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Thursday, May 5, 2016

FANTASY BASEBALL WRAPUP: WEDNESDAY

Anthony Rizzo:  3/5 with his 9th HR while hitting .260.  After straddling the .200 mark for most of April, Rizzo is now up to .260 and still hitting home runs at a very high rate.  40 homers seems to be Rizzo's destiny but a .280 average is also possible.  Remember Rizzo is no .320 hitting first baseman and never will be due to issues against lefties and a high K rate but when it comes to power few are better.

Ben Zobrist:  1/5 with his second HR while hitting .250.  The Cubs clearly paid for intangibles here as Zobrist is as boring a fantasy baseball as one can get at this late stage of his career.  With his speed long gone and the power vanishing as well, Zobrist really shouldn't be one most fantasy baseball rosters.

Jon Lester:  5.2 IP 8 H 0 ER 2 BB 5 K with an ERA of 1.58.  Nice job by Lester to hold it together long enough to get the win on a rare 2016 start where he didn't have his best stuff. 

Juan Nicasio:  4.1 IP 8 H 1 ER 3 BB 3 K with an ERA of 3.16.  Nicasio gave up three unearned runs so on paper this looked like a worse outing then it really was.  Overall Nicasio has been wildly inconsistent and his 1.34 WHIP shows you that the ERA should be higher.  While you love the K Rate and recent massive success of Pittsburgh pitching projects, this is a very volatile stock from start-to-start. 

Asdrubal Cabrera:  1/4 with his second HR while hitting .304.  It seems like Cabrera has been around forever but he is still only just 30 and in his prime.  He has changed as a player in that he doesn't run much anymore and the power is quite mediocre but Cabrera is still holding his own as a borderline top ten fantasy baseball shortstop. 

Lucas Duda:  2/4 with 2 home runs (9 for season) while hitting .258.  Duda has been crazy hot with his home run swing the last two weeks and he is one of the few players in fantasy baseball that can single-handily carry you in the power categories for a stretch.  Many still quibble with the batting average which is always shaky but look past that and embrace Duda for his positives which are sizable. 

Steven Matz:  7.2 IP 2 H 0 ER 0 BB 8 K with an ERA of 2.83.  After Matz got his head beaten in during his first start of the season when he had to deal with seven days off in a row, the case can be made that he has been the best pitcher on the potent Mets staff.  Digest on these numbers from Matz' last four starts:  26 IP 21 H 2 ER 5 BB 29 K.  Wow indeed. The massive hype attached to Matz' name seems well placed by the looks of it. 

Brandon Belt:  2/3 with his 4th HR while hitting .323.  Looking forward to see how these overall numbers look at the end of the season with no injuries robbing games from the ledger.  Could be quite impressive as Belt seems like the planets are aligning for him finally. 

Eugenio Suarez:  3/4 with his 6th HR while hitting .269.  So when I panned Suarez as a bust candidate for this season, a lot of that argument went toward my belief the average would tumble from his 2015 breakout given that he was not a very good hitter in the minors previously.  That is what is starting to happen to Suarez now as the K's pile up but his power is holding steady.  Suarez is at an age when his power could trend upward as he moves into his prime so I guess that part of his game is not a total shock.  If Suarez did not have shortstop eligibility this season, we would not be talking about him much at all. 

Brandon Phillips:  2/4 with his second HR while hitting .281.  Yes Brandon we know you are still around.  Thanks for the reminder.  Doesn't it always seem like Phillips is hitting .281?

Zack Cozart:  1/4 with his third HR while hitting .342.  Speaking of Cincy shortstops, this is one who has not stopped hitting ropes since the start of 2015.  Cozart really has impressed me and if he is still sitting on your league's waiver wire, then your league mates are not paying attention. 

Jake Peavy:  7 ER in 6 IP with an ERA of 9.00.  The end is near.  Or it is already here. 

Bryce Harper:  2/4 with his 10th HR while hitting .266.  The average has come down quite a bit here as Harper is getting a bit whiff-happy but nothing else really needs to be said here.  The guy is a man among boys.  Which is ironic since he is still at an age where veterans can still call him a boy.

Daniel Murphy:  4/5 with his 4th HR while hitting .398.  Sorry but the Mets don't regret not having you Murph.  Even when you are hitting everything in sight. 

Stephen Strasburg:  6 IP 5 H 2 ER 1 BB 7 K with an ERA of 2.36.  You always get the feeling Strasburg is made of glass don't you?  Once again he is pitching great but yet you also get the sensation that he should be doing more.

Mike Trout:  2/4 with his 7th HR while hitting .317.  Well at least Trout is beating Harper handily right now in batting average.  It's something.

Tyler Chatwood:  8 IP 3 H 0 ER 1 BB 7 K with an ERA of 2.15.  The first thing that needs to be mentioned is that this outing came away from Coors Field and in Petco Park which puts any pitcher on the path toward a big outing.  Some perspective is needed here as Chatwood has registered some very ugly numbers in his previous three seasons in the majors and that makes him really just streamable in NL-only formats.  You can do so much better considering how massive the depth is among pitchers. 

Nelson Cruz:  3/4 with his 5th HR while hitting .293.  The power on a per game basis is down somewhat but Cruz is just like Lucas Duda in that he gets them in bunches.  Which is likely to start now.

Sean Manea:  5 IP 7 H 4 ER 1 BB 6 K with an ERA of 7.20.  Manea is not ready by the looks of his first two starts and that means in mixers that are medium-to-shallow you can let him go.  Decent future but not for now.

Marcus Semien:  2/4 with his 7th HR while hitting .209.  The average has bottomed out completely here which is not a tremendous surprise considering the lack of plate discipline Semien has.  You simply can't own the guy when he is going this poorly with his contact rate despite the shortstop eligibility. 

Dae-Ho Lee:  2/4 with 2 home runs (4 for season) while hitting .281.  Lee has had a few big games since the start of the season but he is just a part-timer right now which makes him only someone to keep tabs on.

Felix Hernandez:  4 IP 9 H 4 ER 0 BB 1 K with an ERA of 2.21.  All of a sudden Hernandez' WHIP is elevating to a shaky range at 1,25.  We have to really watch now to see where this continues to go as Hernandez could already be dealing with a tired arm given how awful he was in the second half last season due to the high amount of innings he has thrown in his career already. 

Jose Altuve:  3/5 with his 8th HR while hitting .306.  The home runs are not letting up as we are now into May so it surely looks like we are seeing even MORE numbers added to an already first round five tool gem of a player.  Who is shorter then you.  Remember it was I who had Altuve as a first rounder this season and not Carlos Correa who was just outside it.

Carlos Correa:  3/5 with his 4th HR while hitting .276.  Correa is now only four home runs behind his infield mate.  There was always going to be a somewhat of a sophomore slump at some point for Correa this season so no shock about the slow start.  His talent is insane though so that "slump" is likely already over. 

Brian Dozier:  1/3 with his 4th HR while hitting .220.  Part of the many reasons I don't ever own Dozier is because if he is not running or hitting for a high amount of home runs, his always disgusting average will kill you which has happened thus far in every qualifier this season.

David Ortiz:  2/5 with his 6th HR while hitting .311.  Admit it.  When you hear a player has been hit with a PED suspension like with Dee Gordon last week, you reflexively think the Ortiz going off into the sunset in a blaze of glory storyline has had ink spilt all over it. 

Jose Abreu:  1/3 with his 4th HR while hitting .255.  Even if Abreu went into June with a .220 average, he would still rally and finish around .300.  One of those guys I never worry about no matter how bad things get.

Odubel Herrera:  2/4 with his third HR while hitting .319.  Please somebody remind Herrera he needs to run as well.  If he starts picking up steals like he is capable of, we could be seeing the start of a sizable breakout.

Ryan Howard:  1/3 with his 7th HR while hitting .195.  This is how we all thought we would be seeing the similarly built Ortiz go out. 

Jeanmar Gomez:  blown save with 2 ER in .2 IP with an ERA of 2.70.  The 1.26 WHIP spells trouble going forward and remember we qualified Gomez' promotion with the warning that his mediocre K Rate could be a problem eventually.  The Phils are supplying a ton of save chances right now which is big but we are entering into a sort of danger zone now with Gomez.  Watch closely to see how he does next time out. 

C.C. Sabbathia:  7 IP 6 H 0 ER 2 BB 6 K with an ERA of 3.81.  I hope I don't have to tell you what to do here.  And it is not to pick him up.  There I just said it.  Avoid completely. 

Edwin Encarnacion:  2/4 with his 4th HR while hitting .245.  Encarnacion is giving away more and more of his average each passing season as he gets set to reach his mid-30's.  Now the key is to see how much if any power he starts yielding. 

Aaron Sanchez:  7 IP 7 H 3 ER 2 BB 5 K with an ERA of 2.82.  You wonder why it took as long as it did for the Jays to install Sanchez into the rotation.  The arm was always capable of decent K rates and his control has gotten better which always unlocks the most potential. 

David Peralta:  1/3 with his third HR while hitting .255.  Thought we would be seeing more of this from Peralta but the season still has five months to go.  Peralta playing everyday is a good thing but it also exposes him to more lefties which is hurting the average. 

Giancarlo Stanton:  2/3 with his 9th HR while hitting .258.  Just keep that average over .260 and we are good.

J.T. Realmuto:  3/4 while hitting .329.  Still batting leadoff.  Realmuto was one of our biggest catcher recommendations.  Just saying. 

 

10 comments:

  1. Worth dropping Salvador Perrz to pick up Realmuto?

    ReplyDelete
  2. Replies
    1. Depends what you need. Perez has more power but realmuto will hit for higher average and score more runs.

      Delete
    2. Depends what you need. Perez has more power but realmuto will hit for higher average and score more runs.

      Delete
  3. If J. Gomez loses the closer role, who fills in? Bailey?

    ReplyDelete
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