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Monday, June 6, 2016

FANTASY BASEBALL STATUS REPORT: JOSE FERNANDEZ SP MIAMI MARLINS

One theme that has been talked about a bunch so far this 2016 fantasy baseball season is the comeback speed bumps that accompany a Tommy John recovery for a pitcher.  With the New York Mets' Matt Harvey statistically pitching like one of the WORST pitchers in all of baseball in April and most of May after making a very high 216 inning return from the surgert in 2015, the Miami Marlins' Jose Fernandez went through his own struggles the first month of the season in his own comeback from the procedure.  A few things to note in terms of the differences between the two is that Harvey had a longer rest period before his return from TJ at around 15 months, while Fernandez came back in about 12.  That helped explain the strong return in 2015 for Harvey but the fact he pitched so many innings caused a lot of concern his arm would "bounce" in 2015 which is exactly what has happened.  Fernandez meanwhile struggled with his control during his half season in 2015 and April of 2016 was even worse which is a key ingredient that goes with any pitcher coming back from the surgery.  The result was a very un-Fernandez like 4.08 ERA and high 1.29 WHIP in April as he walked a crazy high 14 batters in just 28.2 innings.  Classic Tommy John control problems.  Unfortunately for the hitting fraternity, the initial month of the 2016 season was the last time they would see a mortal Fernandez as the 23-years-old Miami ace went into nuclear mode in May to the tune of a 1.38 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, and an absolutely insane 56 strikeouts in 39 innings.  Fernandez kept the dominance going in his first June start as well against Harvey as he struck out 14!!! Mets in 7 innings of shutout ball. 

Heading into his next start,. Fernandez now has a cumulative 2.29 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, and insane 13.26 K/9 rate which is right there at the top among all starting pitchers in baseball.  Now pitching in his fourth MLB season, Fernandez' CUMULATIVE career ERA is 2.38 and his WHIP 1.02 as he stamped himself as a top five pitcher in all of baseball.  I have said publicly since Fernandez debuted in 2013 that this is one of the most talented young pitchers I have ever seen and even after the Tommy John surgery, it looks like he has lost not a snippet of ability.  The kid is ridiculous and can even get better due to how young he remains.  What an amazing talent we have the priviledge of seeing. 


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