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Wednesday, September 14, 2016

FANTASY BASEBALL INJURY FALLOUT: AARON JUDGE NOW JUST A STORY FOR 2017 DUE TO OBLIQUE

It was stating the obvious when New York Yankees GM Brian Cashman came out on Wednesday to report that rookie power-hitting outfielder Aaron Judge likely played his last game of the 2016 season due to the oblique injury he suffered in Tuesday's games.  Given the fickle nature of oblique problems and the late juncture of the year, it was the right call to make.  So as we always do in situations like this, some retrospective is in order on Judge who hit a home run in his first at-bat after getting promoted during the summer but did little else the rest of the way as he batted .179 with 4 home runs in 95 at-bats.  While Judge has been lauded for his titanic pure power that could rival Giancarlo Stanton, the one number that will haunt him all winter is the 44.2 K/9 rate that he somehow managed to record.  A K rate that high is almost hard to believe and it shows you how all-or-nothing Judge can be as a hitter.  With little speed to offset the major average hit, it is almost imperative for Judge to at least hit 30 home runs and collect 80 RBI.  Those are numbers he very well could achieve given a full season in 2017 but the average will likely struggle to go over .240 if he even goes that high.  That is how bad the strikeout problem is with Judge and we have seen that struggle push prospects right back to the minors.  As a result, we don't recommend chasing Judge in drafts next season by any means.  While the Yankee tag is always attractive and the ballpark as well, Judge is a very flawed player who is best left for somoene else given what we have seen. 


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