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Tuesday, November 1, 2016

2017 FANTASY BASEBALL PLAYER ANALYZER: MATT CARPENTER 2B/3B ST. LOUIS CARDINALS

Another hitter who began the 2016 season under the “prove it” heading was St. Louis Cardinals 2B/3B Matt Carpenter.  What Carpenter needed to prove was whether or not the out-of-the-blue 28 home runs he hit in 2015 were in fact legitimate or a major outlier.  Consider that Carpenter’s previous high in home runs was a modest 11 and there certainly was reason to question how legitimate those 28 bombs were.  In terms of whether or not Carpenter accomplished this
 became a somewhat muddled endeavor since he missed a chunk of the season with a strained oblique.  Despite the missed time, Carpenter still managed to hit 21 home runs in almost exactly 100 fewer at-bats.  While Carpenter’s HR pace was a bit off from what he accomplished in 2015, he was in line to finish with around 25 long balls if he stayed completely healthy.  That means Carpenter has solidified his status as a mid-20’s home run hitter going forward for the time being.  As far as the rest of his numbers were concerned, Carpenter’s batting average has been either .272 or .271 each of the last three years; numbers that were down quite a bit from the .300 marks he toted when first arriving in the majors.  It is easy to see that Carpenter has given away some average in exchange for more power as swings more for the fences but that is a trade-off we can accept for fantasy baseball purposes.  While there is zero speed to speak of, Carpenter is a near-lock for 100 runs scored and 80-plus RBI if he avoids the disabled list.  There is little overall volatility here and Carpenters retains eligibility at both second (where you want to play him) and third base.  Steady as it gets.  
2017 PROJECTION:  .273 24 HR 78 RBI 99 R 2 SB

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