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Tuesday, May 17, 2016

FANTASY BASEBALL WRAPUP: TUESDAY

Eugenio Suarez:  2/5 with his 8th HR while hitting .255.  Suarez' power looks legit as this is the second season in a row he has been above-average there relative to hsi shortstop eligibility.  In fact Suarez's .275 BABIP is on the unlucky side so he could boost the average a bit going forward as well.

Adam Duvall:  1/4 with his 7th HR while hitting .284.  I have been slow to cover the emergence of Duvall this season as he has been quite valuable for a waiver add.  He hit 26 home runs at Triple-A for the Giants organization in 2015 but at 27 Duvall is a late bloomer whose K rate is over 30 percent which is simply brutal.  A big average drop is coming so enjoy the positive numbers wile you can as they are not going to last.

Marlon Byrd:  3/5 with his third HR while hitting .253.  Yes Byrd is still playing. 

Yan Gomes:  2/4 with his sixth HR while hitting .179.  Gomes is hitting for good power which makes him interesting at catcher but the average takes almost all the home run value away.  Simply put, 2014 is starting to look like a big fluke for Gomes. 

Justin Bour:  1/4 with his 7th HR while hitting .264.  I like Bour a lot because for the second season in a row he was a waiver guy who hits for good power which is especially valuable in today's pitching dominanted game.  He won't hit for much better average-wise then where he currently is but this is the type of classic undervalued bat that helps win leagues. 

Marcell Ozuna:  1/5 with his 7th HR while hitting .308.  Ozuna is starting to show the intriguing upside ability he put forth in 2014 before he went off the rails a year ago due to injury and immaturity.  He shouldn't be on any waiver wire but the ugly narrative from 2015 could still have him available where he makes a very nice add. 

Adam Conley:  6 IP 8 H 1 ER 1 BB 5 K with an ERA of 3.40.  A 1.29 WHIP shows that Conley has been hittable but his .307 BABIP is neutral which means his ERA is legit.  A 9.14 K/9 is what stands out here though as Conley but that number is higher then his minor league rates in that category which raise some legitimacy eyebrows. 

Marcus Semien:  1/3 with his 10th HR while hitting .220.  If someone dropped Semien in your league, pick him up as he continues to hit for rare power at shortstop and the average is upwswinging lately.  He is still far from a finished product but just like with catcher, any offensive contribution from a shortstop can't be looked over. 

Sean Manaea:  6.2 IP 4 H 1 ER 1 BB 3 K with an ERA of 7.91.  The A's keep throwing Manaea out there and he finally puts forth a good outing in this one but with not much in the way of K's.  I said prior that Manaea is a story more for 2017 then 2016 and stand by that assessment as he is being force fed right now.

Trayce Thompson:  2/3 with 2 home runs (6 for season) while hitting .292.  In the always crowded Dodgers outfield, maybe we should have ignored Carl Crawford, Yasiel Puig, and Joc Pederson all along and instead focused on this intriguing and possibly emerging talent.  Remember Thompson was a former second round pick who hit for power and stole bases making his way through the minors.  With the Dodgers in desperate need of a spark, Thompson has earned the right to be out there on a daily basis.  A very strong add. 

Kenta Maeda:  4 IP 5 H 4 ER 2 BB 5 K with an ERA of 2.87.  Adjustment time, adjustment time, adjustment time.  You knew Maeda was not going to rock a mid-1.00 ERA forever and opposing hitters are going to town on his video.  A rough patch no doubt but Maeda is skilled enough to engineer his own adjustment.  No reason to worry. 

Paul Goldschmidt:  1/4 with his 8th HR while hitting .223.  What is funny about Goldy right now is that his average is what we thought we would see out of him when he first came out of the minors due to his very high K rates.  Instead Goldy hit .300 consistently until now where his K Rate has shot up to a career-high 24.7 percent.  A .258 BABIP is more the problem though as Goldy was at .382 and .368 the two seasons prior.  Yes Goldy really beat the BABIP curve in both those seasons and was due for a correction but not that drastic.  He is still the monster he always has been but is just dealing with an early funk.

Jake Lamb:  3/4 with his 5th HR while hitting .275.  Instead of reaching for Miguel Sano, you could have used a last round pick or a free agent add on Lamb.  Just saying. 

Steve Pearce:  2/4 with his sixth HR while hitting .288.  Pearce was the guy we called a major bust candidate for 2015 and were right after his ultimate fluke of a 2014 campaign.  That pushed his draft value so far into the toilet for 2016 that he was worth checking out again.  That's how we do it. 

Desmond Jennings:  3/5 with his second HR while hitting .185.  Not sure what all the fuss was once about. 

Drew Smyly:  5 IP 4 H 1 ER 4 BB 6 K with an ERA of 3.44,  Smyly has run into some difficulties lately but the K rate is still incredibly impressive and I remain a big booster of his.  Just keep in mind he has not thrown a ton of innings the last few seasons so fatigue stretches are a given like what we also are seeing from Matt Moore lately. 

J.A. Happ:  8 ER in 2 IP with an ERA of 3.40.  The mother of all smoke and mirrors statistical correction as Happ was pitching as far over his head as one could get. 

Miguel Sano:  2/5 with his sixth HR while hitting .235.  So far I am not impressed. 

Ian Kinsler:  3/5 with his 8th HR while hitting .310.  Guess we should have had Kinsler as the number one fantasy baseball second baseman for 2016. 

J.D. Martinez:  3/4 with his 7th HR while hitting .252.  The launching point on Martinez began last week when he began slamming home runs and there seems to be no recent letup in sight.  A veteran in the prime of his career, Martinez will likely have all the numbers we anticipated outside of a drop in average due to BABIP comebacks from the last few seasons. 

Nick Castellanos:  2/4 with his 8th HR while hitting .348.  Yeah my MIRAGE post on Castellanos is not looking like my best work this season. 

 

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