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Saturday, April 22, 2017

2017 FANTASY BASEBALL WRAPUP: FRIDAY

Trevor Plouffe:  1/3 with his 4th HR while hitting .222.  This guy doesn't ever go away.  Plouffe goes on these mini-power runs a few times a year but he remains an extremely limited player whose value is even more shallow when you consider how potent third base has become.

Sean Manaea:  6 IP 5 H 1 ER 3 BB 6 K with an ERA of 4.43.  Manaea's velocity is up this year and his swinging strike rate looks nice as well.  Those are usually good signs moving forward and so Maneea is a good buy low target who won't cost much.

Mike Trout:  2/6 with his 4th HR while hitting .333.  One of these days I am going to trade my whole team for Mike Trout just so I can experience what it is like to own him.

Jose Bautista:  2/6 with his first HR while hitting .131.  Bautista became 70 years old almost overnight.  He has been firmly on my DO NOT DRAFT lists since 2014 as he transitioned into the prevalent power hitting specialist with the awful average and he is not even doing the homer thing well now.

Brandon Belt:  2/4 with his 4th HR while hitting .238.  Yawn.  The big first has already devolved into the average dipping badly.  It is never going to happen here.

Trevor Story:  1/4 with his third HR while hitting .143.  So now we have some in Twitter telling me "see Story is going to be just fine."  Ummm no,  The power is not the problem here as Story can fall into 25 bombs.  It is the disgusting average being destroyed by his BABIP regression and horrendous K/9 rate.  You can try a buy low but do you want a .255 hitting middle infielder with average speed?  All of a sudden Story doesn't look so great under that heading.

Charlie Blackmon:  1/4 with his 4th HR while hitting .239.  Yeah you love the power but Blackmon's average is still lagging and the steals are not there.  Not worried about the former but about the latter.

Johnny Cueto:  6 ER in 5 IP with an ERA of 5.25.  It has all gone wrong so far for Cueto who control has been bad (3.00 BB/9) which is very uncharacteristic and his K/9 is down as well.  A guy with a slim frame like Cueto makes you pause an extra second when he begins a season struggling like this as their stuff tends to ebb quicker than a more solidly built hurler but he is still just 31 so a buy low is in fact warranted here.

Manny Machado:  2/4 with his third HR while hitting .200.  Machado is that rare fantasy baseball star you have no shot of buying low on and he is showing signs of busting out literally from his ugly start.  No reason to worry.

Dylan Bundy:  7 IP 6 H 0 ER 1 BB 3 K with an ERA of 1.37.  So yeah we are seeing (about four years later then originally intended) what all the fuss was about with Bundy.  Like with Zach Wheeler, the comeback from Tommy John was not smooth and that more than anything derailed Bundy's stock.  There are some red flags though, with the biggest being Bundy's pretty piss poor 6.84 K/9 rate.  Striking out so few batters is a recipe of disaster in the AL East and Bundy's dip there is a victim of the TJ surgery as he as once a double-digit guy there in the minors.  On the plus side though, Bundy's control is flawless (literally no walks) and he is keeping the ball in the park which is just a s crucial as a high K/9.  In other words, two of three things are on the good side which means Bundy can be a hold if you want.

Corey Kluber:  9 IP 3 H 0 ER 2 BB 9 K with an ERA of 4.28.  Told you Kluber would be just fine.  Remember I told you to buy low after his last start.  I can't do it for you.  April struggle period now through.  Domination now here.

Hector Santiago:  6.1 IP 7 H 3 ER 1 BB 6 K with an ERA of 2.19.  Again why are you surprised?  Santiago's best month is April and then May.....then he sucks.

Justin Verlander:  5 IP 3 H 4 H 6 BB 4 K with an ERA of 6.04.  Second straight dud from Verlander who yours truly screamed to the rafters telling you would be a 2017 BUST.  I have hit on almost everything so far so again follow me and you win.

Carlos Beltran:  2/4 with his second HR while hitting .274.  Feel free now to get Beltran back into your lineups.

Corey Dickerson:  1/4 with his 4th HR while hitting .317.  The Tampa Bay Rays are the AL version of the Milwaukee Brewers with a slew of low-priced impact fantasy baseball bats.  This is a guy you should have been on from the beginning.

Logan Morrison:  1/4 with his 4th HR while hitting .273.  I hate writing about guys like Morrison who will always go back to their "mean" numbers no matter the start.  That means Morrison will hit .250 with some home runs.  Do you really think he has changed?

Evan Longoria:  1/4 with his third HR while hitting .235.  A buy low here won't cost much and is a good idea considering the power.  Amazing we are talking about the same guy who was once a first round pick just a few years ago.

Adam Duvall:  1/5 with his 5th HR while hitting .242.  It took about three weeks but Duvall is where he should be in terms of the ugly average and very good power.  Ideally Duvall is best used as a bench bat you plug in when you need a power boost because over the long haul he will hurt with the average as much as the homers will help you.

Anthony Rizzo:  1/5 with his second HR while hitting .286.  Rizzo is running a bit again and so with the power now coming around, things are just peachy.

Javier Baez:  2/4 with his first HR while hitting .233,  Blech. Baez is playing all over which is nice for his versatility but his average stinks again and it is beyond annoying having to check if he is in there every day.  I wanted no part of this headache.

Jon Lester:  5 ER in 5.2 IP with an ERA of 2.66.  Look on by.

Josh Bell:  1/3 with his second HR while hitting .213.  So Bell was known for average and not power but now he is hitting for power and with zero average.  Welcome to fantasy baseball.

Jacoby Ellsbury:  3/4 with 2 steals (6 for season) while hitting .333.  Got to give credit where credit is due here.  Ellsbury has been terrific and maybe being moved from the leadoff spot has taken some pressure off.  Either way he is doing his job as a base stealer and putting for a nice average.  Will it last?

Joey Gallo:  2/3 with 2 home runs (5 for season) while hitting .213.  Yes again his only two hits of the game.  Gallow might have 40 hits all season.

Cole Hamels:  8 IP 3 H 1 ER 2 B 3 K with an ERA of 2.77.  Before the games last night I was telling people to buy low on Corey Kluber and Cole Hamels.  So much for that idea.

Marcell Ozuna:  1/4 with his 6th HR while hitting .333.  Shame on me for not being more aggressive on this 2017 value play power hitter.

Giancarlo Stanton:  1/4 with his 5th HR while hitting .267.  So low is the bar that Stanton's owners are absolutely giddy over his average.

Austin Hedges:  1/4 with his 4th HR while hitting .173.  Hedges is hot with the power bat at least but we need to now see if he can be more than J.P. Arencibia.

Trevor Cahill:  7 IP 3 H 1 ER 1 BB 6 K with an ERA of 3.44.  Cahill is a streamer at home like most Padres hurlers.


4 comments:

  1. Do you have any suggestions for a buy low 2B who offers speed?

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    Replies
    1. I just grabbed Kluber off the same owner as Segura. I know he's interested in Paxton. Is that too much to give up for Segura?

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    2. If you got Kluber you can sacrifice Paxton.

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