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Tuesday, February 14, 2017

FANTASY BASEBALL INJURY FALLOUT: ALEX REYES DONE BEFORE HE GETS STARTED

The news came swiftly and in quite an ugly manner for top St. Louis Cardinals pitching prospect Alex Reyes on Tuesday and the end result looks like nothing short of a disaster.  The alarms began to blare early in the day when we learned Reyes would not throw his scheduled bullpen session and soon we learned he was headed for an ominous MRI.  While we have not gotten a confirmation yet about the severity of Reyes' elbow, the fact he is headed for a second MRI means a diagnosis of a torn UCL in his elbow is almost a certainty.  So in essence Reyes is finished before he even got started in 2017 and his loss is sizable when you consider he was universally considered one of the top power pitching arms in all of baseball.  Consider that Reyes posted a 10.17 K/9 rate in his 46 inning debut with the team in 2016 and comparisons to teammate Carlos Martinez seemed spot on.  Unfortunately Reyes is just the latest in a quickly growing list of young and hard-throwing pitchers under the age of 27 who succumbed to Tommy John.  Once again it is a reminder of how high the risk is in investing in similar arms such as Martinez, Noah Syndegaard, Steven Matz, Danny Salazar, and others.  If you drafted Reyes already, get set to cut him loose.  Meanwhile Michael Wacha's chances of securing a rotation spot for the Cardinals increased but his stuff has never been the same since he injured his shoulder in 2015.  In other words, ignore him completely at the draft table this spring.


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