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Monday, February 6, 2017

2017 FANTASY BASEBALL HOT STOVE SIGNINGS: JASON HAMMEL HEADS TO K.C.

While projecting players on a yearly basis in fantasy baseball is far from an exact science, trends are more clear on certain hitters and pitchers.  In these cases, some of these players could have a tendency of being a strong first half performer or vice versa which then factors in how you handle using them during the season.  Such an example can be seen in newly signed Kansas City Royals hurler Jason Hammel who inked a two-year deal on Monday.  A clear veteran at the age of 34, Hammel comes off a very good two-plus years with the Chicago Cubs where his full season ERA's came in at 3.47, 3.74, and last season's 3.83.  Alas, the Cubs wanted no part of a Hammel reunion in free agency and so now he goes into the tougher American League with stuff that could be declining a bit.  Consider that in 2015, Hammel's K/9 rate was a terrific 9.07.  Last year?  Try a mediocre 7.78.  Also Hammel's ERA has risen each of the last two years, while at the same time he has shown a firm tendency to struggle badly after the All-Star Break.  Again age is a factor here and Hammel has firmly shown now he needs to be a sell high around the start or middle of June given the expected second half struggles which are now becoming commonplace.  Throw in the move to the DH league and Hammel is likely to be a high-3.00 ERA guy who strikes out an average amount of batters.  This could yield another SP 5 season but nothing more given the fact Hammel is in the decline stage of his career.  


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