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Thursday, April 28, 2016

FANTASY BASEBALL WRAPUP: WEDNESDAY

Stephen Piscotty:  4/5 and his first SB while hitting .305.  I am in love.

Aledmys Diaz:  2/4 with his 4th HR while hitting .468.  As amazing as this start has been for Diaz, the fact it has come primarily in the number 8 spot makes it even more impressive.  While I am impressed no doubt, keep in mind Diaz was only a .260-ish hitter in the minors with a high of 10 homers.  A correction is coming and it will be key to see if it is a Trevor Story or Tyler White correction or not. 

Adam Wainwright:  5.1 IP 7 H 4 ER 1 BB 5 K with an ERA of 7.16.  Even when he wins he sucks. 

Patrick Corbin:  7 ER in 5.2 IP with an ERA of 7.88.  This sleeper story is not going as planned.  Plant Corbin on the bench in deeper formats and I won't blame you for cutting him loose in more shallow leagues. 

Paul Goldschmidt:  1/3 with his 6th HR while hitting .250.  The average is a little low as Goldschmidt has an unlucky .260 BABIP but that is about all we can find to quibble with. 

Eric Hosmer:  3/4 with his third HR while hitting .333.  Hosmer is going according to script with the high average and just so-so power.  Not a better UTIL or CI bat out there if you double-down on first baseman to fill the slot. 

Mike Trout:  1/4 with his 5th HR while hitting .295.  If Carlos Correa kills it this season as expected you can make the case that Trout is the THIRD most valuable player in fantasy baseball. 

Yunel Escobar:  1/4 with his third HR while hitting .281.  Has the shortstop or third base spot locked up on the All-Boring team. 

Joe Smith:  scoreless ninth for his first save with an ERA of 3.00.  Smith is now the Angels closer in place of Huston Street who is out for likely a month with a strained oblique.  The guy has been one of the best setup men in all of baseball the last four years and he has a solid K rate that works well in the ninth inning.  Could be a very good replacement for the time being. 

Justin Nocolino:  7.1 IP 2 ER 0 BB 2 BB 2 K with an ERA of 0.00.  Nice outing for sure but this is a major mirage from Nicolino who struck out just 23 batters in 74 innings pitched last season.  That is as bad a K rate as one can get which makes Nicolino shoddy even in NL-only setups. 

Jose Altuve:  3/5 with his sixth HR while hitting .330.  Altuve is on pace for 30 home runs.  With a .315 average.  And 40 stolen bases.  I think I need to take a break as I am going to pass out in excitement as an Altuve owner.  Obviously Altuve is above his level in home run rate by a large margin but 15-plus is very much in play.

Robinson Cano: 2/5 with his 8th HR while hitting .247.  I don't have anything else to add to Cano other then the power has been tremendous. 

Adam Lind:  2/4 with his first HR while hitting .259.  I was high on Lind as always due to his very cheap annual power but the adjustment from the NL to the AL took some getting used to.  Pick him up now as that adjustment period could be in the rearview mirror. 

Hisashi Iwakuma:  5 ER in 5 IP with an ERA of 4.65.  Age could be a factor here as Iwakuma has been battered around like never before.  Remember the Dodgers pulled out of a deal with Iwakuma during his past winter because of health concerns.  Related?  Maybe. 

Gregory Polanco:  1/4 with his second HR while hitting .329.  A very lucky .358 BABIP has something to do with the glowing Polanco average but the kid has also made some very positive strides in BB rate and K rate.  In 2015 Polanco whiffed at a high 18.6 percent clip.  This season so far?  Try a tremendous 12.2 percent.  His walk rate last season came in at 8.4 percent.  This season?  Try 16.3 percent.  If Polanco can keep this up, he will be back up near the top of the order which is where his max value lies. 

Trevor Story:  1/6 with his 9th HR while hitting .241. Maybe a day off helped clear Story's head and will get him back on track but he struck out another three times as the average is a joke. 

Nolan Arenado:  3/6 with his 9th HR while hitting .289.  Through all of his recent struggles, Trevor Story has the same number of home runs as this guy.

Gerardo Parra:  2/7 with his second HR while hitting .286.  Parra has been predictably very solid after signing with the Rockies as a free agent and now batting leadoff.  Wish I owned him as guys like Parra who fill out your outfield win you leagues. 

Alex Rodriguez:  3/3 with his third HR while hitting .190.  No one cares. 

Jacoby Ellsbury:  0/4 while hitting .241.  Cut him loose.  I am serious.  If his name was Joe Schmoe you would never have even picked him up with those disgusting numbers. 

Byung-Ho Park:  1/3 with his 5th HR while hitting .241.  Another one who has gone right according to the script with the good power and ugly average.  These guys are a dime a dozen no matter what country they arrive from.

Danny Santana:  3/5 with his second SB while hitting .358.  Santana bombed a year ago at this time but he is back and batting leadoff for the Twins.  The steals and runs figure to be decent and he carries shortstop and outfield eligibility.  Go for it. 

Jose Berrios:  4 IP 6 H 5 ER 2 BB 5 K with an ERA of 11.25.  It is always impossible to predict how a first start will go for any rookie pitcher due to nerves and the like.  Berrios is universally lauded for his big arm so I would not drop him already.  Twins may not give him another start as this was originally slated to be a one outing deal but still hold Berrios to see where it goes. 

Trevor May:  scoreless ninth with 2 K's with an ERA of 2.92.  If Kevin Jepsen continues to struggle, this is the guy to target. 

Jeremy Hellickson:  7 IP 2 H 0 ER 3 BB 8 K with an ERA of 3.81.  Hellickson has generally been very good this season but his career is filled with inconsistency and underwhelming results.  The one thing we can be positive about going forward is the fact Hellickson is pitching in the much easier NL after spending most of his career with Tampa Bay.  As long as he is nothing more than your SP 5, he Hellickson works there. 

Jeanmar Gomez:  scoreless ninth for his sixth save with an ERA of 2.08.  There were about five other guys we thought would be closing games for the Philadelphia Phillies then Gomez but he has been surprisingly very good.  The K rate is mediocre which is scary long-term in the gig but for now ride this out and see where it goes.  I am.

Jose Quintana:  6 IP 4 H 0 ER 3 BB 10 K with an ERA of 1.47.  Incredible.  When I wrote some examples of guys I love more than you and who have a spot in the Fantasy Sports Boss Hall of Fame, I forgot to mention this gem of a value.  Quintana is actually getting BETTER as he plants himself firmly in his prime and yet nobody wanted him in the draft.  Except for me. 

Khris Davis:  2/4 with his third HR while hitting .233.  Davis is as horrible contact hitter but is among the cheapest power sticks in the game.  Still would prefer an Adam Lind. 

Victor Martinez:  1/2 with his 4th HR while hitting .302.  Figures Martinez is now hitting for power again when the whole fantasy baseball community was done with him.  That's how it goes in this always maddening game. 

J.D. Martinez:  2/3 with his third HR while hitting .293.  Most of Martinez' owners thought they would be looking at 8 home runs right now but that just means he will go ape crazy now. 

Sonny Gray:  2 IP 2 H 4 ER 4 BB 2 K with an ERA of 3.81.  Gray has struggled more than usual this season and truth be told his ERA should be WORSE as his BABIP is lucky at .276 which shows in his FIP ERA of 4.35.  The problem here is that Gray is fighting his control as his BB/9 has skyrocketed to 4.76.  Also Gray is near 1.00 in HR/9 which is also very high for him.  Now I am thinking personally about the high total of innings Gray has already thrown in his young career which could be partly to blame or it could have nothing to do with it.  Just a thought. 

Zack Cozart:  2/4 with his second HR while hitting .397.  Keep in mind here that before he went down for the season with injury a year ago, Cozart was hitting like this.  A late bloomer or post-hype sleeper, Cozart is absolutely worth an add due to his shortstop eligibility and 15/15 ability. 

Neil Walker:  2/3 with his 9th HR while hitting .300.  Crazy stat of the day as told by SNY's Gary Cohen.  Neil Walker is already 56 percent toward his 2015 TOTAL in home runs. 

Matt Harvey:  6 IP 7 H 2 ER 1 BB 7 K with an ERA of 4.76.  The K rate is inching up now which is good to see but Harvey is still putting a bit too many guys on base.  Ultimately I think he will be all right but maybe in an SP 2 sense due to the bounce from so many innings in 2015. 

Matt Moore:  7 IP 3 H 3 ER 2 BB 9 K with an ERA of 3.66.  Now another season removed from Tommy John, Moore looks like the star in the making many thought he would be when he first arrived on the scene with horrible control years ago.  Again we say this a million times with young pitchers who throw hard and have terrible control.  Once they start curbing the free passes, the jump to stardom is instantaneous.  Such as the case as it appears now with Moore. 

 

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