Saturday, July 30, 2016


Jason Heyward:  2/4 with his 5th HR while hitting .229.  Heyward's contract already looks like one of the worst of all time.  And I said from the beginning he was incredibly overrated in fantasy baseball.  Its like the guy forgot how to hit when he was reaching his prime.  Red flags.

Jon Lester:  6 IP 4 H 0 ER 2 BB 7 K with an ERA of 2.95.  Lester is particularly tough at home with an ERA under 2.00 in the friendly confines.

Chris Carter:  1/4 with his 23rd HR while hitting .217.  Next stop:  .200.

Junior Guerra:  8.2 IP 4 H 1 ER 1 BB 5 K with an ERA of 2.70.  Please.  A year ago a minor league medicore arm by the name of Taylor Jungmann did what Guerra is doing now.  Then he got absolutely destroyed the next season and was back on the farm.  Guerra has only 85 strikeouts in 103.1 innings and so there is a ton of trouble when he is not getting the extreme BABIP luck he has received.  You have been warned.

Max Scherzer:  7 IP 5 H 1 ER 2 BB 6 K with an ERA of 2.85.  Once the home run rate began to steady, Scherzer was right back to the slam dunk fantasy baseball ace he always has been.

Shawn Kelly:  scoreless .1 IP for sixth save with an ERA of 3.05.  Kelly is the man now in the ninth inning for better or for worse as Papelbon officially looks like toast. 

Xander Bogaerts:  2/5 with his 13th HR while hitting .331.  If Bogaerts keep this up, he will back up right into the wall of a fantasy baseball first round draft.

Jackie Bradley Jr.:  1/4 with his 17th HR while hitting .298.  The development of Bradley has been a solid surprise.  Not that I didn't think he had talent but instead there were legit concerns about the contact rate and ability to bat for average.  Answered in the affirmative.

Rick Porcello:  9 IP 5 H 2 ER 0 BB 3 K with an ERA of 3.47.  Listen Porcello has talent and was a former early round pick for a reason but his margin for error is razor thin in any one start due to his soft fastball.  That is deadly in the AL as we have seen so I would still avoid at all costs despite the tidy ERA.

Rougned Odor:  3/4 with 2 home runs (21 for season) while hitting .282.  Now up to 21 homers and 10 steals to go with an average that is inching toward .300.  In two years it is staggering to think how incredible Odor could be.  Special talents like this don't come around often.  Whatever you pay for him next season will be worth every penny. 

Jurickson Profar:  2/3 with his 5th HR while hitting .301.  Hearing the Rangers could move Profar but that is kind of ridiculous to me.  Injuries or no injuries, the kid remains a major prospect.  They waited all this time for him to come back and now are ready to unload him after two months of very good hitting?  Doesn't make sense. 

Eric Hosmer:  1/4 with his 14th HR while hitting .282.  Hosmer will finish with 19-20 home runs like usual.  Dependability is underrated in evaluating a fantasy baseball hitter.  Sure we expected some more from Hosmer but the bottom line is still quite impressive. 

Adam Eaton:  1/4 with his 8th HR while hitting .272.  Eaton falls into that category of fantasy baseball player that no one wants anymore after he let many down as a failed sleeper initially.  This despite the fact Eaton has developed into a very useful commodity as an OF 3.  It is situations like this where you can turn a major profit on a player and ultimately win your league. 

Jeremy Hazelbaker:  1/2 with his 8th HR while hitting .248.  Remember when everyone picked up Hazelbaker after he got hot the first two weeks of the season?  Well not me as it was a clear case of "new season/100 percent attention in fantasy baseball community" at work there.  Hazelbaker was a fluke as I said then and needless to say he did a nice job proving that out.

Marcell Ozuna:  2/4 with his 18th HR while hitting .299.  Ozuna is a bit under the radar in Miami because no one wants hitters from that ballpark not named Giancarlo Stanton.  Terrific power though which plays nicely in today's game.  Keep him on your value lists for 2017. 

Carlos Gonzalez:  2/5 with his 21st HR while hitting .317.  Gonzalez is well behind last year's home run pace which is no shock here since that was in clear outlier territory.  Remember that when a veteran guy goes nuts and above his career norms by a large margin one season, it almost always means a correction the following year. 

Tyler Collins:  2/4 with his third HR while hitting .204.  Good game but Collins is not long for the majors with J.D. Martinez on his way back.  Failed to impress. 

Justin Upton:  2/4 with his 12th HR while hitting .236.  This falls into the too little, too late bin.  Upton still has two months to at least make something right but he has shown no signs of doing so. 

Jose Altuve:  1/4 with his 18th HR while hitting .356.  Unbelievable.  You can now make the case with the power uptick that Altuve is the single most dominant fantasy baseball hitter in the game. 

Edwin Encarnacion:  2/3 with his 28th HR while hitting .265.  We did a head-to-head between Paul Goldschmidt and Jose Abreu in March.  Maybe it should have been Goldschmidt-Encarnacion.

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