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Sunday, January 22, 2017

2017 FANTASY BASEBALL DRAFT BUST: ADAM DUVALL OUTFIELDER CINCINNATI REDS

Often in fantasy baseball, we find hitters or pitchers who literally come out of the blue to put up some big-time numbers but then the next season fade back into oblivion as the opposing adjusts to their tendencies.  While there is no guarantee, Cincinnati Reds slugging outfielder Adam Duvall could be such a candidate for 2017 fantasy baseball.  Duvall of course was the Home Run Derby participant who himself came out nowhere to slug a bunch of home runs in a very eyebrow-raising first half performance (.249, 23 HR, 61 RBI) which helped earned him the invite to the midsummer exhibition.  What was interesting though about Duvall was the fact he was already 27 when he "broke out" for the Reds last season but that solid first half would soon descend into a very ugly second half as opposing pitchers adjusted and took advantage of the giant holes in his swing.  Consider that Duvall sank to a very ugly .231 average with just 10 home runs and 42 more RBI during the second half a he looked so much more like the Quad-A guy he was prior to the start of 2016.  Now 28 and entering into the new season with a starting spot locked up, Duvall will be drafted on the totality of his 33 homers and 103 RBI last season.  Instead focus in on the horrid .241 average and the fact Duvall scored just 65 runs and his six steals are about as good as you can expect there.  Duvall is just a two-category guy who may not even be that this season as pitchers now have a firm book on his weaknesses.  Guys who can hit home runs and have an ugly batting average are all over the waiver wire each and every season so there really is no reason to chase such a limited hitter as Duvall is.

2017 PROJECTION:  .236 25 HR 88 RBI 63 R 5 SB  


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