris was his best option.  While he may say both guys will get chances, drop Benoit for Neris everywhere.

Ryan Zimmerman:  2/4 with his fifth HR while hitting .389.  Listen we all know what will eventually happen here and almost all of it is bad but ride this out as long as it goes.

Stephen Strasburg:  7 IP 6 H 2 ER 2 BB 10 K with an ERA of 2.89.  Strasburg is a tremendous first half pitcher before the annual physical issues make him a mess in the summer.  Like with Ryan Zimmerman, enjoy the fun while it lasts but ultimately in this case, I would sell high every chance I get before the trouble arrives.

Shawn Kelly:  scoreless ninth for second save with ERA of 5.14.  Kelly gave up a hit and a walk so it was far from smooth and Kodi Glover has a 2.84 ERA in setup.  This is the arrangement for this week at least.

Rougned Odor:  1/4 while hitting .206.  Making it my mission to buy low on the uber-talented Odor.  So should you.

Danny Duffy:  7.1 IP 4 H 0 ER 3 BB 5 K with an ERA of 1.32.  I said it his last time out and I will say it again.  Duffy is now a fully graduated fantasy baseball ace.

Eric Thames:  2/4 with his 8th HR while hitting .415.  Whew!  I thought Thames was in a slump since he hadn't homered in a couple of says.  Just ridiculous.

Travis Shaw:  2/4 with his 5th HR while hitting .254.  Speaking of ridiculous, I present to you Mr. Travis (I am acting like Nolan Arenado) Shaw.  Listen I said repeatedly going back to spring training that knowing he is a lock to play everyday will help Shaw relax and that he has good power.  Your welcome.

Jett Bandy:  1/4 with his sixth HR while hitting .314.  This is getting insane with the Milwaukee hitters.  Kudos to the front office first of all.  And second of all I picked up Bandy the other day and got a homer in his first game with me.  Bandy hit for good power in a stint with the Angels prior to this so I won't automatically throw cold water on this.

Matt Carpenter:  2/4 with his second HR while hitting .244.  The homer was a nice sign here as Carpenter was battling some physical issues that looked like they were compromising him.  No worries now.

Carlos Martinez:  5 IP 7 H 5 ER 2 BB 7 K with an ERA of 4.76.  I can't stand Martinez as he is so overrated it is a joke.  Yes many fall for the K's but those dipped last season and his pitch efficiency is horrendous.  Then there is the ticking time bomb in his shoulder.

Jacob Barnes:  scoreless ninth for first save as Neftali Feliz gets day off.  Here is your Feliz handcuff and I would pick him up where available given how little faith you should have in the former.

Wil Myers:  2/3 with his 4th HR while hitting .373.  Nothing in the way of steals just yet but you had to always think what he did there last year was an outlier.  Otherwise Myers is off to a tremendous beginning to his season.

Austin Hedges:  2/3 with his third HR while hitting .170.  Started to round into form so in two catcher formats make the move.

James Paxton:  5 ER in 4.1 IP but with 8 K and ERA of 1.78.  Listen there was going to be a bump in the road off three straight shutouts so ignore this.  Instead focus on the massive strikeouts as Paxton is becoming one of the very best power pitchers in fantasy baseball this season.


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