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Tuesday, April 5, 2016

FANTASY BASEBALL WRAPUP: MONDAY

Denard Span:  2/4 with his first HR while hitting .500.  Span already looks like a good fit atop the San Francisco lineup as he goes yard in the opener.  Span is not going to hit much more than 8-10 home runs but he quietly is a very underrated fantasy baseball outfielder as he scores a bunch of runs and can hit .300-plus. 

Buster Posey:  2/4 with his first HR while hitting .500.  Posey reminds is again what a polarizing player he is.  There is no one in the same hitting hemisphere among catchers when it comes to Posey and another vintage .300-20-90-90 campaign looks set to launch. 

Matt Duffy:  2/5 with his first HR while hitting .400.  Duffy was tough to buy into fully in terms of his 2015 breakout as he was never considered a prime prospect but already he is starting to put forth a nice encore.  We need to see a much larger sample size obviously in terms of Duffy completely legitimizing himself but so far, so good.

Joe Panik:  1/5 with his first HR while hitting .200.  Panik is a tremendous pure hitter who can put up a .300 average in his sleep.  What really caught our eye with Panik is that he started to hit some home runs last season which elevated his future potential.  We are fans. 

Scooter Gennett:  2/3 with his first HR while hitting .667.  Still the coolest name in the game.  We have seen the Gennett show before and it is not very impressive.  Worth a look in NL-only leagues only but that is as far as the interest meter goes. 

Jonathan Villar:  1/3 with his first HR while hitting .333.  Any power from the speedy Villar is a bonus but he is only keeping the shortstop position warm for top Milwaukee prospect Orlando Arcia. 

Madison Bumgarner:  5 IP 5 H 3 ER 5 BB 6 K with an ERA of 5.40.  This is somewhat scary here as Bumgarner battled injuries in the spring and complained of control problems.  Then he goes out and walks five in only five innings which is alarming.  Now Bumgarner did struggle last April as well so maybe this is just part of his monthly trend but the walks need to be watched closely to see if there is something bigger at work.  Remember we have fretted about the insane amount of innings Bumgarner's still young arm has endured.

Clayton Kershaw:  7 IP 1 H 0 ER 1 BB 9 K with an ERA of 0.00.  I mean this guy doesn't let up for even just a second. 

Tyson Ross:  7 ER in 5.1 IP with an ERA of 11.81.  Ross simply didn't have it in this one and he didn't even have issues with walks like usual which makes this just one nasty beating.  Always love he arm here which is capable of another 200-K season but Ross always seems to leave you wanting more. 

Trevor Story:  2/6 with 2 home runs (2 for season) while hitting .600.  Of course he hit two home runs.  It is Trevor "Freaking" Story, new overnight shortstop star.  No seriously though this kid has done nothing but pound the baseball since the start of spring training and now he is carrying it into the season which is the ultimate proving ground.  Lots of regrets this morning from those who didn't act initially when the ropes started sailing. 

Nolan Arenado:  2/5 with his first HR while hitting .400.  What is crazy is that we are not even sure we have seen the optimum Arenado yet as he is still so young.  Another 40 home runs and 110-plus RBI seem a given and he could even boost up the average a bit.  Will be every bit worth whatever cost you laid down at the draft table this spring barring injury. 

Carlos Gonzalez:  2/5 with his first HR while hitting .400.  It seemed like Arenado and CarGo homered in the same game for all their 40-plus home runs in 2015 and they are looking to duplicate that feat in 2016.  CarGo still makes me very nervous with his ongoing injuries and a trade could happen at any time which would eliminate the major Coors Field slant he has.  Until then though enjoy the bombs and pray he stays in one piece. 

Jake Lamb:  1/3 with his first HR while hitting .333.  Remember that Lamb did a nice job last April before injuries sabotaged his campaign so he may warrant a second look.  Power good and not great but Lamb can hit for a good average and is still developing.  Just the kind of future leaning investment you want to make. 

Zack Greinke:  7 ER in 4 IP with an ERA of 15.75.  Greinke gave up more earned runs in this one start then he did all of 2015.  Not really but almost.  Keep in mind that Greinke has always been prone to the home run ball and now he is in a major power alley in Chase Field.  ERA will rise more than a bit we think. 

Jake Arrieta:  7 IP 2 H 0 ER 1 BB 6 K with an ERA 0.00.  The remarkable mid-career bustout continues.  It looks like Arrieta is feeling well based on this result after a tough spring on the health front but overall the only thing we have to concern ourselves with is 2015's high inning count. 

Daniel Murphy:  2/3 with his first HR while hitting .667.  Maybe Murphy thinks the playoffs are still going on.  The power surge last October screams out "outlier" as Murphy is a veteran with many years at one statistical baseline.  He also doesn't run anymore so his overall value remains as a low end starting second baseman.

Bryce Harper:  1/3 with his first HR while hitting .333.  Harper is on pace for 162 homers.  The way he has gone all batting practice on opposing pitchers going back to last April, anything seems possible.  50 homers?

Felix Hernandez:  1 ER in 6 IP.  King Felix has been leaking velocity for years and had highest ERA of career a year ago which raised red flags.  There have been a monster innings total on Hernandez since he broke in at 20 so there is valid concern but at least initially things look all right.  Stay tuned though.

Robinson Cano:  1/4 with his first HR while hitting .250.  That's the start all nervous Cano owners were looking for.  Remember that Cano tore it up the second half of last season after correcting some sort of core issue.  While we hate the ballpark, maybe it was a tad early to bury him.

Kyle Seager:  1/4 with his first HR while hitting .250.  Now that Torii Hunter has retired, my personal man crush on Kyle Seagers grows stronger.



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