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Tuesday, April 19, 2016

FANTASY BASEBALL WRAPUP: MONDAY

Jake Lamb:  3/6 with his second HR while hitting .292.  This is the second season in a row Lamb has had a good hitting April but his overall game is limited.  There is only 15 home run power here with a .280-ish average which won't move the fantasy baseball needle much. 

Jean Segura:  3/6 with his third SB while hitting .352.  Comeback player, comeback player, comeback player.

Joe Panik:  1/6 with his third HR while hitting .250.  Second game in a row with a home run from Panik who has a very smooth swing but ideally you would like some steals from your middle infielders which he doesn't bring.

Wellington Castillo:  2/4 with his second HR while hitting .225.  Castillo was very good in 2015 as a late bloomer and I liked him again for 2016 as well due to his solid draft value.  Still he needs to work on that average some and not be in J.P. Arencibia territory. 

Santiago Casilla:  second blown save with 1 ER in 1 IP with an ERA of 3.38.  Casilla is no lock down closer but he is solid nonetheless.  His ERA will be higher than the top guys and walks crop up at bad times which is why I don't own him. 

Dexter Fowler:  2/5 with his third HR while hitting .378.  Fowler is a habitually good starter to the season which makes nothing he is doing right now surprising.  That goes for the power as well.  Now don't go crazy projecting 25 home runs and a .300 average as Fowler strikes out too much for the latter and never approached the former. 

John Lackey:  7 IP 4 H 0 ER 1 BB 11 K with an ERA of 3.66.  Back in St. Louis Lackey went right back to the second wind high-end starter phase of his career.  I don't own him and am not upset about it but I am amazed how Lackey has pitched the last few seasons when it looked like he was finished just prior to that stretch. 

Miguel Sano:  1/3 with his first HR while hitting .190.  Hey listen we warned you.  We were one of the ONLY publications to tell you to be leery of Sano as the guy has holes in his swing the size of the Grand Canyon.  The K rate is absurd right now and I can see Sano being sent back to the minors if this keeps up.  Pitchers have no reason to give Sano anything to drive and so they will continue to make him get himself out.  Ugly all the way around.

Phil Hughes:  6 IP 6 H 3 ER 2 BB 6 K with an ERA of 4.42.  Shortened game here as Hughes gets the win but he was not very good in this one and has been pretty shaky going back to the start of 2015.  The guy's career has been full of inconsistency and the always terrible home run rate make owning Hughes as scary a proposition as you can get in terms of fantasy baseball. 

J.A. Happ:  7 IP 4 H 1 ER 1 BB 4 K with an ERA of 1.89.  Whatever secret Happ picked up in Pittsburgh that stopped him from sucking like he had throughout his career seems to have carried over to his move to Toronto.  Still do you really want to get into bed with an AL East pitcher who throws his home games in Toronto and whose career is filled with unsightly ERA's?

Drew Storen:  2 ER in earning first save with an ERA of 8.44.  Boy has Storen been some kind of awful going back to the midpoint of 2015 when he got yanked as the closer in favor of Jonathan Papelbon.  Goes to show you how utterly weak Storen's mind it which makes him about as poor a closer candidate as one can get.  Blister kept Roberto Osuna out of this one and nothing else.  Should be fine in a day or two.

Hector Santiago:  7 IP 2 H 0 ER 3 BB 10 K with an ERA of 2.61.  Got a few e-mails last night asking me about Santiago but honestly this narrative has not changed much from last season.  Santiago was terrific the first half of 2015 before fatigue set in during the month of July and instantly turned him into a human batting practice machine.  The velocity has jumped up a bit which is nice and gets us talking about a positive on that front when mostly it is negative decreases.  Please by all means get whatever you can out of Santiago before the summer fade but don't come crying to me if you keep using him then.  You have been warned. 

Carlos Rodon:  5 ER in .1 IP with an ERA of 4.73.  Not a misprint.  This is the type of outing that makes you hurl up your lunch in two seconds if you are a Rodon owner.  The type of outing that keeps you up at night wondering how much hurt it will put on your standing in your league the next day.  As good as Rodon threw in spring training, he has been miserable once the games started counting.  Clearly he had nothing here and it happens to the best of them but Rodon doesn't get the benefit of the doubt yet. 

David Wright:  2/5 with 2 home runs (2 for season) while hitting .289.  If Wright played his home games in Citizens Bank Park, he would be in the Hall of Fame before he even finished playing.  Wright goes to town on the ballpark whenever he visits so no shock at the big game but it truly is nice to see him playing so well all around.  He also has picked up two steals which is a nice bonus since we thought his running days were over due to the spinal stenosis.  The health questions won't go away here and any one swing could do Wright in for a month or more but to this point anyone owning stock here has to be pleasantly surprised.

Neil Walker:  1/4 with his fourth HR while hitting .229.  Walker is hitting home runs like Daniel Murphy did in the postseason for the Mets a year ago.

Lucas Duda:  2/4 with his first HR while hitting .233.  Do yourself a favor and queue up the home run Duda hit.  Had to be one of the hardest hit balls in quite awhile.  Duda runs very hot and cold throughout a season and tends to really struggle against lefties but the NL East is mostly made up of righthanders which minimizes this issue.  He will take a weaving route to get there but Duda should be once again around 30 homers and 90 RBI this season.

Noah Syndegaard:  7 IP 5 H 1 ER 2 BB 8 K with an ERA of 0.90.  You know you are some kind of awesome when your ERA goes UP when you give up only one run in 7 innings.  You all know I have been on record saying Syndegaard has the highest upside of any Mets pitcher including Matt Harvey, Jacob DeGrom, and Steven Matz and his early results bear this out.  How about the first six pitches Syndegaard tossed Monday night which came in at 100, 100, 101, 101, 101, and 102.  Insanity. 

Jerad Eickhoff:  7 IP 5 H 2 ER 3 BB 9 K with an ERA of 1.89.  The Phillies have a bright future with Eickhoff joining Aaron Nola to give the team two top-end young starters.  Eickhoff has struck out 21 batters in 19 innings and thus far is making good on our sleeper hedge on him.

Giancarlo Stanton:  2/3 with his third HR while hitting .238.  You always have to worry about the average when it comes to Stanton but not the power obviously.  And watch those fastballs dude. 

Jose Fernandez:  6 IP 3 H 1 ER 4 BB 9 K with an ERA of 3.78.  Fernandez has not been efficient with his pitches as he is walking a bunch of batters and being forced out of games earlier then he should.  That is a byproduct of Tommy John surgery and nothing else.  Once that works itself out, Fernandez will be every bit the top five fantasy baseball starter he was prior to the issue. 

Trevor Story:  2/4 with his 8th HR while hitting .309.  Story continues to strike out like Mark Reynolds which makes it a miracle that he is hitting over .300.  That will correct itself before too long but it is good to see Story hit another one out as pitchers continue to adjust. 



 

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