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Thursday, October 8, 2015

FANTASY FOOTBALL TREND/MIRAGE: DUKE JOHNSON AS BIG-TIME PPR BACK

Week 5 is already bearing down on us when it comes to the ongoing fantasy baseball season and that means it is time to check in again on the latest Trend/Mirage candidates where we look at some recent performances and dissect whether they are legit or false.

Duke Johnson Will Be An Every Week PPR Asset:  After a very quiet first two weeks of the season, Cleveland Browns rookie running back Duke Johnson has caught 6 and 9 passes the last two weeks.  With QB Josh McCown always prone to throwing short to his backs, Johnson suddenly has the look of a guy who can be a major asset in PPR formats the rest of the way.  While I don't think he is Matt Forte when it comes to receiving, Johnson has a great set of hands and can absolutely do a Danny Woodhead or Shane Vereen impersonation.
VERDICT:  TREND

After His Big Performance Sunday Night In Coming Back From Injury, Drew Brees Is Back To Being A Top QB Play:  Brees looked like his old self at least for one night in the Saints' OT win over the Dallas Cowboys, throwing for 359 yards and 2 scores.  This brings back memories to the blockbuster 5,000-yard-35-TD version of Brees which leads one to wonder if he can be that guy again.  With an arm that is clearly lacking some zip and a receiving corps that is still light compared to years past, we won't go that far with Brees.  Instead we think he is in the Eli Manning-Matt Ryan realm as far as mid-Top Ten guys and not the 1-3 he was just a few short years ago. 
VERDICT:  MIRAGE

Ameer Abdullah Is Not Ready For Regular Fantasy Usage:  It was set up to be a very tough matchup for Detroit Lions rookie speed back Amir Abdullah in his first start Monday night versus the Seattle Seahawks.  And how as Abdullah rushed for only 33 yards on 13 carries and caught only 2 passes.  The big issue here is the awful offensive line of the Detroit Lions which opened zero holes for Abdullah to exploit.  In addition, Abdullah is also partly to blame as he goes down most of the time on first contact due to a slight frame.  That won't work at the NFL level and anyone who watched that game saw it firsthand and it was ugly.  Right now I would bench Abdullah given the above and instead look for upside from a Ronnie Hillman or Duke Johnson.
VERDICT:  TREND

Lamar Miller Is Sinking With The Mess That Is The Miami Dolphins: 
It has been a horrid season all the way around for the Miami Dolphins and that includes running back Lamar Miller who seemed on the verge of a major breakout in 2015 after a solid 2014.  Unfortunately Miller has been awful in averaging just 3.5 yards per carry and having zero scores in three games.  The Miami offensive line is a big problem yet again and opening no holes for Miller.  The player is also to blame as Miller is not being patient either when running the football.  Add it up and Miller barely is a RB 2 in all formats. 
VERDICT:  TREND

Brandin Cooks Will Not Have The PPR Season We Expected:  Talk about disappointing.  We all bought into the hype when it came to Brandin Cooks having a breakout season in 2014.  After playing well as a rookie until he was lost for the year with injury, Cooks was looking like a 90-catch monster for 2015 with Drew Brees having to target him often due to personnel losses.  Instead Cooks has been a liability in three of four games and he seems like he is being pushed down the Brees attention chart as well.  Not good. 
VERDICT:  TREND

 

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