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Tuesday, April 12, 2016

FANTASY BASEBALL WRAPUP: MONDAY

J.D. Martinez:  2/4 with his first HR while hitting .350.  Martinez is right there at the top of outfielder 1's who don't steal bases like with Jose Bautista.  What is also interesting about Martinez is that he annually beats the BABIP curve by more than a little which keeps his average in decent territory despite the fact he strikes out a bunch.

Nick Castellanos:  1/4 with his first HR while hitting .353.  Never thought Castellanos was a big prospect but he did improve enough in 2015 with his contact rate and power to be worth a look in NL-only formats and deeper leagues. 

Justin Verlander:  7 ER in 4 IP with an ERA of 8.71.  Yup just like Adam Wainwright we were well ahead of the curve on Justin Verlander in sounding the alarms as early as 2013.  And there were a BUNCH of you who tore me apart on Twitter for that now cemented view.  James Shields is next up.

David Price:  5 IP 5 H 5 ER 2 BB 8 K with an ERA of 5.73.  Don't be afraid of Price after he signed with Boston because he is the same ace who dominated in the division with Toronto and Tampa Bay.  One only has to look at 8 strikeouts in 5 innings to know Price got burned by the home run and otherwise was excellent/

Craig Kimbrel:  3 ER in 1 IP with an ERA of 9.00.  Listen I know the numbers say Kimbrel was still terrific the last two years but he is a smidge of a step below where he was when he first established himself as the best closer in baseball with the Atlanta Braves.  The fastball is still very potent but there is no denying the fact Kimbrel is no longer feared like he once was. 

Yovani Gallardo:  5 ER in 5 IP with an ERA of 5.40.  A guy with diminished stuff like Gallardo in the AL East is big trouble.  Look out. 

Mookie Betts:  3/5 with his second HR while hitting .214.  Betts' worst hitting month a year ago was April as well so maybe a slow start is part of the deal here. If you want to get rid of me, please call me. 

Chris Davis:  2/5 with his third HR while hitting .227.  Honestly what do you want me to say here that you don't already know?

Mark Trumbo:  1/5 with his first HR while hitting .417.  Was never a big fan of Trumbo given the high K rate and ugly batting average but his price has come so far down that his move to an offensive haven in Baltimore made the guy a very smart investment at UTIL or DH.  Could be back around 30 home runs for the price of peanuts and yes I own him in the Experts Head-to-Head league. 

Wil Myers:  2/4 with his second HR while hitting .276.  Myers has missed so much time over the last few years that it is easy to forget he was hyped as an immense power hitter while coming up the Kansas City system. 

Aaron Nola:  7 IP 6 H 4 ER 0 BB 9 K with an ERA of 3.21.  Nola now has 17 strikeouts in 15 innings.  Want to know who he reminds me of?  Cliff Lee as a righty.  Yes that impressive.

Taylor Jungmann:  2 IP 8 H 8 ER 1 BB 2 K with an ERA of 11.57.  All last season we screamed about how much of a fluke Jungmann was.  Guy comes off with ugly minor league ratios and then reeled off a string of big starts that defied all his advanced metrics.  Opposing hitters have had a full offseason to go to town on the Jungmann tape and this could be what we will see a ton of early on this season. 

Michael Wacha:  6 IP 4 H 0 ER 1 BB 7 K with an ERA of 3.48.  Prior to Wacha first coming down with shoulder trouble in 2014, he was looking like a true future ace pitcher.  While he has successfully worked through the initial shoulder trouble, there is no denying that Wacha has been a notch of two below what he was initially with the Cards.  Shoulder problems tend to sap pop from the various pitches and it is possible Wacha has seen some of this when you look at his numbers since this first became an issue. 

Chris Carter:  1/3 with his third HR while hitting .261.  Said the other day Carter gets on these runs where he hits like 6 home runs in 8 games before he goes ice cold for a month.  Yup. 

Jeremy Hazelbaker:  4/4 while hitting .526.  Guys please have some perspective here.  Hazelbaker is already 28 and was sort of a journeyman minor league hitter.  Another case of an unknown guy catching pitchers by surprise early in the season due to lack of tape on him.  Hazelbaker can run and pop the occasional homer but this is more of an NL-only add. 

Mike Trout:  1/3 with his first HR while hitting .217.  Bit of a slow start for Trout but were you really worried?

Nick Tropeano:  5 IP 6 H 0 ER 2 BB 6 K with an ERA of 0.00.  Tropeano is a decent arm who might have cemented a rotation spot for himself over the woeful Matt Shoemaker or the toasted Jered Weaver.  Tropeano can dial up the fastball a bit which will net him some K's but his control is off and on and overall he looks like nothing more than a streamer. 

Nelson Cruz:  2/4 with his second HR while hitting .296.  What has been more impressive for me about Cruz the last few years is the gains in batting average and not the power.  Especially given his home locale.  Then again the guy has been a late bloomer his whole career in terms of unleashing new things as he continues to age.

Billy Hamilton:  1/3 with his first HR while hitting .176.  Hamilton is capable of 5-8 home runs but buried at the bottom of the order and with zero natural hitting ability, his stock is in serious decline. 

Addison Russell:  1/3 with his first HR while hitting .160.  Really hoping Russell can improve his contact skills which were atrocious last season but he also has some immense ceiling given the rare shortstop power. 

Jose Quintana:  6 IP 4 H 1 ER 3 BB 5 K with an ERA of 2.31.  Yeah my favorite SP 4 who really pitches like an SP 3 is back doing his thing again.  I compare Quintana to former MLB pitcher Hiroki Kuroda as a guy who anually puts up nice ratios and a solid K rate but who no one ever talks about.  It is these type of players who win league titles for you.

Colby Rasmus:  2/4 with his third HR while hitting .333.  Yawn.

Kendrys Morales:  1/4 with his second HR while hitting .190.  Oh what might have been here if Morales had not shattered his leg in that awful home plate celebration gone awry.  Still Morales saved his career with very solid numbers the last two seasons and he has a great shot at 100 RBI this season with the on-base machines in front of him.

Colin McHugh:  7 IP 8 H 0 ER 1 BB 4 K with an ERA of 6.14.  McHugh is that pitcher who you sweat out every frame he pitches and then need a drink when it is over to relieve all of the stress no matter how bad or good he pitched. 

Daniel Murphy:  2/4 with his second HR while hitting .471.  Murphy is some hitter no doubt and already with two home runs, he is stating his case that his big postseason power binge was no fluke. 

Giancarlo Stanton:  1/4 with his second HR while hitting .286.  With Steven Matz melting down last night, you just knew Stanton would be heard from at some point and it was loud.

Marcell Ozuna:  2/6 with his first HR while hitting .167.  I thought the Marlins were way too impatient with Ozuna last season in sending him back to the minors but maybe there was more maturity problems then anything.  Be that as it may, Ozuna retains 20-plus home run power that could be available on your league wire. 

Steven Matz:  1.2 IP 6 H 7 ER 2 BB 1 K with an ERA of 37.80.  Wow this was ugly.  I have some sizable concerns here as Matz wouldn't be the first young pitcher or hitter to struggle badly in his first full MLB season to the point he needs to go back down for more seasoning.  Not saying we are there yet after only one start but Matz was pretty brutal for a large chunk of spring training which we did a Stock Watch on. 



 

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