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Saturday, May 21, 2016

FANTASY BASEBALL WRAPUP: FRIDAY

Aaron Nola:  7 IP 7 H 2 ER 2 BB 6 K with an ERA of 2.85.  Nola actually gave up five runs but three were unearned.  Even when he gets shelled he is still awesome. 

Freddie Freeman:  2/5 with 2 home runs (8 for season) while hitting .272.  Freeman has hit well over .300 for the last three weeks and the power has taken off as well.  Goes to show you what Freeman is capable of overall but a putrid Braves lineup neuters his overall possible impact.

Nick Markakis:  1/4 with his first HR while hitting .257.  Still trying to figure out why the hell on earth the Braves signed Markakis as a free agent prior to last year when they were shipping off anything that was not nailed down in order to prep for their new ballpark.  Also remember when Markakis was a borderline outfielder 1?  Then the power and speed vanished overnight.  Why?  (Insert chemical reason here................).

Matt Wisler:  6.2 IP 5 H 1 ER 2 BB 7 K with an ERA of 2.93.  Some very nice value things happening here with the kid but some major perspective is needed.  For one thing, Wisler was pounded a year ago to the tune of a 4.71 ERA.  While you can say rookie jitters, his K/9 rate is awful at a below-average 5.94 a year ago and 6.34 this season.  The margin for error is razor thin and reminders of Taylor Jungmann a year ago come to mind.  Be very careful here. 

Justin Turner:  1/4 with his second HR while hitting .234.  Turner is now just starting to knock off the rust after missing spring training recovering from surgery and most of April.  I would take a stab as Turner was a line drive machine the last two seasons prior to the health problems. 

Yasiel Puig:  2/4 with his 5th HR while hitting .242.  There has to be more here right?  Starting to think not. 

Melvin Upton:  1/4 with his sixth HR while hitting .266.  It is amazing to say this but Melvin has been the most valuable fantasy baseball hitter in the family in 2016.

Derek Norris:  1/5 with his 4th HR while hitting .176.  Norris has let me down at every turn as he has fallen in love with the home run and in the process left behind decent averages and some speed in the minors and his early Oakland A's seasons.  Not good.

Scott Kazmir:  5 ER in 5.2 IP with an ERA of 5.23.  Speaking of not good, Kazmir has pretty much gotten his brains beaten in all season and the first half is usually when he excels before going into his mid-to-late year tailspin.  Could be among the worst overall starters this season based on that trend.  Never was a fan in the first place.

C.C. Sabbathia:  6 IP 3 H 1 ER 1 BB 8 K with an ERA of 3.41.  Nice start off the DL for C.C. and overall he has been pretty good.  His K rate has jumped up a bit as well but honestly do you really want to go down this road AGAIN?

Sonny Gray:  4 ER in 3.1 IP with an ERA of 6.19.  There are no words to describe how awful Gray has been.  The only people who would understand how bad are Matt Harvey owners.  There is ZERO life on Gray's fastball and rememeber I did a Crisis Point on him two weeks ago sharing with you the fact his K/9 rate has slipped each of the last three years.  Now combined with his head getting beaten in every time out, there is legitimate worry over misuse of Gray with all those early innings on his arm. 

Manny Machado:  2/4 with his 12th HR while hitting .323.  MVP here we come.

Mark Trumbo:  1/5 with his 13th HR while hitting .306.  So far Trumbo has my "A.J. Pollock 2015 Value Play of the Year Pick" award all locked up.  Yes me of all people recommended a buy low on Trumbo this season after ripping him for years.  Move to offensive park+extreme drop in draft price=metamorphosis into value play I like.

Chris Davis:  1/4 with his 10th HR while hitting .243.  Mickey Mantle and Roger Maris are enjoying this Trumbo-Chris Davis duel from above.

Joey Rickard:  2/5 with his 4th HR while hitting .268.  Rickard looks like just the latest uncovered hitting value play found by Buck Showalter.  Originally a ninth round pick, hit only two home runs in the minors a year ago so don't go crazy here.  This is more of a steals add as that is what Rickard did best on the farm. 

Kris Bryant:  2/5 with his 8th HR while hitting .277.  Bryant seems primed to have one of those summers where he hits 10-12 home runs each month. 

Ben Zobrist:  1/4 with his sixth HR while hitting .326.  Zobrist has been terrific and so much better then I anticipated.  Keep in mind though he is still a changed player from his prime when he was a near-20/20 guy.  The speed is shot but Zobrist's uptick in home run rate has to do with him finally moving into a hitter's park.  The average will come down due to a lucky BABIP but those who got the cheap rate on Zobrist are patting themselves on the back.

Jake Arrieta:  7 IP 4 H 1 ER 2 BB 8 K with an ERA of 1.29.  19 wins in a row for Arrieta who has put his picture right under the heading of "ridiculous" all over the Internet.

Jose Bautista:  2/5 with his 8th HR while hitting .229.  There has been a lot of talk about Bautista batting leadoff but that is not a good thing for his fantasy baseball as he doesn't run and it will cut down RBI chances. 

Josh Donaldson:  2/5 with his 10th HR while hitting .252.  The average is down a bit but otherwise it remains paradise owning Donaldson.

Michael Saunders:  3/5 with his 7th HR while hitting .317.  Saunders was a guy I previously was not a fan of due to the ugly batting averages he toted around but in Toronto and with no one wanting him, he was like the outfield version of Mark Trumbo.  Again everyone has value at the right price.

Aaron Sanchez:  7 IP 8 H 2 ER 0 BB 7 K with an ERA of 3.20.  Sanchez has legitimately been good as his .285 BABIP is only slightly lucky.  Only concern of course is fatigue during the summer after Sanchez pitched mostly in the bullpen previously so get readty to sell on the kid sometime in June.

Tyler Duffy:  6 ER in 5.2 IP with an ERA of 3.30.  Goes to show you that guys who throw soft like Duffey in the AL will eventually get expoded and it will get nasty.

Colby Lewis:  7 IP 4 H 0 ER 0 BB 8 K with an ERA of 2.75.  Have not typed much on Lewis this season because I haven't wanted to.  Guy knows how to pitch but there may not be a more boring guy in the world to own.  Do what you must. 

Chris Hermann:  2/5 with his 5th HR while hitting .290.  All of a sudden a catcher value play has appeared for us.  Alas Hermann is old at 28 and was a high-K/ugly average guy with some pop in the minors.  You ask questions later with catchers who can hit but there should be an expiration date on this.

Brandon Drury:  1/4 with his 7th HR while hitting .309.  Yeah we need to do a Status Report pronto.

Carlos Martinez:  5 IP 7 H 4 ER 3 BB 3 K with an ERA of 3.56.  Yup Martinez was garbage again.  Not striking guys out all of a sudden and he is getting hit after the shoulder went bad again.  Cards in jeopardy of ruining their second young hard-thrower like they have done with Michael Wacha.

Nolan Arenado:  3/3 with his 14th HR while hitting .314.  I had a dream I owned Nolan Arenado.  It was a nice dream.  All was well in the world.  Then I woke up and depression hit me that I don't own him.  Anywhere. 

Gerrit Cole:  7 IP 10 H 1 ER 1 BB 0 K with an ERA of 2.79.  Not one strikeout?  Maybe Cole read that whole Chris Sale article this past week in SI where he talked about purposely not striking out as many guys in order to pitch deeper into games.  As an owner of Cole you don't want this kind of a trend but the ERA and WHIP is still at the ace level it should be.

Nelson Cruz:  1/5 with his 9th HR while hitting .279.  This is Cruz telling us all "don't count me out for 40 home runs just yet."

Dae-Ho Lee:  2/2 with his sixth HR while hitting .273.  I want to see more of this and less of Adam Lind.

Zack Cozart:  1/4 with his fifth HR while hitting .326.  Why more people are not talking about the tremendous hitting of Cozart is beyond me.  This is what happens though when a guy bombs his first few "sleeper" seasons. 

Steven Souza:  2/3 with his 9th HR while hitting .276.  Souza has managed to keep the average in useful territory unlike last season and really that is the only talking point worth mentioning since he has proven to possess very interesting power/speed ability. 

Steve Pearce:  1/3 with his 7th HR while hitting .302.  2014 again?

Miguel Cabrera:  3/5 with 2 home runs (8 for season) while hitting .308.  We started counting out Cabrera as a monster first round hitter but over the last two weeks he is back at that level.  Whether these are now just considered hot streaks and nothing else will determine his overall value for 2016. 

Matt Andriese:  5.1 IP 5 H 4 ER 2 BB 3 K with an ERA of 2.11.  Just like with Tyler Duffy, Andriese is a soft-=tosser who should get exposed in the American League. 


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