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Saturday, April 15, 2017

2017 FANTASY BASEBALL WRAPUP: FRIDAY

Kyle Hendricks:  5 IP 6 H 3 ER 2 BB 3 K with an ERA of 5.73.  No surprise Hendricks is struggling as I said all winter he would.  The long 2016 season took a toll as Hendricks' velocity remains down and the BABIP regression is at work as well.  Throw in a middling K/9 rate and things could turn quite ugly in 2017.  But I told you all this already.

Gerrit Cole:  6 IP 6 H 2 ER 1 BB 5 K with an ERA of 5.29.  I could have told you Cole would win.  I mean the moment I benched him for this one he was destined to win the game.  Still Cole remains very hittable right now and still is looking for his 2015 form.  Will it ever show up?

Tommy Joseph:  1/3 wit his first HR while hitting .143.  Joseph literally came out nowhere last season to become a useful power hitter in fantasy baseball but he was never considered a top prospect given his undisciplined approach with the bat.  Now that pitchers have a book on Joseph, it figured to be much tougher the second time around and so far that has been the case.

Aaron Nola:  5 IP 6 H 1 ER 0 BB 6 K with an ERA of 3.27.  So far Nola is doing what I expect him to do when I drooled all over him this spring.  I love the ability here and firmly believe Nola can be an ace pitcher if his elbow cooperates.

Stephen Strasburg:  7 IP 5 H 2 ER 2 BB 8 K with an ERA of 3.00.  Sell high.  Like right this moment.

Matt Carpenter:  1/3 with his first HR while hitting .207.  I just don't think Carpenter is 100 percent healthy.  Have nothing to go on there other then gut feeling and how he was limited all spring with physical issues.  Or that the health problems this spring delayed his preparation.  Could be starting to round into form and ultimately Carpenter is as dependable as they get in fantasy baseball.

Starlin Castro:  2/4 with his second HR while hitting .350.  Hitting second in the lineup?  Yes please.  Castro has now fully made the journey from highly sought-after sleeper to boring veteran all before the age of 30.

Jacoby Ellsbury:  2/4 with his third SB while hitting .314.  I have to be fair and say Ellsbury is doing his job so far.  Very small sample size but at least he is stealing bases which is the only reason he would be useful at this point.  Take whatever you can get.

Masahiro Tanaka:  6.1 IP 5 H 3 ER 2 BB 5 K with an ERA of 8.36,  Tanaka's owners can breath a bit easier but he still gave up another home run which is still a huge problem on a start-to-start basis.

Jonathan Schoop:  2/4 with his second HR while hitting .267.  What is funny here is that is Schoop was an outfielder, I bet you would want to own him a whole lot more than at second base.  Agreed?

Chris Davis:  2/3 with his third HR while hitting .364.  Take a picture of Davis' average as it won't be there for long.

Aaron Sanchez:  5 ER in 5.1 IP with an ERA of 4.38.  I won't gloat yet after telling you all to avoid Sanchez this season since he was good last time out.  But I will do it for another guy who also was firmly on that list in a few seconds.

Wade Miley:  6 IP 5 H 3 ER 0 BB 8 K with an ERA of 2.45.  Sorry but all Baltimore Oriole starters carry around a scarlet letter with the words "don't even think about it" plastered on the front.

Miguel Cabrera:  2/3 with his second HR while hitting .182.  Damn I was two days late in trying to buy low.  Guess the back is feeling better.

Daniel Norris:  6 IP 2 H 0 ER 4 BB 5 K with an ERA of 2.19.  So yeah I told you all to invest a late round pick on Norris and his power arsenal.  This is Danny Duffy at the start of 2016 before he emerged fully.  Yup.

Eric Thames:  2/5 with his third HR while hitting .367.  I don't have any shares in Thames but I am starting to wish I did.

Joey Votto:  1/4 with his third HR while hitting .167.  Hey you can live with Votto's annual April slump when he is still supplying home runs and when you know he hit over .400 the second half of last season.

Lucas Duda:  2/3 with his 4th HR while hitting .286.  Another day and another bomb from Duda.  If he is not planted firmly in your lineup by now, start paying attention.

Noah Syndegaard:  6 IP 6 H 1 ER 0 BB 4 K with an ERA of 0.95.  Throwing a baseball is becoming quite hazardous to Thor's fingers as this time he exited early after tearing a nail.  That is actually better then a blister and Syndegaard has already been ruled to be starting next time out.

Logan Morrison:  2/5 with his third HR while hitting .333.  I am sure Morrison tweeted out pictures of the bomb before it even landed.  Nothing new here outside of Morrison having a hot stretch to start the season.  Maybe the post-POST-hype sleeper tag applies but unless you play in five OF formats there is no reason to try and find out.

Steven Souza:  2/4 with his third HR while hitting .325.  Souza is another potential post-hype sleeper made good.  Unlike Morrison though, Souza can help on the bases.  I would surely ride him out if/when he cools.

Brad Miller:  3/4 with his first HR while hitting .205.  Sorry myself and pretty much everyone else with a fantasy baseball brain don't think Miller is going anywhere near his numbers from 2016..

Rick Porcello:  4.1 IP 8 H 8 ER 2 BB 5 K with an ERA of 7.56.  (cracking typing knuckles) All right so when I said in the Aaron Sanchez blur there was some other pitcher I told you all to avoid that I would unload on?  This is the guy.  Wow did Porcello do a great job in driving home my point in this slopfest.  In fact this was an abomination in every sense of the word and underscores why I wanted no part of him.  I also said this in his BUST piece "Even though he won 22 games, the narrative should not change much here in terms of Porcello being a guy who is at BEST an SP 4 in mixers and more ideally an SP 5."  At this rate he may not even be an SP 5.  Listen to me next time.

Ender Inciarte:  2/4 with his third HR while hitting .220.  Get Inciarte back in there.  Had him as a sleeper each of the last two years and while he didn't meet expectations last season, he is off to a nice start now with an uptick in power joining his stolen base prowess soon enough.  

Matt Davidson:  2/4 with his third HR while hitting .364.  Listen Davidson has hit for good power in the minors and so far this year but his track record is that of a .260 hitter who will go through massive dry spells.  Don't go crazy with the guy based on his start.  
Mike Moustakas:  1/3 with his fourth HR while hitting .297.  I admit I pretty much ignored Moustakas this spring and completely in drafts and maybe that was an error.  Yeah the average is always volatile but Moustakas's power has become quite consistent and useful.  

Salvador Perez:  1/3 with his fifth HR while hitting .289.  Perez continues to tap into more power as he ages but if only he could match that with his old .290 average.  Then no one would need Gary Sanchez.  

Daniel Duffy:  7 IP 3 H 1 ER 2 BB 6 K with an ERA of 1.80.  This is the "validation" season where Duffy possibly cements himself as a fantasy baseball ace.  He is doing the job so far.  

Khris Davis:  1/4 with his fifth HR while hitting .305.  It seems like the Khris/Chris Davis boys make it a point to always homer on the same day.  

Dallas Keuchel:  7 IP 4 H 1 ER 2 BB 7 K with an ERA of 0.86.  Keuchel seems like a pitcher on the war path to make right everything that went wrong (and boy did it go wrong) last season.  Do what you got to do bro.  By the way this is what I wrote in spring training:  "Keuchel is behind this spring as he dealt with shoulder inflammation last year that had the Astros acting deliberate in his work thus far in camp.  He was truly awful in 2016 but Keuchel could be a rebound candidate with good health."

Andrew Toles:  2/5 with his third HR while hitting .267.  I guess I need to hack into all of your accounts and pick up Toles since his ownership is still low.

Zack Greinke:  5 ER in 5 IP with an ERA of 4.32.  Sigh.

Clayton Kershaw:  8.1 IP 4 H 1 ER 1 BB 8 K with an ERA of 2.53.  A master at his craft.

Nelson Cruz:  1/3 with his first HR while hitting .195.  Here we go.  Like with the other pure sluggers, 8 home runs on tap the next 8 games now that the first is out of the way.

Felix Hernandez:  7.1 IP 6 H 1 ER 0 BB 3 K with an ERA of 2.95.  We could be looking at the transformation of King Felix right before out eyes.  When he used to dominate like this, we would see 10 strikeouts.  Hernandez is pitching to contact more given his sliding velocity and I like what I am seeing.

Johnny Cueto:  7 IP 6 H 2 ER 1 BB 6 K with an ERA of 3.79.  Funny how he is never mentioned with the other aces in fantasy baseball but he is every bit as such.

Trevor Story:  0/3 while hitting .132.  Yuck.  This is getting gross.


2 comments:

  1. Got one spot open. Do I grab Inciarte, Toles or Duda?

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    Replies
    1. Depends what you need. If your OF is set then go Duda. If you need overall production go with Inciarte.

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