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Sunday, January 10, 2016

2016 FANTASY BASEBALL DRAFT DEBATE: ANTHONY RIZZO/JOSE ABREU FIRST BASEMAN

Well we have reached that point in the winter where 2016 fantasy baseball drafts will begin to come into sharper focus and that means getting back to looking at some prime Draft Debate features where we compare two similarly skilled players in order to determine who should be picked ahead of the other.  Today we look at the first baseman position where the Chicago Cubs' Anthony Rizzo and the Chicago White Sox' Jose Abreu are neck-and-neck in terms of value.  As always we compare the two in the standard five ROTO categories in order to see who comes out on top.

AVERAGE:  Over the last two seasons, Abreu has beaten Rizzo in the average department on both occasions, coming in at .317 and .290 over his Chicago counterpart's .286 and .278.  Rizzo has actually has the better K/9 rates but the numbers are clearly in Abreu's favor.
ADVANTAGE:  Jose Abreu

STOLEN BASES:  This one is no contest as Rizzo is arguably the best stolen base guy among first baseman outside of only Paul Goldschmidt as he swiped 17 bags last season.  Abreu meanwhile took a big zero in that category so no need to go on about this.
ADVANTAGE:  Anthony Rizzo

RUNS:  Another close one here but Rizzo has scored a total of 183 runs the last two seasons while Abreu has come in at 168.  The Cubs have the much better lineup then the White Sox as well so Rizzo takes this one.
ADVANTAGE:  Anthony Rizzo

HOME RUNS:  Both guys have reached the 30-home run mark in each of the last two seasons, with Abreu having a total of 3 more but with more at-bats.  Both should again reach 30 bombs and be within 1-3 of one another which makes picking a winner too close to call. 
ADVANTAGE:  EVEN

RBI:  Now Abreu blew Rizzo out of the water in 2014 as he won the RBI battle 107-78.  However last season each guy drove in exactly 101 and that is where each should finish again this season.  You can give Rizzo the slight nod though due to the stronger lineup.
ADVANTAGE:  Slight advantage to Anthony Rizzo.

WINNER:  Anthony Rizzo

As you can see, Anthony Rizzo comes out on top of this very close debate.  The stronger lineup by the Cubs tilts things in his direction and Rizzo also has a bit more ceiling left to his name.  Go with the Cubs first baseman in the middle of Round 1 of your draft over the powerful Cuban slugger. 


 
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