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Wednesday, April 27, 2016

FANTASY BASEBALL WRAPUP: TUESDAY

Vince Velasquez:  6 IP 5 H 3 ER 3 BB 4 K with an ERA of 1.78.  Second straight ragged outing for Velasquez after his 16-K gem.  Remember this the next time someone you own strikes out 15 or more batters.  Run for the hills.

Max Scherzer:  6 IP 7 H 3 ER 4 BB 7 K with an ERA of 4.35.  The WHIP is 1.35 as Scherzer is getting hit like never before.  I pointed out how the crazy inning totals and TWO no-hitters last season was a major load on his arm and it may not be a coincidence that Scherzer is now all of a sudden struggling like this coming off that workload. 

Mike Moustakas: 1/3 with his 7th HR while hitting .267.  As always with Moustakas, a bunch of his value depends on where the average comes in as it has been all over the map.  The power is growing this season on a rate per game basis however but Moustakas just doesn't carry much excitement to his name what with the explosion of dominant third baseman lately. 

Edinson Volquez:  8 ER in 5 IP with an ERA of 3.64.  The WHIP is scary right now at 1.38 as Volquez is bringing forth bad memories from his earlier days. 

Giancarlo Stanton:  1/5 with his sixth HR while hitting .246.  Third straight game with a home run as Stanton puts forth the crap average/power hitter's special. 

Clayton Kershaw:  5 ER in 7 IP with an ERA of 2.43.  Yes he is human after all.

Robinson Cano:  2/4 with his 7th HR while hitting .238.  Cano very well might be following the path he took last season where his average perked up as the season went along.  That would be fine as his power has been tremendous early on which when combined with the increasing average. 

Dallas Keuchel:  5 ER in 6 IP with an ERA of 4.41.  The WHIP is now 1.41 as Keuchel has pretty much done as I said when I was in the clear minority in calling him a BUST candidate for 2016.  Yes sir nailed this one but honestly it was not too hard as Keuchel pitched WAY into outlier territory last season and to a level it was not to be approached.
 
Nathan Karns:  7 IP 2 H 0 ER 3 BB 6 K with an ERA of 3.63.  Karns struggled early on this season but that is not a total shock as a guy being dealt to another team with little MLB experience.  There are always adjustment periods to go through but now it looks like Karns is settling in.  I liked him last season and thought he was good value for 2016 considering his new home and stand by that assessment. 

Johnny Cueto:  9 IP 7 H 0 ER 1 BB 11 K with an ERA of 2.65.  Cueto is making an early play for the NL Cy Young as he has been every bit the ace he was with the Reds.  I was not perturbed one bit by Cueto's struggles in Kansas City last season as it was a guarantee the ERA would jump moving to the DH league.  Now in his best home ballpark ever, Cueto is back to his top ten fantasy baseball ace ways. 

Stephen Piscotty:  2/4 with his 4th HR while hitting .273.  Yeah, yeah I admit it.  Piscotty is now quickly becoming one of my favorites and is knocking on the door already to Torii Hunter territory. 

Brandon Moss:  4/5 with his 5th HR while hitting .231.  You had to figure that Moss would do well this season after he almost was out of the game in 2015.  After all he signed with St. Louis where everyone is an All-Star. 

Jake Lamb:  1/3 with his third HR while hitting .284.  When your a solid but unspectacular third baseman like Jake Lamb, it is easy to get lost in the shuffle in the Nolan Arenado-Josh Donaldson-Manny Machado world.  While 15 home runs is about as good as you can get, Lamb is an excellent backup to keep handy in case of injury.

Yasmany Tomas:  2/4 with his 5th HR while hitting .303  We are seeing some real development going on with Tomas who is combining power and average. 

Carlos Martinez:  8 IP 3 H 0 ER 1 BB 4 K with an ERA of 1.93. Speaking of making a play in this early going for the NL Cy Young, Martinez is staking his claim.  The kid is a real gem of an arm and is now 4-0 on the season with a shoulder that is holding up nicely.  I won't say we are out of the woods yet as Martinez' shoulder went bad as the innings piled up last year but at this point you couldn't ask for anything more. 

Shelby Miller:  5 ER in 5 IP with an ERA of 8.69.  You can make the argument that Miller has been the WORST pitcher in fantasy baseball based on expectations along with teammate Zack Greinke.  We all know Chase Field is a launching pad but this is ridiculous.  Miller was never as good as his numbers indicated last season but right now he is not even worth keeping around. 

Jason Kipnis:  1/4 with his second HR while hitting .282  Tough to get a firm read on Kipnis as he has traded numbers across the five categories the last few seasons.  He is holding his own again in 2016 as a solid but unspectacular play but truth be told we thought he would be much more than this. 

Kevin Jepsen:  third blown save with 1 ER in 1 IP but got the win with an ERA of 4.66.  Jepsen has not been good since replacing Glen Perkins at closer.  With Perkins not coming back for awhile, Trevor May is becoming more interesting. 

Andrew McCutchen:  3/5 with 3 home runs (5 for season) while hitting .238.  Yeah the month of May is days away so this is right on schedule.  MVP production the rest of the way. 

Starling Marte:  1/5 with his third HR while hitting .322.  Marte has been incredible and been so much better then McCutchen so far this season.  Alas the sleeping giant has awoken and Marte has a battle on his hands to see who is the most productive fantasy baseball outfielder on the Pirates. 

Nolan Arenado:  2/4 with his 8th HR while hitting .273.  I can watch this guy hit all day.  And tomorrow too.

Jimmy Nelson:  5.1 IP 2 H 1 ER 4 BB 6 K with an ERA of 3.16.  I mention Nelson again in a losing effort because I really do like the ability here which points to high-end stuff. Nelson has to work on his control like most other young starters but his hit rate is excellent and so one can easily envision him as high as an SP 2 if he works that out.  Trust in the arm and trust me on this. 

Ian Desmond:  2/3 with his third HR while hitting .211.  Man the average continues to suck for Desmond who is now pretty much all-or-nothing even in Texas. 

A.J. Griffin:  8 IP 4 H 1 ER 1 BB 5 K with an ERA of 2.52.  Yes this start came at home where Griffin rivals Cy Young.  I am telling you that playing trends like this is a very quietly effective way to win your league. 

Luis Severino:  6 ER in 3 IP with an ERA of 6.86. Major trouble here as the Yankees will have to send Severino back down very soon as they won't let him continue getting his head beat in. 

Adam Eaton:  2/4 with his first HR while hitting .309.  After years of waiting, Adam Eaton has now settled in as a pure leadoff man for the White Sox with solid across the board ability.  While you would like to see a bit more when it comes to steals, the decent enough power makes up for it.

Edwin Encarnacion:  1/3 with his third HR while hitting .282.  Like with Andrew McCutchen, the month of May is when Edwin Encarnacion starts to do the Home Run Derby on a daily basis. 

Chris Sale:  8 IP 4 H 1 ER 2 BB 6 K with an ERA of 1.66.  Not sure if he is doing it intentionally but Sale's K rate is down more than a bit which could be a concession to a bit of age and experience.  No reason to rear back and try to strike everyone out when you can use offspeed stuff to get the job done.  Excellence all around. 

Travis Shaw:  2/5 with his second HR while hitting .324.  Nice story developing here in Boston as Shaw has done nothing but hit the baseball and hit it hard since coming up to the team in 2015.  He seems to have worked through his minor league K problems and at the very least is a top backup in fantasy baseball terms as the power is not top-notch yet. 

David Price:  8 IP 6 H 2 ER 2 BB 14 K with an ERA of 5.76.  Typical of Price dominating off a rough start but remember my warning about a next outing when a guy strikes out 14 or more batters. 

 

4 comments:

  1. What would you do with Adam Jones? Drop or hold? I could replace with Reddick from my UTIL spot and get a FA bat or arm......some FA are J. Baez, Brock Holt, Danny Santana, Trevor May
    Thanks for your advice!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I also own Justin Upton ......slow start for sure.
      Other FA available: Khris Davis, Michael Taylor and Alcides Escobar

      Thanks again!!!

      Delete
  2. Pick up Santana for Reddick

    ReplyDelete
  3. I would HOLD both Jones and Upton. Listen both guys are streaky but the numbers are always there at end of season. Only thing with Jones is he is becoming more injury prone and the steals are history. I own Jones myself and have no long-term worries. Meanwhile I do like Reddick a lot as he is quite undervalued but be careful what you release.

    ReplyDelete