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Wednesday, January 6, 2016

2016 FANTASY BASEBALL DRAFT SLEEPER: PATRICK CORBIN SP ARIZONA DIAMONDACKS

Time for another 2016 fantasy baseball Draft Sleeper and today that brings us to the starting pitcher fraternity which of course is by far the deepest position in our fake game.  Still there are some potentially swell sleeper candidates, with one residing in Arizona in the form of Patrick Corbin.  As always let's dig in deeper and find out why Corbin makes the sleeper grade. 

The 2015 narrative when it came to Patrick Corbin centered on his return from Tommy John elbow surgery which pretty much wiped out his entire 2014 campaign.  Corbin returned in early July and looked pretty sharp considering all the missed time as he pitched to a 3.60 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, and struck out 78 batters in 85 innings for a K/9 IP rate of 8.26 which is a very impressive numbers.  Still only just 26 going into 2016, few remember how Corbin seemed on the cusp of breaking out in 2013 for the D-Backs.  After a 4.54 mess of a debut in 2012, Corbin took a giant step forward in his development the next season as he upped his K rate, lowered his HR/9 rate, and in the process posted a sweet 3.41 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 208.1 innings.  While Corbin's 2.33 BB/9 was a tad high, his four pitch arsenal was looking like a bit of handful for opposing hitters and given his youth and operating in an offensive park, the future seemed quite bright.  Well of course Corbin's elbow began parking the next spring training and thus he failed to log even one major league inning in that lost season.  Like most guys who undergo the surgery, Corbin was out for more than a year as he finally returned last July.  As we already mentioned, Corbin was better then expected as he logged that 3.60 ERA and even upped his K/9 IP to 8.26.  That shows you that Corbin had all the life back on his heater and even more impressive, his 1.80 BB/9 was his best mark yet as a major leaguer.  When you consider that lack of control is the biggest problem for pitchers coming back from Tommy John surgery that first season, it shows you how good Corbin was.  Yes Corbin continues to give up a bit too many home runs (0.95 HR/9) but his youth, very solid K/9 rate, and solid ratios already point him into the sleeper talk. 

When you look toward 2016 fantasy baseball, Patrick Corbin's dirt cheap draft price is incredibly attractive given the upside and useful strikeout ability.  We would absolutely take a stab with Corbin that late to round out your rotation as he could pitch as well as an SP 3 if all breaks right. 

2016 PROJECTION:  11-6 3.35 ERA 1.16 WHIP 167 K 

 

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