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Wednesday, February 1, 2017

2017 FANTASY BASEBALL PLAYER ANALYZER: KEVIN KIERMAIER

Each year in fantasy baseball, certain players fall through the attention cracks despite putting up good to very good numbers.  Often these pitchers and hitters operate on bad teams that don't get a bunch of attention as it is and that is where I always say to look for value plays as you round out your roster.  A player who certainly fit this bill both last season and even in 2015 was Tampa Bay Rays outfielder Kevin Kiermaier who was known more for his excellent defense than anything he did with the bat in his hand.  Despite this, check out the numbers Kiermaier has put up the last two seasons:

2015:  .263 10 HR 62 R 40 RBI 18 SB
2016:  .246 12 HR 55 R 37 RBI 21 SB

Looking at the numbers, you can easily see the power/speed ability of Kiermaier who has gone 10/18 and 12/21 the last two years.  We always are on the lookout for power/speed options and Kiermaier is as cheap as they get.  The reason why Kiermaier is so affordable though is because his batting average is nasty and that is because his BABIP has been either neutral (.302 in 2015) or very unlucky (.278 last season).  Players get knocked for a bad average more than any other statistic and that is the main reason why Kiermaier has been disrespected.  Since Kiermaier has very good speed, he should be able to beat the BABIP curve as guys who are quick often do.  Also Kiermaier doesn't turn 27 until April which means he is not even in his prime years quite yet.  A tiny bit more power could also be on the way here which means Kiermaier would be knocking on a 15-HR/25-SB season with an average that is improved some.  Sounds like a great way to spend a late round draft pick to fill out both your three or five outfielder formats.

2017 PROJECTION:  .260 14 HR 43 RBI 67 R 23 SB  


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