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Saturday, March 19, 2016

2016 FANTASY BASEBALL STOCK WATCH: JOSH REDDICK TEARING COVER OFF BALL

Oakland A's outfielder Josh Reddick has certainly run the gamut in terms of numbers and his perceived value in fantasy baseball circles in his still young career.  From slamming 32 home runs in 2012 to crashing and burning a year later with 12 long balls adn a pathetoc .226 average, Reddick has been all over the map.  While still young at 29, Reddick has mostly been an ignored commodity in fantasy baseball over the last two years despite him coming off a quietly very good 2015 campaign when he hit 20 home runs, stole 10 bases, and batted a solid .272.  While never a guy who would compete for a batting title. Reddick has fine-tuned some good skills that translate well enough to fantasy baseball.  On top of that, Reddick has been one of the hottes hitters this spring with 9 home runs in 19 at-bats. 

When digging in a bit on Reddick, a few things stand out.  The first is that the 32 home runs he hit in 2012 stand firmly in outlier territory when compared to the rest of his career.  The 20 Reddick swatted a year ago was the only other time he reached that number of more outside of 2012's 32 and so we have to grade him on his more recnet output.  Still 20 home runs and a repeat of the 67 RBI Reddick collected last season is a very nice set of numbrs indeed and the fact he can steal a few bases helps improve the bottom line as well.  Now the batting average will continue to be a bit of an issue since Reddick strikes out a lot but there is also some reason for optimism there.  Even when he hit those 32 home runs, Reddick struck out in over 20 percent of his at-bats that season.  Since then thoguh his K/9 rate has been 19.5, 15.9, and then last season's terrific 11.2.  An unlucky .278 BABIP prevented Reddick from hitting .280 or better and his development has really been stark.  That means Reddick could actually help in the batting average department this season in addition to his other solid numbers.  With a draft price that is quite affordable, Reddick looks like one of the bettter value plays in the outfield this season.

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