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Friday, May 20, 2016

FANTASY BASEBALL WRAPUP: THURSDAY

Chris Carter:  1/4 with his 12th HR while hitting .245.  The above .260 average was fun while it lasted but guys with the extreme K rates like Carter see their number there always go back to their standards like the pull of an anchor.  There is no denying though that Carter has been quite valuable once again with his power after he went undrafted in most leagues. 

Dexter Fowler:  1/5 with his 4th HR while hitting .314.  The injury to Kyle Schwarber salvaged the fantasy baseball value of Fowler after on the surface it looked like an awfully dumb idea for him to re-sign as a fourth outfielder with the Cubs and spurning the Baltimore Orioles.  Fowler has been very good since the start of the season and is carrying a .300-plus average into his second month.  While Fowler is in outlier territory there, batting leadoff for this potent Cubs lineup could have him awfully close to outfielder 2 value for the first time in his career. 

Junior Guerra:  7 IP 5 H 3 ER 3 BB 11 K with an ERA of 3.96.  Please don't overreact to this as Guerrea is a 31-year-old minor league journeyman who does not strike guys out at a high rate outside of this outing.  If you pick him up your lost.

Adam Lind:  1/4 with his third HR while hitting .224.  Tough to tell you to remain patient with Lind but if you have the roster space please do so.  He is starting to get the hang of hitting against unfamiliar AL pitchers and the home runs are beginning to fly out.

Leonys Martin:  2/3 with his 7th HR while hitting .214.  I thought this guy was supposed to be strictly a base stealer and nothing more. 

Nathan Karns:  5 IP 4 H 1 ER 0 BB 5 K with an ERA of 3.33.  Still not sure why the Rays gave up on Karns. 

Mike Trout:  2/3 with his 10th HR while hitting .327.  Boggles my mind that the Angels even had to come out and discuss any sort of trading issue with Trout for this season or even any season for that matter.  Whether it is real or fantasy baseball, Trout is about as close to an untradeable asset as one can get 

Gregory Polanco:  2/5 with his 5th HR while hitting .308.  If this keeps up, Andrew McCutchen will soon become the THIRD most talented outfielder in Pittsburgh. 

Carlos Beltran:  2/5 with his 9th HR while hitting .250.  With the average firmly in mediocre territory, Beltran has now become strictly a home run specialist at this late stage of the game.  Big time name for sure but keep your expectations centered there.

Josh Reddick:  2/3 with his 5th HR while hitting .322.  Big love for Reddick from this peanut stand as he remains incredibly underrated and underused in fantasy baseball.  Not buying the average as Reddick is toting a crazy lucky .350 BABIP but the power is below level and will trend upwards which will offset this.

Brandon Crawford:  2/4 with his 6th HR while hitting .257.  Consistency.

Jeff Samardzjia:  8 IP 3 H 1 ER 0 BB 8 K with an ERA of 2.66.  Yes sir I called this one.  While Samardzjia had a simply brutal spring training, that had more to do with the thin air in Arizona which I said to all his nervous owners.  I was a big proponent in buying in on a major comeback here given the move back to the NL and in San Francisco's big ballpark and Samarzjia has been every bit as dominant as expected and maybe more.  Moves like this win leagues. 

Evan Gattis:  2/3 with his third HR while hitting .237.  It is like the players are reading the Fantasy Sports Boss this season and doing everything I say will happen to make me look good.  Did a piece on picking up Gattis the other day as he will gain catcher eligiblity again soon and he went yard last night with the tools of ignorance on.  Yup.

Chris Sale:  9 IP 4 H 1 ER 0 BB 9 K with an ERA of 1.58.  Sports Illustrated did an excellent piece on Sale this week which details how he has given up strikeouts in order to pitch deeper into games.  While his 250-K days seem over on the surface, Sale is making a run at a 32-0 record with his 9-0 mark through 9 starts with ridiculous ratios.  No one talks about Sale enough but he is now ahead of Max Scherzer in all of baseball for the honor to sit behind Clayton Kershaw. 

Edwin Encarnacion:  3/5 with his 9th HR while hitting .252.  Encarnacion's owners wish May lasted for six months and not one. 

Marco Estrada:  8 IP 3 H 1 ER 1 BB 9 K with an ERA of 2.61.  Still shaking my head that it took going to Toronto and the AL of all places for Estrada to make good on all the ability I hyped here going back to his early Milwaukee days.

Daniel Murphy:  2/4 with his sixth HR while hitting .397.  Murphy has been locked in from the go this season and he is on pace for 21 home runs which would validate the bustout from a year ago. 

Stephen Strasburg:  6 IP 6 H 1 ER 1 BB 10 K with an ERA of 2.80.  Strasburg has been insane going back to mid-2015.  The K Rate is through the roof and he is showing himself to be that massive star he oozed when he first debuted.  Things usually get rocky at some point with injury but for now other than Kershaw and Sale no one is piching better.

Matt Harvey:  2.2 IP 8 H 6 ER 2 BB 1 K with an ERA of 5.77.  You can just hear Scott Boras screaming "I told you so" out loud in his office when watching what an utter disaster Harvey has become.  The fastball is all the way down to 92 now from last year's 97 and Harvey is getting destroyed on a per start basis.  Now a DL stint is likely as the Mets will use the "fatigue" excuse to get him some rest.  This should serve as a firm reminder and accuracy of young guys struggling the season after a major jump in innings.  Now we have to see if this is permanent or just a one-year issue.

Trevor Story:  3/5 with his 12th HR while hitting .287.  Kudos to Story and those who didn't sell high like I told you to do.  You never know if a young hitter will respond when pitchers adjust but that is what has happened here which speaks volumes to the bright outlook here. 

Matt Carpenter:  3/5 with his 9th HR while hitting .255.  It seems like the power hitting version and not the batting average dynamo version of Carpenter is here to stay.

Michael Wacha:  6 ER in 4 IP with an ERA of 4.03.  Yup just like I said, Wacha's ERA is now showing itself more realistically in terms of his 1.46 WHIP.

 

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