Tuesday, March 7, 2017


-Toronto Blue Jays lefty J.A. Happ is one guy I have stressed to stay far away from after his BABIP-luck filled 2016 campaign led to the most fluky 20 wins I have ever seen.  A .268 BABIP was a huge reason Happ posted a 3.18 ERA and when adjusted, was more indicative of his true ability (3.96 FIP and 4.18 XFIP).  It wouldn't shock me in the least if Happ had an ERA approaching 4.00 this season and his 2 ER in 1.1 IP in his spring outing Tuesday is no shock to me either.

-Adam Wainwright rebounded from a putrid first spring outing to toss 3 shutout innings Tuesday against the Miami Marlins.  A former ace who is now in the twilight of his career stuff-wise, Wainwright should only be drafted as your SP 5.

-Adam Eaton looks set to bat sixth for the Washington Nationals this season and that is an unforeseen and VERY bad development for his 2017 fantasy baseball value.  With Trea Turner and Daniel Murphy set in the top of the lineup, Eaton got squeezed out which makes the Nats' trade for him all the more asinine.  With Eaton batting sixth, he won't have as many chances to run and to score runs.  In other words he will be neutered when it comes to his value.  Downgrade Eaton to low-end OF 3 value.

-Add Koda Glover to your rosters as the Nationals upstart reliever is giving manager Dusty Baker reason to pick him as the team's closer after he struck out the side in his second straight outing.  The 2015 8th round pick is surely on the closing radar now and Shawn Kelly better pitch well going forward.

-Mookie Betts cracked his first spring HR as part of a 2-for-3 day Tuesday.  Betts is out to prove the 31 home runs he hit last season in his insane breakout were legit and this is a nice start.  He should not last past the second or third pick in all drafts this spring.

-Hanley Ramirez' shoulder must feel better as he hit a home run off Joe Ross Tuesday.  While he has been relegated to DH duties and was pulled from the WBC as a result of the shoulder, Ramirez' bat is in fine working order.

-Kevin Gausman is really on a nice upward plane in his development as he pitched to a 3.61 ERA and 8,.72 K.9 in 2016 and perhaps there is another ceiling to reach in 2017.  He was excellent on Monday as Gausman tossed 3 hitless and shutout innings.  I hate the division which is a big problem for any pitcher but Gausman could yield SP 4 value this season.

-Despite me owning Manny Machado to play shortstop on my Experts League team, I didn't hesitate to take advantage of the tremendous draft value of the Oakland As' Marcus Semien.  For some strange reason, no one is talking about what a tremendous 2016 Semien had as he cracked 27 home runs and stole 10 bases for the A's and so his draft price has been very cheap thus far.  Semien has some more ceiling to his name and he had a big day Tuesday in going 3-for-3 with 4 RBI.  Yes Semien carries average risk but he also suffered poor BABIP luck last season which means he could go over .260 in 2017.  Lots to like here.

-Well that was nasty.  Sonny Gray brought back some horrid memories of 2016 in his Tuesday start as he was pounded for 7 earned runs in just 2 innings as he was not fooling anyone.  Gray walked four and gave up 5 hits as erased all the good vibes from his nice spring debut last week.  While there is some comeback appeal for Gray this season, his velocity and K/9 rate have fallen so much that he figures to be a liability again.


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