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Tuesday, January 17, 2017

2017 FANTASY BASEBALL DRAFT SLEEPER: DAVID DAHL

As we move closer to 2017 fantasy baseball drafts, there are some themes that are becoming quite clear.  Third base is as massively powerful than ever before, starting pitching remains extremely deep, and the number of prime sleeper hitters is as potent as we have see in awhile.  With Gary Sanchez, Alex Bregman, Andrew Benintendi, and David Dahl joining a slew of others, there should be enough sleepers to go around for you to get a good chance of claiming one in your draft.  When it comes to Dahl, what quickly stands out is the fact he has a reputation and skill-set that point to him being a precious five-tool player, while also having the immense attraction of calling Coors Field home.  With Dahl expected to claim a starting outfield job with Charlie Blackmon and Carlos Gonzalez, the Rockies have a supremely gifted trio that each carry fantasy baseball intrigue.  

Digging into Dahl a bit deeper, he was originally the tenth overall pick in the 2012 draft by the team but he took a few years to find his footing in the minors.  Dahl hit just .278 at Double-A in 2015 but he began to show the power/speed game that makes him so exciting today as he hit 6 home runs and stole 22 bases.  He took that breakthrough into 2016 when Dahl upped those totals to 13/16 at Double-A (albeit with another .278 average) before he went crazy at Triple-A (.484 with 7 homers and 5 steals in 68 at-bats).  The Rockies couldn't keep Dahl down much longer and so they made the call during the summer.  While Dahl didn't play on an everyday basis, he flashed ability again by hitting .315 with 7 home runs and 5 steals in just 237 at-bats.  Dahl was far from overmatched at the major league level but the Rockies still eased him into action.  As 2017 dawns however, the training wheels will be taken off for Dahl and that adds to the fantasy baseball attractiveness.

Now in terms of Dahl's profile, his speed is terrific and he also has power that continues to develop.  He does strike out at a decent clip (24.9 percent with the Rockies) but Dahl has the look of being the next Charlie Blackmon who has taken off to be a firm outfielder 1 the last two years.  Now of course there will be struggles during his initial campaign at the major league level but Dahl's power/speed game points to him eventually making a run at outfielder 1 status.  That won't happen in 2017 but 20 home runs and 20 steals is not out of the question.  That means you should target Dahl heavily once the draft moves to the early middle rounds as Dahl's skills are as attractive as any young hitter in today's fantasy baseball game.  

2017 PROJECTION:  .280 16 HR 78 R 75 RBI 19 SB  


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